China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Limited (0308) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$5.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$0.9600 to HK$0.9500 (−1.0%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price +13.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from HK$0.7400 (bear) to HK$1.26 (bull), base HK$0.9500. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.7496 – HK$1.75 · fair‑value band HK$0.7400 – HK$1.26 · the HK$1.20 price screens above the HK$0.9500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Limited (0308) currently trades at HK$1.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.9500, implying the stock looks roughly 20.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Limited generated revenue of HK$4.1B at a net margin of -6.9%. Revenue declined 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$260M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.7400 (bear case) to HK$1.26 (bull case); at HK$1.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -21%, 0308 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.36) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.2700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Limited provides travel and tourism services. It operates through four segments: Tourist Attraction and Related Operations, Travel Document and Related Operations, Hotel Operations, and Passenger Transportation Operations.
Full company description
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Limited provides travel and tourism services. It operates through four segments: Tourist Attraction and Related Operations, Travel Document and Related Operations, Hotel Operations, and Passenger Transportation Operations. The Tourist Attraction and Related Operations segment operates theme parks, natural and cultural scenic spots in Mainland China. The Travel Document and Related Operations segment engages in the provision of travel document and related services in Hong Kong and Mainland China. The Hotel Operations segment offers hotel accommodation, and food and beverage services in Hong Kong, Macau, and Mainland China. The Passenger Transportation Operations segment provides cross-border transportation services to individuals travelling between Hong Kong, Macau, and Mainland China; and engages in vehicle and vessel rental and charter operations in Hong Kong, Macau, and Mainland China. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Limited reported revenue of HK$4.1B in FY2025 versus HK$3.6B in FY2021, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$282M in FY2025.
0308 screens 21% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →
Peer Group
Leisure · 190 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$74.15 | HK$119.29 | +61% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$160.20 | HK$227.30 | +42% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.44 | $16.16 | -56% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $81.55 | $83.38 | +2% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $42.15 | $16.15 | -62% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $114.78 | $37.79 | -67% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.80 | HK$29.26 | +98% |
| Benefit Systems S.A BFT | 5,255 PLN | 3,714 PLN | -29% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥37.82 | ¥39.17 | +4% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 145.70 | kr 41.90 | -71% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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