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Orient Overseas (International) Limited (0316) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$80.6B

OO Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 · HK
PriceHK$150.00
Fair ValueHK$30.95
Upside-79.4%
Quality56/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.93% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range HK$18.11 – HK$45.67 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$35.18 to HK$30.95 (−12.0%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price +16.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$45.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$18.11 to HK$45.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$155.40 HK$23.41 Fair Value HK$30.95 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$23.41 – HK$155.40 · fair‑value band HK$18.11 – HK$45.67 · the HK$150.00 price screens above the HK$30.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Orient Overseas (International) Limited (0316) currently trades at HK$150.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$30.95, implying the stock looks roughly 79.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Orient Overseas (International) Limited generated revenue of HK$9.7B at a net margin of 15.6%. Revenue declined 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$18.11 (bear case) to HK$45.67 (bull case); at HK$150.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -79%, 0316 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$10.25 HK$13.03 HK$17.05 80
Residual Income HK$18.59 HK$21.12 HK$32.27 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$16.62 HK$25.55 HK$35.84 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$10.17 HK$13.33 HK$18.23 38
Owner Earnings HK$13.30 HK$18.28 HK$25.97 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$16.62 HK$25.76 HK$37.69 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$25.20 HK$41.97 HK$61.91 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$27.70 HK$46.68 HK$66.97 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$13.75 HK$21.57 HK$32.51 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$19.74 HK$32.88 HK$51.15 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$21.33 HK$36.17 HK$55.05 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$15.61 HK$50.72 HK$67.74 54
Lynch FV HK$11.33 HK$16.18 HK$21.04 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$11.33 HK$16.18 HK$21.04 46
EPV HK$19.79 HK$22.31 HK$24.51 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$18.76 HK$39.00 HK$61.87 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$18.76 HK$31.63 HK$40.93 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$36.15 HK$48.20 HK$60.25 63
P/S Multiple HK$22.12 HK$29.49 HK$36.86 58
P/B Multiple HK$29.26 HK$39.02 HK$48.77 55
EV/EBIT HK$27.15 HK$34.64 HK$42.13 53
EV/EBITDA HK$36.57 HK$47.19 HK$57.82 54
EV/Revenue HK$20.72 HK$27.59 HK$34.46 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$10.15 HK$13.60 HK$20.30 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$10.25 HK$13.03 HK$17.05 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$16.62 HK$25.55 HK$35.84 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$18.59 HK$21.12 HK$32.27 76
ROIC Compounder HK$19.79 HK$23.56 HK$28.76 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$30.35 HK$43.35 HK$56.36 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$43.35) versus Growth DCF (HK$13.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$9.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) -20.0%
Net margin 15.6%
Return on equity 11.4%
Free cash flow HK$315M FY2025
P/E ratio 6.8
More key figures
Operating margin 3.8%
EPS (TTM) HK$1.44
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -67.9%
Net cash HK$1.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Orient Overseas (International) Limited, an investment holding company, provides container transport and logistics services in Asia, Europe, North and South America, Australia, and Africa.

Full company description

Orient Overseas (International) Limited, an investment holding company, provides container transport and logistics services in Asia, Europe, North and South America, Australia, and Africa. It offers supply chain management services; containerized shipping services in various trade lanes comprising Trans-Pacific, Trans-Atlantic, Asia/Europe, Asia/ Australia, and Intra-Asia trades; and integrated services. The company is involved in shipping and logistics software application development; container transport, equipment owning and leasing, container depot and warehousing, portfolio investment, trucking, ship owning and chartering, terminal operating, cargo consolidation and forwarding, transportation and freight agency, liner agency, property owning, and ship management and vessels operation businesses; and provision of corporate services. In addition, it offers AI and blockchain digital data on network applications, and platform design services. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Orient Overseas (International) Limited operates as a subsidiary of Faulkner Global Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Orient Overseas (International) Limited reported revenue of HK$9.7B in FY2025 versus HK$16.8B in FY2021, a compound −12.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.5B in FY2025, compounding −32.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$9.7B
Latest YoY
−9.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Revenue −12.8%/yr
FY21 HK$16.8B
FY22 HK$19.8B
FY23 HK$8.3B
FY24 HK$10.7B
FY25 HK$9.7B
Net income −32.1%/yr
FY21 HK$7.1B
FY22 HK$10.0B
FY23 HK$1.4B
FY24 HK$2.6B
FY25 HK$1.5B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +21.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.0 pp

of which total revenue +4.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.6 pp

EBIT margin +13.4 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

0316 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
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Orient Overseas (International) Limited · Fair Value
HK$30.95 −79%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orient Overseas (International) Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0316

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -20% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.77× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.06× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 32.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.53× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 45 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 19 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Orient Overseas (International) Limited (0316) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$30.95 versus a price of HK$150.00, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0316?
Our model-based fair value for Orient Overseas (International) Limited is HK$30.95 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$150.00.
What is the quality score of 0316?
Orient Overseas (International) Limited has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Orient Overseas (International) Limited (0316)?
Orient Overseas (International) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$9.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0316?
The net profit margin of Orient Overseas (International) Limited is about 15.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Orient Overseas (International) Limited pay a dividend?
Orient Overseas (International) Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.93% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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