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Chen Hsong Holdings (0057) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$958M

CH Chen Hsong Holdings 0057 · HK
PriceHK$1.53
Fair ValueHK$3.10
Upside+102.6%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
5.78% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: High Range HK$2.17 – HK$3.55 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Below-average quality, screening 103% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$2.17). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.59 HK$1.13 Fair Value HK$3.10 Dec 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.13 – HK$2.59 · fair‑value band HK$2.17 – HK$3.55 · the HK$1.53 price screens below the HK$3.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Chen Hsong Holdings (0057) currently trades at HK$1.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.10, implying the stock looks roughly 102.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chen Hsong Holdings generated revenue of HK$2.5B at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue declined 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$2.17 (bear case) to HK$3.55 (bull case); at HK$1.53, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 103%, 0057 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$3.58 HK$3.46 HK$2.83 76
ROIC Compounder HK$3.47 HK$3.71 HK$3.92 72
Gordon GGM HK$0.6800 HK$1.00 HK$1.31 70
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$3.11 HK$3.59 HK$4.17 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.26 HK$2.79 HK$3.55 54
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.4500 HK$0.6400 HK$0.8300 46
EPV HK$3.47 HK$3.71 HK$3.92 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.6800 HK$1.00 HK$1.31 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.6800 HK$0.9400 HK$1.18 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$2.92 HK$3.90 HK$4.87 63
P/S Multiple HK$2.36 HK$3.15 HK$3.94 58
P/B Multiple HK$2.36 HK$3.15 HK$3.94 55
EV/EBIT HK$5.04 HK$6.17 HK$7.29 53
EV/EBITDA HK$5.16 HK$6.32 HK$7.48 54
EV/Revenue HK$4.08 HK$5.11 HK$6.14 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.57 HK$3.44 HK$5.14 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$3.58 HK$3.46 HK$2.83 76
ROIC Compounder HK$3.47 HK$3.71 HK$3.92 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$2.17 HK$3.10 HK$4.04 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$3.90) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.9400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.6%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 3.6%
Free cash flow −HK$170M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.4 as of Jul 1, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 3.0%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.2400
Dividend yield 5.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -37.1%
Net cash HK$1.0B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chen Hsong Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of plastic injection molding machines and related products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and internationally. The company is involved in the manufacturing and sale of tie bars and hydraulic control system.

Full company description

Chen Hsong Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of plastic injection molding machines and related products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and internationally. The company is involved in the manufacturing and sale of tie bars and hydraulic control system. Its products are used in automotive, packaging, home appliances, electronics, mobile phones, and other industries. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Chen Hsong Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Chen Hsong Investments Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Chen Hsong Holdings reported revenue of HK$2.5B in FY2026 versus HK$2.7B in FY2022, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$117M in FY2026, compounding −14.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 21/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$2.5B
Latest YoY
−5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.7%
Revenue −2.5%/yr
FY22 HK$2.7B
FY23 HK$2.3B
FY24 HK$2.0B
FY25 HK$2.6B
FY26 HK$2.5B
Net income −14.0%/yr
FY22 HK$213M
FY23 HK$130M
FY24 HK$101M
FY25 HK$154M
FY26 HK$117M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +14.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.1 pp

of which total revenue +5.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +5.3 pp
Tax rate +3.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Chen Hsong Holdings · Fair Value
HK$3.10 +103%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chen Hsong Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0057

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +103% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.30× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.39× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.79× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 14 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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ABB India Limited ABB ₹7,700 ₹1,322 -83%
Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND ₹5,315 ₹1,355 -75%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Chen Hsong Holdings (0057) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.10 versus a price of HK$1.53, about +103% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0057?
Our model-based fair value for Chen Hsong Holdings is HK$3.10 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.53.
What is the quality score of 0057?
Chen Hsong Holdings has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chen Hsong Holdings (0057)?
Chen Hsong Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0057?
The net profit margin of Chen Hsong Holdings is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chen Hsong Holdings pay a dividend?
Chen Hsong Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.78% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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