Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 8, 2026: fair value of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited HK$101, price HK$90.85, upside +10.9%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
15‑month range HK$78.14 – HK$126.90 · fair‑value band HK$66.37 – HK$107.72 · the HK$90.85 price screens below the HK$100.74 fair value. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, an investment holding company, develops and invests in properties for sale and rent in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally. It develops, sells, and leases properties, including residential estates, offices, shopping malls, and hotels and serviced suites.
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Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, an investment holding company, develops and invests in properties for sale and rent in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally. It develops, sells, and leases properties, including residential estates, offices, shopping malls, and hotels and serviced suites. The company also provides property management services; construction-related services, including landscaping, electrical and mechanical installation, production and installation of wooden doors, and construction plant and machinery leasing; and insurance products to individuals and businesses comprising householder's comprehensive, fire, employees' compensation, travel, personal accident, motor vehicles, contractors' all risks, third party liability, and property all risks. In addition, it offers public bus, car parks, toll roads, and retail department stores services; data centre, facilities management, and value-added services; general insurance; and airport freight forwarding services. Further, the company provides insurance and mortgage services; mobile telephone, data centres, and IT infrastructure services; and transport infrastructure operation and management, port, and air transport and logistic services, as well as Internet of Things (IoT) solutions. Additionally, it offers mobile telephone system operation services; asset and project management services; loan financing; fire prevention and mechanical engineering services; architectural and engineering services; property and facility management services; business aviation centre services; real estate and general agency services; and secretarial services, as well as manufactures and sells ready mixed and precast concrete. The company also engages in the hotel operation business. The company was formerly known as Sun Hung Kai (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited in March 1973. Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016) currently trades at HK$90.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$100.74, implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of HK$100.07 per share, and 8 of the 16 models we run sit above the HK$90.85 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$32.20, and 8 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$66.37 (bear) to HK$107.72 (bull), the price of HK$90.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited reported revenue of HK$79.7B in FY2025 versus HK$77.7B in FY2022, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$19.3B in FY2025, compounding −9.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap HK$402B (≈ $51.2B) · P/S ratio 4.35 · EPS (TTM) HK$8.12 · Dividend yield 4.2% · Net margin 24.2% · Return on equity 3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5% · Operating margin 24.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 11%, 80016 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$66.37Fair Value HK$100.74Bull HK$107.72
Price HK$90.85 · Upside +10.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$4.34 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCFHK$66.91HK$101.58HK$149.9276
Growth DCFHK$69.72HK$102.53HK$146.6175
Residual IncomeHK$102.15HK$100.07HK$101.9173
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFHK$66.91HK$101.58HK$149.9276
5Y Revenue ExitHK$44.97HK$71.02HK$102.3069
5Y EBITDA ExitHK$62.73HK$102.08HK$145.1771
10Y Revenue ExitHK$51.01HK$75.53HK$104.3164
10Y EBITDA ExitHK$63.55HK$96.34HK$135.0865
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGMHK$22.55HK$33.93HK$46.0266
DDM Multi-StageHK$22.55HK$32.20HK$43.2164
Multiples
P/S MultipleHK$55.56HK$74.07HK$92.5958
P/B MultipleHK$55.56HK$74.07HK$92.5955
EV/EBITHK$79.42HK$111.84HK$144.2665
EV/EBITDAHK$71.89HK$101.80HK$131.7167
EV/RevenueHK$35.80HK$58.79HK$81.7852
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)HK$69.83HK$93.57HK$139.6654
Growth DCF
Growth DCFHK$69.72HK$102.53HK$146.6175
Rev-Margin DCFHK$44.97HK$72.38HK$101.3769
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeHK$102.15HK$100.07HK$101.9173
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.2%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.43% → 33%
Compare Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−5.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.7% · Above median
Return on assets2.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)23.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)24.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth32.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/80016
Frequently asked questions
Is Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$100.74 versus a price of HK$90.85, about +11% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 80016?
Our model-based fair value for Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is HK$100.74 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$90.85.
What is the quality score of 80016?
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$100.74 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$66.37, optimistic scenario HK$107.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$100.74, about +11% upside versus a price of HK$90.85 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$66.37, optimistic scenario HK$107.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$92.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited pay a dividend?
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited it is HK$100.74 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of HK$90.85. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 80016 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$90.85, fair value HK$100.74, a gap of about +11% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 80016?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$90.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$100.74). For Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited the two are HK$9.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited worth?
The market values Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited at about HK$402B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is HK$90.85; our models calculate a fair value of HK$100.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 80016?
Our models span a range for Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited: cautious scenario HK$66.37, base HK$100.74, optimistic HK$107.72 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price HK$90.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 3.7%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 80016 from its 52-week high?
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited trades at HK$90.85, about 28% below its 52-week high of HK$126.90 and 11% above the low of HK$81.71 (as of Oct 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$100.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price HK$90.85, calculated fair value HK$100.74 (+11%), Quality Score 73/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 80016 calculated?
We run Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$100.74, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
The closing price on Oct 8, 2026 was HK$90.85. Our model-based fair value is HK$100.74, about +11% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
The market capitalisation of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is HK$402B (≈ $51.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is 4.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
Earnings per share at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited are HK$8.12. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
The dividend yield of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is 4.2% (payout 46.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
The net margin of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is 24.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is 3.5% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
The operating margin of Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is 24.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
Revenue at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited is growing +32.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016)?
Earnings per share at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited are growing +36.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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