Midea Group Co., Ltd. (0300) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$629B (≈ $80.2B) · ISIN CNE100006M58

What is Midea Group Co., Ltd. really worth?

MG Midea Group Co., Ltd. 0300 · HK

PriceHK$100.80

Fair ValueHK$128.52

Upside+27.5%

Quality55/100

A solid business, trading 22% below our fair value of HK$128.52.

As of Sep 6, 2026, the fair value of Midea Group Co., Ltd. is HK$128.52 per share against a price of HK$100.80, so the fair value sits 28% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +9.9 %/yr)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (9/15)

✓Wide moat 69/100

Risks

!Thin margins · 9.6% net margin

!Weak on future: 13 out of 100

For context

·4.27% dividend yield

Evidence: High Range HK$97.33 – HK$178.21

Fair value as of: Sep 6, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 6, 2026, revised from HK$104.67 to HK$128.52 (+22.8%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +3.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
A fairly wide model range (HK$97.33 to HK$178.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

24‑month range HK$53.26 – HK$101.40 · fair‑value band HK$97.33 – HK$178.21 · the HK$100.80 price screens below the HK$128.52 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Midea Group Co., Ltd. (0300) currently trades at HK$100.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$128.52, implying the stock looks roughly 21.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$150.80 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$100.80 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$23.97, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Midea Group Co., Ltd. generated revenue of HK$460B at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$23.6B. Fundamentals as of Sep 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$97.33 (bear case) to HK$178.21 (bull case); at HK$100.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at 28%, 0300 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$103.34 HK$182.60 HK$327.04 77

Growth DCF HK$102.95 HK$176.98 HK$310.62 76

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$90.82 HK$150.72 HK$225.46 74

All 26 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$103.34 HK$182.60 HK$327.04 77

Owner Earnings HK$103.20 HK$182.36 HK$326.58 73

5Y Revenue Exit HK$81.87 HK$132.26 HK$200.15 72

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$90.82 HK$150.72 HK$225.46 74

5Y P/E Exit HK$113.98 HK$198.49 HK$295.41 70

10Y Revenue Exit HK$85.96 HK$136.96 HK$214.21 66

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$94.24 HK$150.80 HK$235.90 67

10Y P/E Exit HK$109.95 HK$186.62 HK$295.85 62

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$47.90 HK$222.32 HK$305.39 64

Lynch FV HK$58.63 HK$83.75 HK$108.88 61

PEG = 1.0 HK$58.63 HK$83.75 HK$108.88 57

EPV HK$71.43 HK$82.07 HK$91.53 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$50.16 HK$109.50 HK$184.24 65

DDM Multi-Stage HK$50.16 HK$89.70 HK$114.12 66

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$116.22 HK$154.97 HK$193.71 63

P/S Multiple HK$66.14 HK$88.19 HK$110.24 58

P/B Multiple HK$89.81 HK$119.75 HK$149.68 55

EV/EBIT HK$111.07 HK$144.38 HK$177.70 66

EV/EBITDA HK$91.23 HK$117.93 HK$144.63 67

EV/Revenue HK$72.86 HK$99.31 HK$125.77 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$17.89 HK$23.97 HK$35.78 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$102.95 HK$176.98 HK$310.62 76

Rev-Margin DCF HK$81.87 HK$131.31 HK$195.26 72

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$45.85 HK$55.74 HK$145.31 68

ROIC Compounder HK$80.09 HK$104.68 HK$136.70 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$95.92 HK$137.03 HK$178.14 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$150.80) versus Asset-Based (HK$23.97). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.3 as of Jul 1, 2026

P/S ratio 1.18 P/E × margin

EPS (TTM) HK$3.20 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3

Dividend yield 4.3% payout 134%

Net margin 9.6% FY2025

Return on equity 18.3% TTM

More key figures

Profitability

Return on assets (EBIT) 8.1% avg 5y

Operating margin 11.0% TTM

Growth

Revenue (TTM) HK$460B TTM

Revenue growth (YoY) +2.6% 3y avg +9.9%

EPS growth (YoY) +3.7%

Balance sheet & cash flow

Free cash flow HK$42.2B FY2025

Net cash HK$23.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 52

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 61

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 54

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 72

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 51

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 87

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 68

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 82

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 26

Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Full company description

Midea Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of electrical appliance in China and internationally. The company operates in Smart Home System, Building Technology, Robotics and Automation, and Industrial Technology, and Other Innovative Business. It offers smart home products such as household air conditioners, central air conditioners, heating and ventilation systems, kitchen appliances, refrigerators, washing machines, and various small appliances; commercial and industrial solutions, including products and services, such as elevators, high and low voltage frequency converters, medical imaging products, robots, and automation systems; and other businesses including smart supply chain, sales, wholesale and processing of household appliance raw materials, as well as financial businesses, such as deposit taking, interbank lending, consumer credit, buyer credit, and financial leasing. Additionally, it provides Internet of Things solutions. Midea Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1968 and is based in Foshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Midea Group Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 459B CNY in FY2025 versus 343B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was 43.9B CNY in FY2025, compounding +11.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Latest Revenue (FY 2025)

HK$459B

Latest YoY

+12.1%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+9.9%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+9.9%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (22Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+17.2%

Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.

+12.4% · in HKD

Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.

Earnings growth per share+8.1%

Dividend yield4.3%

Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 8.1% vs 10Y 11.2%, flattening

Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11.0% (2020) → 10.1% (2025) · steady

Revenue +7.5%/yr

FY21 343B CNY

FY22 346B CNY

FY23 374B CNY

FY24 409B CNY

FY25 459B CNY

Net income +11.4%/yr

FY21 28.6B CNY

FY22 29.6B CNY

FY23 33.7B CNY

FY24 38.5B CNY

FY25 43.9B CNY

Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +11.8 % p.a.

Revenue per share +10.7 %

of which total revenue +12.2 % · buybacks/dilution −1.3 %

EBIT margin +0.4 %

Tax rate +0.1 %

Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Midea Group Co., Ltd. · Fair Value
HK$128.52 +22%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0300.HK" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Midea Group Co., Ltd. · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$128.52</b> <span style="color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+22%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Midea Group Co., Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0300.HK

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 317 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median

Fair Value upside +14% · Above median

Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%

Return on assets 5% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%

Revenue growth 3% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Above median

Debt / equity 0.07× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

P/B 2.82× · Pricier than 75% of peers

P/S (TTM) 1.37× · Pricier than median

P/FCF 1.9× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 10.6× · Pricier than median

PEG 2.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE52 · sector 21

FUTURE13 · sector 0

PAST73 · sector 19

HEALTH96 · sector 98

DIVIDEND85 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Midea Group Co., Ltd. (0300) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$128.52 versus a price of HK$100.80, about +28% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 0300?

Our model-based fair value for Midea Group Co., Ltd. is HK$128.52 (as of Sep 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$100.80.

What is the quality score of 0300?

Midea Group Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Midea Group Co., Ltd. (0300)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$128.52 (as of Sep 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$97.33, optimistic scenario HK$178.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Midea Group Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$128.52, about +28% upside versus a price of HK$100.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$97.33, optimistic scenario HK$178.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Midea Group Co., Ltd. (0300)?

Midea Group Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$460B (latest available figure, as of Sep 6, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 0300?

The net profit margin of Midea Group Co., Ltd. is about 9.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does Midea Group Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?

Midea Group Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.27% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 6, 2026).

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