AMS Public Transport Holdings (0077) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$121M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.6500 to HK$1.38 (+112.3%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price +11.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 149% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.8200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.8200 to HK$1.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3536 – HK$0.6543 · fair‑value band HK$0.8200 – HK$1.94 · the HK$0.5550 price screens below the HK$1.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
AMS Public Transport Holdings (0077) currently trades at HK$0.5550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.38, implying the stock looks roughly 148.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, AMS Public Transport Holdings generated revenue of HK$428M at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. Net debt stands at HK$134M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.8200 (bear case) to HK$1.94 (bull case); at HK$0.5550, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 149%, 0077 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$2.62) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when 0077 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AMS Public Transport Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides franchised public light bus (PLB) and residents' bus transportation services in Hong Kong and the British Virgin Islands. The company operates 73 franchised PLB routes with 354 PLBs; and 4 residents' bus routes with 7 public buses.
Full company description
AMS Public Transport Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides franchised public light bus (PLB) and residents' bus transportation services in Hong Kong and the British Virgin Islands. The company operates 73 franchised PLB routes with 354 PLBs; and 4 residents' bus routes with 7 public buses. It also engages in the provision of repair and maintenance services for PLBs; and the hiring of PLBs. AMS Public Transport Holdings Limited was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Aberdeen, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AMS Public Transport Holdings reported revenue of HK$415M in FY2025 versus HK$303M in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$8.4M in FY2025, compounding −21.2%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 0077: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Railroads · 115 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $293.73 | $141.29 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $50.08 | $12.62 | -75% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.69 | $34.23 | -63% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNR | C$176.01 | C$92.68 | -47% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $335.41 | $114.55 | -66% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $295.54 | $144.80 | -51% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥5.04 | ¥5.65 | +12% |
| MTR Corporation 0066 | HK$32.30 | HK$17.85 | -45% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.98 | ¥9.53 | +59% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.72 | ¥6.22 | +32% |
Compare AMS Public Transport Holdings with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is AMS Public Transport Holdings (0077) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 0077?
What is the quality score of 0077?
What is the revenue of AMS Public Transport Holdings (0077)?
What is the net profit margin of 0077?
Does AMS Public Transport Holdings pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track AMS Public Transport Holdings and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.