Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$402B (≈ $51.3B) · ISIN HK0016000132
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 24, 2026, revised from HK$81.48 to HK$88.93 (+9.1%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +0.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but trading 18% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (HK$61.75 to HK$116.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (14 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
14‑month range HK$78.14 – HK$126.90 · fair‑value band HK$61.75 – HK$116.55 · the HK$104.50 price screens above the HK$88.93 fair value. As of Aug 24, 2026.
Analysis
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (80016) currently trades at HK$104.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$88.93, implying the stock looks roughly 14.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited generated revenue of HK$92.5B at a net margin of 23.8%. Revenue grew 32.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$61.75 (bear case) to HK$116.55 (bull case); at HK$104.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -9% fair-value upside, at -15%, 80016 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 4.34 HKD per share, which is 4.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (HK$117.48) versus Dividend Discount (HK$39.51). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, an investment holding company, develops and invests in properties for sale and rent in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally. It develops, sells, and leases properties, including residential estates, offices, shopping malls, and hotels and serviced suites.
Full company description
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, an investment holding company, develops and invests in properties for sale and rent in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally. It develops, sells, and leases properties, including residential estates, offices, shopping malls, and hotels and serviced suites. The company also provides property management services; construction-related services, including landscaping, electrical and mechanical installation, production and installation of wooden doors, and construction plant and machinery leasing; and insurance products to individuals and businesses comprising householder's comprehensive, fire, employees' compensation, travel, personal accident, motor vehicles, contractors' all risks, third party liability, and property all risks. In addition, it offers public bus, car parks, toll roads, and retail department stores services; data centre, facilities management, and value-added services; general insurance; and airport freight forwarding services. Further, the company provides insurance and mortgage services; mobile telephone, data centres, and IT infrastructure services; and transport infrastructure operation and management, port, and air transport and logistic services, as well as Internet of Things (IoT) solutions. Additionally, it offers mobile telephone system operation services; asset and project management services; loan financing; fire prevention and mechanical engineering services; architectural and engineering services; property and facility management services; business aviation centre services; real estate and general agency services; and secretarial services, as well as manufactures and sells ready mixed and precast concrete. The company also engages in the hotel operation business. The company was formerly known as Sun Hung Kai (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited in March 1973. Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited reported revenue of HK$79.7B in FY2025 versus HK$77.7B in FY2022, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$19.3B in FY2025, compounding −9.0%/yr from FY2022.
80016 screens 18% overvalued. Compare with China Resources Land Limited →
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Resources Land Limited 1109 | HK$35.24 | HK$72.16 | +105% |
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 71,700 VND | 109,431 VND | +53% |
| CK Asset Holdings 1113 | HK$46.12 | HK$68.85 | +49% |
| Hongkong Land Holdings H78 | $8.20 | $1.52 | -81% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹667.10 | ₹170.24 | -74% |
| China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 | HK$13.76 | HK$22.92 | +67% |
| Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,244 | ₹583.42 | -53% |
| Sino Land Company 0083 | HK$10.33 | HK$6.99 | -32% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 5,925 IDR | 1,325 IDR | -78% |
| CTP N.V CTPNV | €14.36 | €13.00 | -9% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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