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China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd (0269) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$106M (≈ $13.6M) · ISIN KYG2162D1126

What is China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd really worth?

CR China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd 0269 · HK
PriceHK$0.0100
Fair ValueHK$0.0101
Upside+1.0%
Quality43/100

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of HK$0.0101.

As of Aug 30, 2026, the fair value of China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd is HK$0.0101 per share against a price of HK$0.0100, so the fair value sits 1% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -51.7% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0098 – HK$0.0103

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.0098 to HK$0.0103), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.0300 HK$0.0100 Fair Value HK$0.0101 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0100 – HK$0.0300 · fair‑value band HK$0.0098 – HK$0.0103 · the HK$0.0100 price screens below the HK$0.0101 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd (0269) currently trades at HK$0.0100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0101, implying the stock looks roughly 1.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of HK$0.0300 per share, and 12 of the 12 models we run sit above the HK$0.0100 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0300, and 0 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$602M at a net margin of −51.7%. Revenue grew 8.0% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$13.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0098 (bear case) to HK$0.0103 (bull case); at HK$0.0100, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at 1%, 0269 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.2000 HK$0.2800 HK$0.5100 75
Growth DCF HK$0.1900 HK$0.3000 HK$0.4800 75
EPV HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 74
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.2000 HK$0.2800 HK$0.5100 75
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1200 HK$0.1800 HK$0.3000 69
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2900 HK$0.5300 HK$1.00 69
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1500 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3100 65
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2600 HK$0.5800 HK$1.15 62
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 66
EV/EBITDA HK$0.3500 HK$0.4600 HK$0.5800 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.1900 HK$0.3000 HK$0.4800 75
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1300 HK$0.2000 HK$0.3600 68
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 70

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.2800) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0300). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.18 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0300
Net margin −58.4% FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 27.6% TTM
Revenue (TTM) HK$602M TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.0% 3y avg +6.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$178M FY2025
Net debt HK$13.6B FY2025 · ≈ 76.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 52
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

China Resources and Transportation Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates toll expressways in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company operates through three segments: Expressway Operations, compressed natural gas (CNG) Gas Stations Operations, and Other Operations.

Full company description

China Resources and Transportation Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates toll expressways in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company operates through three segments: Expressway Operations, compressed natural gas (CNG) Gas Stations Operations, and Other Operations. The Expressway Operations segment is involved in the operation, management, maintenance, and auxiliary facility investment of Zhunxing Expressway. The CNG Gas Stations Operations segment operates CNG gas stations. The Other Operations segment is involved in the sale of timber logs from tree plantations and outside suppliers; sale of seedlings and refined plant oil; growing and sale of forage and agricultural products; and electricity supply by solar power stations. The company also offers investment and asset management, timber logging, and tree plantation services; and sells furniture and handicrafts, as well as engages in the construction and operation of petrol and gas stations. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$578M in FY2025 versus HK$598M in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$338M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$578M
Latest YoY
−2.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.7%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.1% (2020) → 14.2% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −0.9%/yr
FY21 HK$598M
FY22 HK$480M
FY23 HK$735M
FY24 HK$593M
FY25 HK$578M
Net income
FY21 −HK$1.3B
FY22 −HK$4.4B
FY23 −HK$1.3B
FY24 HK$1.7B
FY25 −HK$338M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0269.HK

Peer Group

Infrastructure Operations · 64 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +0% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −52% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE33 · sector 56
FUTURE40 · sector 10
PAST0 · sector 25
HEALTH100 · sector 69
DIVIDEND0 · sector 79

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd (0269) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0101 versus a price of HK$0.0100, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0269?
Our model-based fair value for China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd is HK$0.0101 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0100.
What is the quality score of 0269?
China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd (0269)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0101 (as of Aug 30, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0098, optimistic scenario HK$0.0103. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0101, about +1% upside versus a price of HK$0.0100 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0098, optimistic scenario HK$0.0103. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd (0269)?
China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$602M (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0269?
The net profit margin of China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd is about −51.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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