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Alliance Laundry Holdings (ALH) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $5.1B

AL Alliance Laundry Holdings logo Alliance Laundry Holdings ALH · US
Price$27.77
Fair Value$8.01
Upside-71.2%
Quality51/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.1% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range $3.64 – $13.45 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +9.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 71% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($3.64 to $13.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (10 months)

$28.01 $19.06 Fair Value $8.01 Oct 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

10‑month range $19.06 – $28.01 · fair‑value band $3.64 – $13.45 · the $27.77 price screens above the $8.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Alliance Laundry Holdings (ALH) currently trades at $27.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.01, implying the stock looks roughly 71.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Alliance Laundry Holdings generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 185.1%. Net debt stands at $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.64 (bear case) to $13.45 (bull case); at $27.77, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -71%, ALH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.12 $7.07 $16.35 80
Residual Income $3.30 $4.48 $24.75 76
Rev-Margin DCF $1.94 $9.22 $18.30 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.14 $7.52 $17.76 38
Owner Earnings $0.1800 $5.91 $15.09 31
5Y Revenue Exit $1.94 $9.39 $19.34 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.05 $19.60 $35.11 41
5Y P/E Exit $5.15 $11.04 38
10Y Revenue Exit $1.21 $8.01 $18.07 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $4.83 $15.20 $30.59 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.2000 $5.03 $11.48 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.48 $14.42 $19.65 54
Lynch FV $3.64 $5.20 $6.75 50
PEG = 1.0 $3.64 $5.20 $6.75 46
EPV $4.66 $6.69 $8.45 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.07 $10.76 $13.45 63
P/S Multiple $6.53 $8.71 $10.89 58
P/B Multiple $6.53 $8.71 $10.89 55
EV/EBIT $12.17 $18.96 $25.75 53
EV/EBITDA $11.98 $18.70 $25.43 54
EV/Revenue $2.64 $7.29 $11.94 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9900 $1.32 $1.97 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.12 $7.07 $16.35 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.94 $9.22 $18.30 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.30 $4.48 $24.75 76
ROIC Compounder $5.61 $9.96 $15.74 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.24 $8.92 $11.59 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($8.92) versus Asset-Based ($1.32). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.6%
Net margin 8.1%
Return on equity 185%
Free cash flow $158M FY2025
P/E ratio 36.4
More key figures
Operating margin 19.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.7100
EPS growth (YoY) +180%
Net debt $1.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 10
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells commercial laundry systems in the United States, the Czech Republic, Thailand, and internationally.

Full company description

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells commercial laundry systems in the United States, the Czech Republic, Thailand, and internationally. The company offers washer extractors, top-load washers, and front-load washers; tumblers and small-chassis dryers; combination washer and dryer products; service parts and consumables; and equipment financing, laundromat site selection assistance, investment seminar training programs, computer-aided commercial laundry room design, sales and service training for distributors, technical assistance, and on-call installation and repair services. It also provides Speed Queen Insights, Huebsch Command, Primus i-Trace, and IPSO Connect, which offer performance reporting, issue and error alerts, machine control and programming, a mobile payment platform with an integrated loyalty program, and an integrated CRM and marketing system to vended laundry customers; UniMac Core, a cloud-based monitoring and reporting management tool that allows laundry managers to manage laundry operations from anywhere at any time; UniMac FireLinc system, a tool for digital record keeping simple and fire equipment bar code scanning; and a financing website that allows customers to manage bills, statements, and account balances. The company sells its products under the Speed Queen, Huebsch, UniMac, Primus, and IPSO brands. It distributes its products through a network of distributors and direct sales channels. The company serves healthcare facilities, fire stations, hotels, laundromats, communal laundry facilities, and other commercial applications, as well as household and individual users. The company was formerly known as ALH Holding Inc. and changed its name to Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. in August 2025. Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Ripon, Wisconsin.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Alliance Laundry Holdings reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2022, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was $102M in FY2025, compounding +0.7%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.7B
Latest YoY
+13.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.5%
Revenue +7.5%/yr
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $1.7B
Net income +0.7%/yr
FY22 $99.7M
FY23 $88.2M
FY24 $98.3M
FY25 $102M

ALH screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alliance Laundry Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALH

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 185% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 10% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 4.54× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 13.07× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 32.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 16.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 26
FUTURE 48 · sector 0
PAST 100 · sector 19
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥82.71 ¥107.22 +30%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥38.25 ¥88.02 +130%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.46 ¥36.04 +68%
King Slide Works Co 2059 8,655 TWD 1,917 TWD -78%
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥155.59 ¥38.95 -75%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $154.53 $89.07 -42%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.33 ¥48.03 +82%
Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 ¥43.85 ¥44.84 +2%
COWAY Co 021240 96,700 KRW 112,530 KRW +16%
Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 ¥50.13 ¥54.11 +8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alliance Laundry Holdings (ALH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.01 versus a price of $27.77, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALH?
Our model-based fair value for Alliance Laundry Holdings is $8.01 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $27.77.
What is the quality score of ALH?
Alliance Laundry Holdings has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Alliance Laundry Holdings (ALH)?
Alliance Laundry Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALH?
The net profit margin of Alliance Laundry Holdings is about 8.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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