Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (0337) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$402M (≈ $51.2M) · ISIN KYG4587S1049
What is Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 61% below our fair value of HK$0.3350.
As of Aug 19, 2026, the fair value of Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd is HK$0.3350 per share against a price of HK$0.1310, so the fair value sits 156% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 19, 2026, revised from HK$0.3300 to HK$0.3350 (+1.5%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −0.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1990). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1990 to HK$0.4710) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1150 – HK$1.91 · fair‑value band HK$0.1990 – HK$0.4710 · the HK$0.1310 price screens below the HK$0.3350 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (0337) currently trades at HK$0.1310, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3350, implying the stock looks roughly 60.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$1.96 per share, and 9 of the 9 models we run sit above the HK$0.1310 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.2000, and 0 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$12.3B at a net margin of −17.8%. Revenue declined 39.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −15.8%. Net debt stands at HK$14.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1990 (bear case) to HK$0.4710 (bull case); at HK$0.1310, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 156%, 0337 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$18.21) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.2000). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages development for sale and rental of properties, and related services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in four segments: Sales of Properties; Lease of Properties; Hotel and Related Services; and Property Management and Other Services.
Full company description
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages development for sale and rental of properties, and related services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in four segments: Sales of Properties; Lease of Properties; Hotel and Related Services; and Property Management and Other Services. The company develops and sells residential properties; leases commercial and residential properties; operates and develops hotels and service apartments to generate accommodation service; and provides property management and other services. It is also involved in construction and decoration, commercial management, software development, nutrition and health counseling, business investment, management, information transmission, software and information technology, management and property consulting, marketing planning, human resources, and advertising services. In addition, it engages in wholesale of daily miscellaneous goods; artificial intelligence service platform; construction of leisure activities; act as property agent; construction and engineering services; technology promotion services; and financing services. The company was formerly known as SPG Land (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Limited in August 2013. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Gluon Xima International Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 12.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 33.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −22.4%/yr. Reported net income was −2.2B CNY in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 566 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 80016 | HK$109.70 | HK$88.93 | −19% |
| China Resources Land Limited 1109 | HK$35.24 | HK$72.16 | +105% |
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 71,700 VND | 109,431 VND | +53% |
| CK Asset Holdings 1113 | HK$47.34 | HK$68.85 | +45% |
| Hongkong Land Holdings H78 | $8.20 | $1.52 | −81% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹667.10 | ₹170.24 | −74% |
| China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 | HK$13.76 | HK$22.92 | +67% |
| Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,244 | ₹583.42 | −53% |
| Sino Land Company 0083 | HK$10.33 | HK$6.99 | −32% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 5,925 IDR | 1,325 IDR | −78% |
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