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Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. $10.76, price $21.07, upside -48.9%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US01862Q1076

AL Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.

ALH · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $10.76 · Strongly overvalued (−49%)
!Quality 51/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +7.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.1% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/13)
✓Wide moat 65/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $6.24 to $23.58
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$28.01 $19.06 Fair Value $10.76 Oct 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

11‑month range $19.06 – $28.01 · fair‑value band $6.24 – $23.58 · the $21.07 price screens above the $10.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells commercial laundry systems in the United States, the Czech Republic, Thailand, and internationally.

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Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells commercial laundry systems in the United States, the Czech Republic, Thailand, and internationally. The company offers washer extractors, top-load washers, and front-load washers; tumblers and small-chassis dryers; combination washer and dryer products; service parts and consumables; and equipment financing, laundromat site selection assistance, investment seminar training programs, computer-aided commercial laundry room design, sales and service training for distributors, technical assistance, and on-call installation and repair services. It also provides Speed Queen Insights, Huebsch Command, Primus i-Trace, and IPSO Connect, which offer performance reporting, issue and error alerts, machine control and programming, a mobile payment platform with an integrated loyalty program, and an integrated CRM and marketing system to vended laundry customers; UniMac Core, a cloud-based monitoring and reporting management tool that allows laundry managers to manage laundry operations from anywhere at any time; UniMac FireLinc system, a tool for digital record keeping simple and fire equipment bar code scanning; and a financing website that allows customers to manage bills, statements, and account balances. The company sells its products under the Speed Queen, Huebsch, UniMac, Primus, and IPSO brands. It distributes its products through a network of distributors and direct sales channels. The company serves healthcare facilities, fire stations, hotels, laundromats, communal laundry facilities, and other commercial applications, as well as household and individual users. The company was formerly known as ALH Holding Inc. and changed its name to Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. in August 2025. Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Ripon, Wisconsin.

Stock analysis

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) currently trades at $21.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.76, implying the stock looks roughly 95.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $13.46 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the $21.07 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.32, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $6.24 (bear) to $23.58 (bull), the price of $21.07 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2022, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was $102M in FY2025, compounding +0.7%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $5.1B · P/E ratio 29.7 · P/S ratio 1.77 · EPS (TTM) $0.7100 · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 185% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9% · Operating margin 19.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 57% fair-value upside, at −49%, ALH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $6.24 Fair Value $10.76 Bull $23.58
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5194 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $4.66 $6.69 $8.45 73
FCF DCF $9.01 $20.79 $39.66 72
Growth DCF $8.98 $19.96 $37.07 71
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.01 $20.79 $39.66 72
Owner Earnings $8.05 $19.17 $36.99 68
5Y Revenue Exit $4.64 $12.53 $22.85 65
5Y EBITDA Exit $9.75 $22.74 $38.62 69
5Y P/E Exit $2.52 $8.29 $14.55 64
10Y Revenue Exit $5.70 $13.46 $24.58 60
10Y EBITDA Exit $9.31 $20.65 $37.10 62
10Y P/E Exit $4.68 $10.48 $17.99 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.48 $14.42 $19.65 61
Lynch FV $3.64 $5.20 $6.75 58
PEG = 1.0 $3.64 $5.20 $6.75 55
EPV $4.66 $6.69 $8.45 73
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.07 $10.76 $13.45 63
P/S Multiple $6.53 $8.71 $10.89 58
P/B Multiple $6.53 $8.71 $10.89 55
EV/EBIT $12.17 $18.96 $25.75 65
EV/EBITDA $11.98 $18.70 $25.43 66
EV/Revenue $2.64 $7.29 $11.94 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9900 $1.32 $1.97 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.98 $19.96 $37.07 71
Rev-Margin DCF $4.64 $12.51 $22.34 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.30 $4.48 $24.75 61
ROIC Compounder $5.61 $9.96 $15.74 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.24 $8.92 $11.59 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 10
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−8.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 19%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.8% a year for the price and +3.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+6.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.6%

ALH screens 96% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (44 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 316 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −49% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 185% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 4.54× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 13.07× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 2.94× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 32.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 16.1× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)48 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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SharkNinja, Inc SN $169.01 $100.78 −40%
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Mohawk Industries, Inc MHK $121.23 $119.26 −2%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.70 ¥50.62 +90%
Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 ¥50.75 ¥81.13 +60%

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Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. · Fair Value
$10.76 −96%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALH

Frequently asked questions

Is Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.76 versus a price of $21.07, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALH?
Our model-based fair value for Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. is $10.76 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $21.07.
What is the quality score of ALH?
Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.76 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.24, optimistic scenario $23.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.76, about −49% upside versus a price of $21.07 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $6.24, optimistic scenario $23.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +21.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +7.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ALH use?
Our models discount Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. that is +21.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. grew +7.5 % a year. The price currently implies +21.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (+21.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.80 %: that much free cash flow Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. it is $10.76 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $21.07. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ALH trades above its calculated fair value: price $21.07, fair value $10.76, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALH?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($21.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.76). For Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. the two are $10.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. worth?
The market values Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. at about $5.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $21.07; our models calculate a fair value of $10.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALH?
Our models span a range for Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.: cautious scenario $6.24, base $10.76, optimistic $23.58 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $21.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALH?
Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 13.1, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 16.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 185.1%, debt of 4.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALH from its 52-week high?
Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. trades at $21.07, about 25% below its 52-week high of $28.01 and 11% above the low of $19.06 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, King Slide Works Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $21.07, calculated fair value $10.76 (−49%), Quality Score 51/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALH calculated?
We run Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $21.07. Our model-based fair value is $10.76, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($6.24 to $23.58). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
The market capitalisation of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. is $5.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. is 1.77 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
Earnings per share at Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. are $0.7100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
The net margin of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. is 6.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. is 185% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. is 9.9% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
The operating margin of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. is 19.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
Revenue at Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. is growing +9.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH)?
Earnings per share at Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. are growing +180% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) carry?
The net debt of Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. is $1.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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