Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd HK$0.40, price HK$0.20, upside +95.1%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1620 – HK$0.5300 · the HK$0.2030 price screens below the HK$0.3960 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells machineries in Hong Kong, Mainland China, other Asia-Pacific countries, North America, and Europe. It operates in four segments: Trading of Industrial Consumables; Processing and Manufacturing of Plastic Products; Manufacturing of Machinery; and Machinery Leasing.
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Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells machineries in Hong Kong, Mainland China, other Asia-Pacific countries, North America, and Europe. It operates in four segments: Trading of Industrial Consumables; Processing and Manufacturing of Plastic Products; Manufacturing of Machinery; and Machinery Leasing. The company manufactures and sells injection molding, extrusion line, rubber injection molding, and hydraulic press machines that are used in various applications, such as automobile, construction, telecommunications, food packaging, and household appliances. It is also involved in processing of plastic food packaging; processing of plastic components for home appliances; and manufacturing of mannequins and display items. Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Limited was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118) currently trades at HK$0.2030, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3960, implying the stock looks roughly 48.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$1.18 per share, and 9 of the 10 models we run sit above the HK$0.2030 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1400, and 1 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.1B in FY2025 versus HK$3.1B in FY2021, a compound −9.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$13.4M in FY2025, compounding −37.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$175M (≈ $22.3M) · P/E ratio 10.1 · P/S ratio 0.07 · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 1.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% · Operating margin 3.1% · Revenue (TTM) HK$2.1B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 95%, 0118 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.3960Fair Value HK$0.3960Bull HK$0.3960
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−11.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 2%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.5%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 377 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+95% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth12% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
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Is Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3960 versus a price of HK$0.2030, about +95% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0118?
Our model-based fair value for Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd is HK$0.3960 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2030.
What is the quality score of 0118?
Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3960 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3960, about +95% upside versus a price of HK$0.2030 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0118 use?
Our models discount Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.03, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd grew -3.2 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.62 %: that much free cash flow Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd it is HK$0.3960 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2030. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0118 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2030, fair value HK$0.3960, a gap of about +95% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0118?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2030); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3960). For Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd the two are HK$0.1930 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd worth?
The market values Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd at about HK$175M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2030; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3960 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 0118?
Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.3960 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.6%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0118 from its 52-week high?
Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd trades at HK$0.2030, about 53% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4350 and 15% above the low of HK$0.1760 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3960 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Poste Italiane S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.2030, calculated fair value HK$0.3960 (+95%), Quality Score 59/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0118 calculated?
We run Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3960, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd currently trades 95 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$0.2030. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3960, about +95% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3960). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
The market capitalisation of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd is HK$175M (≈ $22.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd is 0.07 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
The net margin of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd is 0.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
The operating margin of Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
Revenue at Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd is growing +11.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118)?
Earnings per share at Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd are growing −58.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd (0118) hold?
Cosmos Machinery Enterprises Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$422M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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