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Grand Field Group (0115) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$137M

GF Grand Field Group 0115 · HK
PriceHK$4.88
Fair ValueHK$8.78
Upside+79.9%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -33.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 2/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$4.59 – HK$12.98 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −18.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 80% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$4.59 to HK$12.98). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$19.80 HK$2.00 Fair Value HK$8.78 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$2.00 – HK$19.80 · fair‑value band HK$4.59 – HK$12.98 · the HK$4.88 price screens below the HK$8.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Grand Field Group (0115) currently trades at HK$4.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$8.78, implying the stock looks roughly 79.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Grand Field Group generated revenue of HK$243M at a net margin of -33.8%. Revenue declined 34.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -29.0%. Net debt stands at HK$534M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$4.59 (bear case) to HK$12.98 (bull case); at HK$4.88, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 80%, 0115 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$50.80 HK$87.20 HK$144.07 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$53.28 HK$99.23 HK$195.45 74
NCAV (Graham) HK$4.23 HK$5.66 HK$8.45 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$54.81 HK$80.21 HK$154.34 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$47.63 HK$85.72 HK$165.20 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$48.52 HK$107.78 HK$143.21 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$40.12 HK$60.93 HK$81.73 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$4.23 HK$5.66 HK$8.45 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$50.80 HK$87.20 HK$144.07 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$53.28 HK$99.23 HK$195.45 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$87.20) versus Asset-Based (HK$5.66). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$243M
Revenue growth (YoY) -34.3%
Net margin -33.8%
Return on equity -29.0%
Free cash flow HK$110M FY2025
Operating margin -24.1%
More key figures
Net debt HK$534M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Grand Field Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, invests in and develops properties in the People's Republic of China. It also engages in hotel operation, general trading, food trading, financial arrangement, and tourism services. Grand Field Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Sha Tin, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grand Field Group reported revenue of HK$243M in FY2025 versus HK$543M in FY2021, a compound −18.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$82.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 21/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$243M
Latest YoY
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−26.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Revenue −18.3%/yr
FY21 HK$543M
FY22 HK$139M
FY23 HK$265M
FY24 HK$236M
FY25 HK$243M
Net income
FY21 −HK$224M
FY22 −HK$393M
FY23 −HK$47.0M
FY24 −HK$251M
FY25 −HK$82.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grand Field Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0115

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 593 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +80% · Above median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -34% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -24% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -34% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.14× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 47
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 43 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹661.75 ₹146.13 -78%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,209 ₹583.43 -52%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,150 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 595.00 IDR 1,488 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 73.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +15%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 610.00 IDR 1,525 IDR +150%
Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company KDH 18,150 VND 20,338 VND +12%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,300 IDR 6,239 IDR +45%
PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS 147.00 IDR 164.33 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grand Field Group (0115) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$8.78 versus a price of HK$4.88, about +80% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0115?
Our model-based fair value for Grand Field Group is HK$8.78 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$4.88.
What is the quality score of 0115?
Grand Field Group has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Grand Field Group (0115)?
Grand Field Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$243M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0115?
The net profit margin of Grand Field Group is about -33.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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