Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd HK$0.70, price HK$0.93, upside -24.7%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.7600 – HK$2.14 · fair‑value band HK$0.6600 – HK$0.7400 · the HK$0.9300 price screens above the HK$0.7000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Yangtzekiang Garment Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells garment and textile products in Hong Kong, Mainland China, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, Canada, and internationally.
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Yangtzekiang Garment Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells garment and textile products in Hong Kong, Mainland China, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Manufacture and Sale of Garments and Textiles; Interests in Joint Ventures; and Property Leasing. The company offers men's and ladies' shirts, trousers, shorts, polo shirts, t-shirts, jackets, and knitted outerwear, etc.; sport shirts, blouses, and casual shirts; skirts and suits; and boxers, briefs, woven and knitted pyjamas, and ladies' night dress. It also engages in the knitting and dyeing of fabrics; manufacture and sale of textile yarn products; leasing of commercial and industrial premises; and provision of garment processing services. Yangtzekiang Garment Limited was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in San Po Kong, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294) currently trades at HK$0.9300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7000, 24.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$3.11 per share, and 1 of the 8 models we run sit above the HK$0.9300 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.1900, and 7 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.6600 (bear) to HK$0.7400 (bull), the price of HK$0.9300 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd reported revenue of HK$186M in FY2025 versus HK$420M in FY2021, a compound −18.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$59.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$192M (≈ $24.5M) · P/S ratio 0.85 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.4000 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin −32.1% · Return on equity −8.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.6% · Operating margin −6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −25%, 0294 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.6600Fair Value HK$0.7000Bull HK$0.7400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −16.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.3% (2019) → −10.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Manufacturing · 213 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−24.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−1.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−41.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−6.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.13× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF13.8× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)69· sector 3
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)43· sector 54
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.7000 versus a price of HK$0.9300, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0294?
Our model-based fair value for Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd is HK$0.7000 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.9300.
What is the quality score of 0294?
Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.7000 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.6600, optimistic scenario HK$0.7400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.7000, about −25% upside versus a price of HK$0.9300 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6600, optimistic scenario HK$0.7400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$197M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd pay a dividend?
Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.15% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -22.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0294 use?
Our models discount Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.14, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd grew -22.3 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.92 %: that much free cash flow Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd it is HK$0.7000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.9300. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0294 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.9300, fair value HK$0.7000, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0294?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.9300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.7000). For Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd the two are HK$0.2300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd worth?
The market values Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd at about HK$192M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.9300; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.7000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0294?
Our models span a range for Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.6600, base HK$0.7000, optimistic HK$0.7400 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.9300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −8.5%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0294 from its 52-week high?
Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd trades at HK$0.9300, about 19% below its 52-week high of HK$1.15 and 22% above the low of HK$0.7600 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.7000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Ralph Lauren Corporation, Moncler S.p.A, LPP SA, Levi Strauss & Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.9300, calculated fair value HK$0.7000 (−25%), Quality Score 50/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0294 calculated?
We run Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.7000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.9300. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.7000, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.7400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.6600 to HK$0.7400), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
The market capitalisation of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd is HK$192M (≈ $24.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd is 0.85 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
Earnings per share at Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd are HK$−0.4000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
The dividend yield of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd is 2.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
The net margin of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd is −32.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd is −8.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd is −0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
The operating margin of Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd is −6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
Revenue at Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd is growing +13.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −21.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294)?
Earnings per share at Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd are growing −7.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd (0294) hold?
Yangtzekiang Garment Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$123M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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