Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd HK$2.85, price HK$3.27, upside -12.9%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$3.01 – HK$10.70 · fair‑value band HK$1.75 – HK$4.41 · the HK$3.27 price screens above the HK$2.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Yuexiu Property Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops, sells, invests, and manages properties primarily in Mainland China and Hong Kong. It operates through four segments: Property Development, Property Management, Property Investment, and Other. The company develops residential and commercial properties.
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Yuexiu Property Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops, sells, invests, and manages properties primarily in Mainland China and Hong Kong. It operates through four segments: Property Development, Property Management, Property Investment, and Other. The company develops residential and commercial properties. It also offers property rental and property management services; property leasing; real estate agency and decoration services; elderly care products and services; and education services, as well as engages in manufacturing of computers, communication and other electronic equipment. The company was founded in 1983 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123) currently trades at HK$3.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.85, implying the stock looks roughly 14.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$28.35 per share, and 11 of the 16 models we run sit above the HK$3.27 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.5400, and 5 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$1.75 (bear) to HK$4.41 (bull), the price of HK$3.27 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Yuexiu Property Co Ltd reported revenue of 86.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 57.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was 55.1M CNY in FY2025, compounding −64.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$13.1B (≈ $1.7B) · P/E ratio 167.0 · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.3400 · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −13%, 0123 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$1.75Fair Value HK$2.85Bull HK$4.41
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.1383 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.6% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−41.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−46.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−46% vs −20%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 3%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Below median
Fair Value upside−13% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−24% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.42× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yuexiu Property Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0123
Frequently asked questions
Is Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.85 versus a price of HK$3.27, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0123?
Our model-based fair value for Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is HK$2.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.27.
What is the quality score of 0123?
Yuexiu Property Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.75, optimistic scenario HK$4.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yuexiu Property Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.85, about −13% upside versus a price of HK$3.27 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.75, optimistic scenario HK$4.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
Yuexiu Property Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 86.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Yuexiu Property Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Yuexiu Property Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.62% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yuexiu Property Co Ltd it is HK$2.85 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$3.27. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yuexiu Property Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0123 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$3.27, fair value HK$2.85, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0123?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$3.27); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.85). For Yuexiu Property Co Ltd the two are HK$0.4200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yuexiu Property Co Ltd worth?
The market values Yuexiu Property Co Ltd at about HK$13.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$3.27; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0123?
Our models span a range for Yuexiu Property Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.75, base HK$2.85, optimistic HK$4.41 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$3.27). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0123?
Yuexiu Property Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 167.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$2.85 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 15.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.7%, debt of 1.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0123 from its 52-week high?
Yuexiu Property Co Ltd trades at HK$3.27, about 35% below its 52-week high of HK$5.04 and 8% above the low of HK$3.01 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yuexiu Property Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yuexiu Property Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$3.27, calculated fair value HK$2.85 (−13%), Quality Score 42/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0123 calculated?
We run Yuexiu Property Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$2.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Yuexiu Property Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was HK$3.27. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.85, about −13% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yuexiu Property Co Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (HK$1.75 to HK$4.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
The market capitalisation of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is HK$13.1B (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is 0.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
Earnings per share at Yuexiu Property Co Ltd are HK$0.3400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 167.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
The dividend yield of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is 4.6% (payout 44.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
The net margin of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is 0.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
The operating margin of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
Revenue at Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is growing −23.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123)?
Earnings per share at Yuexiu Property Co Ltd are growing −25.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123) generate?
The free cash flow of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is 13.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Yuexiu Property Co Ltd (0123) carry?
The net debt of Yuexiu Property Co Ltd is 60.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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