Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Company (0338) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · HK · Market cap HK$11.5B
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from HK$0.2900 to HK$0.5800 (+100.0%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price +3.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.7000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.9823 – HK$1.99 · fair‑value band HK$0.4600 – HK$0.7000 · the HK$1.15 price screens above the HK$0.5800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Company (0338) currently trades at HK$1.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5800, implying the stock looks roughly 49.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Company generated revenue of HK$73.7B at a net margin of -1.3%. Revenue declined 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$6.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4600 (bear case) to HK$0.7000 (bull case); at HK$1.15, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -50%, 0338 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.47) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.2500). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells petroleum and chemical products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through three segments: Refined Products, Chemical Products, and Petrochemical Products Trading.
Full company description
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells petroleum and chemical products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through three segments: Refined Products, Chemical Products, and Petrochemical Products Trading. It offers gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, naphtha, fuel oil, LPG, asphalt, petroleum coke, and sulfur refining products; and ethylene oxide, industrial glycol, diethylene glycol for industrial use, tri ethylene glycol, vinyl acetate, polyvinyl alcohol, isoprene, m-pretendent, dicyclopentadiene, isoprene, pentane, industrial carbon 10 crude aromatic hydrocarbons, lyses naphthalene fractions, industrial pyrolysis carbon 9, polypropylene, industrial butadiene, petroleum benzene, petroleum toluene, ethylene, oil p-xylene, carbon black raw oil, ethylene tar, and butene-1 chemical products. The company also provides high-pressure polyethylene products low-pressure polyethylene synthetic resin products; and acrylic, polyester slicing, polyester staple fiber synthetic products. The company was founded in 1972 and is based in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Company reported revenue of HK$62.4B in FY2025 versus HK$75.9B in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.6B in FY2025.
0338 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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