POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of POSCO Holdings Inc stock $44.20, price $54.97, upside -19.6%, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $33.38 – $122.70 · fair‑value band $33.15 – $55.26 · the $54.97 price screens above the $44.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
Follow POSCO Holdings in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether POSCO Holdings is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
POSCO Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated steel producer in Korea and internationally. It operates through six segments: Steel, Trading, Construction, Logistics and Others, Green Materials and Energy, and Others.
Show moreShow less
The company engages in the production, import, sale, and export of steel products, such as hot and cold rolled steel, stainless steel, plates, wire rods, and silicon steel sheets, as well as pig iron, billets, blooms, and slabs; trading of steel and raw materials, textiles, agricultural commodities, and other goods; natural resources development and power generation activities; and planning, designing, and construction of industrial plants, civil engineering projects, and commercial and residential buildings.
It is also involved in the manufacture and sale of various energy-related and other industrial materials, including anode and cathode materials for rechargeable batteries; investment business; and provision of alternative environmentally-friendly energy solutions, as well as information technology and operational technology, and integrated logistics services.
POSCO Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Seoul, South Korea.
Stock analysis
POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX) currently trades at $54.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.20, 19.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $84.07 per share, and 4 of the 14 models we run sit above the $54.97 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $5.82, and 10 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $33.15 (bear) to $55.26 (bull), the price of $54.97 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
POSCO Holdings Inc reported revenue of 69.0T KRW in FY2025 versus 76.3T KRW in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 691B KRW in FY2025, compounding −43.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $17.4B Large · P/E ratio 16.4 · EPS (TTM) $3.36 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% · Operating margin 4.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −20%, PKX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$33.15Fair Value $44.20Bull$55.26
Price $54.97 · Upside -19.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.69 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.27/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.7% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−49.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−52.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−52.3% vs −12.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 3%
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: The push into battery components via a major cathode supply agreement offers a potential growth avenue, yet the core steel business remains limited by thin margins, weak returns and negative free cash flow.
Main risk: Execution challenges and additional capital needs for the battery materials expansion risk worsening the already negative free cash flow and pressuring core steel margins further.
POSCO Future M has landed a major long-term supply agreement for LFP cathode materials with SK On, building on its push into battery components. This adds a new growth layer to the steel-focused operations, yet it also brings fresh investment needs and execution questions at a time when core margins face pressure. Will the battery materials business deliver enough upside to ease those strains, or will it mainly add complexity without lifting overall results?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 406 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−19.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.2% · Below median
Return on assets0.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)1.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)4.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)9.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.29× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $44.20 versus a price of $54.97, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PKX?
Our model-based fair value for POSCO Holdings Inc is $44.20 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $54.97.
What is the quality score of PKX?
POSCO Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $44.20 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $33.15, optimistic scenario $55.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the POSCO Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $44.20, about −20% upside versus a price of $54.97 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $33.15, optimistic scenario $55.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX)?
POSCO Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 71.2T KRW (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does POSCO Holdings Inc pay a dividend?
POSCO Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 2.74% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For POSCO Holdings Inc it is $44.20 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $54.97. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is POSCO Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, PKX trades above its calculated fair value: price $54.97, fair value $44.20, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PKX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($54.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($44.20). For POSCO Holdings Inc the two are $10.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is POSCO Holdings Inc worth?
The market values POSCO Holdings Inc at about $17.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $54.97; our models calculate a fair value of $44.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PKX?
Our models span a range for POSCO Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $33.15, base $44.20, optimistic $55.26 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $54.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PKX?
POSCO Holdings Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.4 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $44.20 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 0.4, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.2.
What is the PEG ratio of PKX?
The PEG ratio of POSCO Holdings Inc is 0.89 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 2, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX)?
Balance-sheet figures for POSCO Holdings Inc (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 2.2%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PKX from its 52-week high?
POSCO Holdings Inc trades at $54.97, about 40% below its 52-week high of $91.42 and 13% above the low of $48.68 (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $44.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to POSCO Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is POSCO Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $54.97, calculated fair value $44.20 (−20%), Quality Score 48/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PKX calculated?
We run POSCO Holdings Inc through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $44.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. POSCO Holdings Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was $54.97. Our model-based fair value is $44.20, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with POSCO Holdings Inc right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX) come from?
Earnings per share at POSCO Holdings Inc grew −2.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −5.4 %, EBIT margin −2.1 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of POSCO Holdings Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX)?
The market capitalisation of POSCO Holdings Inc is $17.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX)?
Earnings per share at POSCO Holdings Inc are $3.36 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX)?
The dividend yield of POSCO Holdings Inc is 2.7% (payout 44.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX)?
The net margin of POSCO Holdings Inc is 1.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of POSCO Holdings Inc is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of POSCO Holdings Inc is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX)?
The operating margin of POSCO Holdings Inc is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX)?
Revenue at POSCO Holdings Inc is growing +9.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX)?
Earnings per share at POSCO Holdings Inc are growing +328% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX) generate?
The free cash flow of POSCO Holdings Inc is −1.7T KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does POSCO Holdings Inc (PKX) carry?
The net debt of POSCO Holdings Inc is 21.5T KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch POSCO Holdings Inc in the live analysis
One click puts POSCO Holdings Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 28,000+ stock screener.
Some data
Oct 2, 2026