Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd stock HK$7.44, price HK$3.04, upside +144.7%, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.91 – HK$10.68 · fair‑value band HK$4.57 – HK$11.53 · the HK$3.04 price screens below the HK$7.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
Follow Yuexiu Property Co in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Yuexiu Property Co is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Yuexiu Property Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops, sells, invests, and manages properties primarily in Mainland China and Hong Kong. It operates through four segments: Property Development, Property Management, Property Investment, and Other.
Show moreShow less
The company develops residential and commercial properties.
It also offers property rental and property management services; property leasing; real estate agency and decoration services; elderly care products and services; and education services, as well as engages in manufacturing of computers, communication and other electronic equipment.
The company was founded in 1983 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123) currently trades at HK$3.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.44, implying the stock looks roughly 59% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$51.99 per share, and 10 of the 13 models we run sit above the HK$3.04 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$2.53, and 3 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$4.57 (bear) to HK$11.53 (bull), the price of HK$3.04 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Yuexiu Property Co Ltd reported revenue of 86.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 57.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was 55.1M CNY in FY2025, compounding −64.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$12.2B (≈ $1.6B) Small · P/S ratio 0.16 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −1.6% · Return on equity −0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 2.0% · Revenue (TTM) 75.5B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 17 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at 145%, 0123 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$4.57Fair Value HK$7.44BullHK$11.53
Price HK$3.04 · Upside +144.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.6% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−46.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−46.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−46.3% vs −19.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 3%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 489 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside+144.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−1.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)2.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−23.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.42× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yuexiu Property Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0123
Frequently asked questions
Is Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$7.44 versus a price of HK$3.04, about +145% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0123?
Our model-based fair value for Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is HK$7.44 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.04.
What is the quality score of 0123?
Yuexiu Property Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$7.44 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$4.57, optimistic scenario HK$11.53. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yuexiu Property Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$7.44, about +145% upside versus a price of HK$3.04 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$4.57, optimistic scenario HK$11.53. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
Yuexiu Property Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 75.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Yuexiu Property Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Yuexiu Property Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.26% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Yuexiu Property Co Ltd pays a dividend of HK$0.008 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 12, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2011. Free cash flow covers the dividend 22.72 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What is the intrinsic value of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yuexiu Property Co Ltd it is HK$7.44 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of HK$3.04. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Yuexiu Property Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 0123 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$3.04, fair value HK$7.44, a gap of about +145% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0123?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$3.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$7.44). For Yuexiu Property Co Ltd the two are HK$4.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yuexiu Property Co Ltd worth?
The market values Yuexiu Property Co Ltd at about HK$12.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is HK$3.04; our models calculate a fair value of HK$7.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0123?
Our models span a range for Yuexiu Property Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$4.57, base HK$7.44, optimistic HK$11.53 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price HK$3.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −0.3%, debt of 1.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0123 from its 52-week high?
Yuexiu Property Co Ltd trades at HK$3.04, about 37% below its 52-week high of HK$4.85 and 4% above the low of HK$2.91 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$7.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yuexiu Property Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yuexiu Property Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price HK$3.04, calculated fair value HK$7.44 (+145%), Quality Score 47/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0123 calculated?
We run Yuexiu Property Co Ltd through 15 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$7.44 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Yuexiu Property Co Ltd currently trades 59% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was HK$3.04. Our model-based fair value is HK$7.44, about +145% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yuexiu Property Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (47/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$4.57). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$4.57 to HK$11.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
The market capitalisation of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is HK$12.2B (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is 0.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
The dividend yield of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
The net margin of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is −1.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
The operating margin of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
Revenue at Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is growing −23.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
Earnings per share at Yuexiu Property Co Ltd are growing −93.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123) generate?
The free cash flow of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is 13.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123) carry?
The net debt of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is 60.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Yuexiu Property Co Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Yuexiu Property Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 5, 2026