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WH Group (0288) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$103B

WG WH Group 0288 · HK
PriceHK$8.22
Fair ValueHK$2.56
Upside-68.9%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.98% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$1.84 – HK$3.21 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −0.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$3.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$10.37 HK$2.86 Fair Value HK$2.56 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$2.86 – HK$10.37 · fair‑value band HK$1.84 – HK$3.21 · the HK$8.22 price screens above the HK$2.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

WH Group (0288) currently trades at HK$8.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.56, implying the stock looks roughly 68.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, WH Group generated revenue of HK$28.0B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.7%. Net debt stands at HK$1.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.84 (bear case) to HK$3.21 (bull case); at HK$8.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -69%, 0288 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$1.72 HK$2.48 HK$3.54 80
Residual Income HK$0.8500 HK$1.03 HK$1.84 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.77 HK$2.79 HK$3.92 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.68 HK$2.52 HK$3.76 38
Owner Earnings HK$1.49 HK$2.23 HK$3.32 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.77 HK$2.78 HK$4.06 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.08 HK$3.36 HK$4.82 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$1.67 HK$2.59 HK$3.54 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.67 HK$2.58 HK$3.76 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.92 HK$2.97 HK$4.33 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$1.66 HK$2.45 HK$3.38 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.8300 HK$2.31 HK$3.04 54
Lynch FV HK$0.4600 HK$0.6600 HK$0.8600 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.4600 HK$0.6600 HK$0.8600 46
EPV HK$1.57 HK$1.82 HK$2.04 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.29 HK$2.69 HK$4.26 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.29 HK$2.04 HK$2.82 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$1.83 HK$2.44 HK$3.05 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.56 HK$2.08 HK$2.60 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.56 HK$2.08 HK$2.60 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.82 HK$3.75 HK$4.67 53
EV/EBITDA HK$2.60 HK$3.46 HK$4.31 54
EV/Revenue HK$1.91 HK$2.72 HK$3.52 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4400 HK$0.5800 HK$0.8700 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.72 HK$2.48 HK$3.54 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.77 HK$2.79 HK$3.92 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.8500 HK$1.03 HK$1.84 76
ROIC Compounder HK$1.66 HK$2.06 HK$2.52 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.47 HK$2.09 HK$2.72 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$2.58) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.5800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$28.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.3%
Net margin 5.6%
Return on equity 15.7%
Free cash flow HK$1.9B FY2025
P/E ratio 8.4
More key figures
Operating margin 10.6%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0600
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -6.1%
Net debt HK$1.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

WH Group Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells packaged meats, pork, and hogs in China, North America, and Europe. It operates through Packaged Meats, Pork, and Others segments.

Full company description

WH Group Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells packaged meats, pork, and hogs in China, North America, and Europe. It operates through Packaged Meats, Pork, and Others segments. The company is involved in production, wholesale, and retail sale of low temperature and high temperature meat products; hog farming, slaughtering, and wholesale and retail sale of fresh and frozen pork; slaughtering, production, and sale of poultry; and sale of ancillary products and services, such as logistics and supply chain management services, flavoring ingredients and natural casings, condiments, biological pharmaceutical materials, and packaging materials. It also engages in the operation of finance and property development companies, and a chain of retail food stores; and livestock breeding. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

WH Group reported revenue of HK$28.0B in FY2025 versus HK$27.3B in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.6B in FY2025, compounding +10.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$28.0B
Latest YoY
+8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+12.4%
Revenue +0.7%/yr
FY21 HK$27.3B
FY22 HK$28.1B
FY23 HK$26.2B
FY24 HK$25.9B
FY25 HK$28.0B
Net income +10.1%/yr
FY21 HK$1.1B
FY22 HK$1.4B
FY23 HK$629M
FY24 HK$1.6B
FY25 HK$1.6B

0288 screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
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WH Group · Fair Value
HK$2.56 −69%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "WH Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0288

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 650 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.17× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.47× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 20.50× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 30
FUTURE 37 · sector 20
PAST 63 · sector 27
HEALTH 91 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is WH Group (0288) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.56 versus a price of HK$8.22, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0288?
Our model-based fair value for WH Group is HK$2.56 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$8.22.
What is the quality score of 0288?
WH Group has a Quality Score of 62/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of WH Group (0288)?
WH Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$28.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0288?
The net profit margin of WH Group is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does WH Group pay a dividend?
WH Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.88% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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