Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H HK$0.44, price HK$1.11, upside -60.2%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.9823 – HK$1.99 · fair‑value band HK$0.3600 – HK$0.5200 · the HK$1.11 price screens above the HK$0.4400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells petroleum and chemical products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through three segments: Refined Products, Chemical Products, and Petrochemical Products Trading.
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Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells petroleum and chemical products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through three segments: Refined Products, Chemical Products, and Petrochemical Products Trading. It offers gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, naphtha, fuel oil, LPG, asphalt, petroleum coke, and sulfur refining products; and ethylene oxide, industrial glycol, diethylene glycol for industrial use, tri ethylene glycol, vinyl acetate, polyvinyl alcohol, isoprene, m-pretendent, dicyclopentadiene, isoprene, pentane, industrial carbon 10 crude aromatic hydrocarbons, lyses naphthalene fractions, industrial pyrolysis carbon 9, polypropylene, industrial butadiene, petroleum benzene, petroleum toluene, ethylene, oil p-xylene, carbon black raw oil, ethylene tar, and butene-1 chemical products. The company also provides high-pressure polyethylene products low-pressure polyethylene synthetic resin products; and acrylic, polyester slicing, polyester staple fiber synthetic products. The company was founded in 1972 and is based in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation.
Stock analysis
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338) currently trades at HK$1.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4400, implying the stock looks roughly 151.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$1.47 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the HK$1.11 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.2000, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.3600 (bear) to HK$0.5200 (bull), the price of HK$1.11 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H reported revenue of 62.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 75.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −1.6B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$11.7B (≈ $1.5B) · P/S ratio 0.16 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0371 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin −2.5% · Return on equity −3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.4% · Operating margin 3.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −61% fair-value upside, at −60%, 0338 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.3600Fair Value HK$0.4400Bull HK$0.5200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−28.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.7% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.0% (2020) → −3.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 110 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−60% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.06× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.02× · Cheapest 25%
PEG0.01× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 15
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 81
DIVIDEND (yield)39· sector 53
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0338
Frequently asked questions
Is Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4400 versus a price of HK$1.11, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0338?
Our model-based fair value for Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H is HK$0.4400 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.11.
What is the quality score of 0338?
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4400 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3600, optimistic scenario HK$0.5200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4400, about −60% upside versus a price of HK$1.11 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3600, optimistic scenario HK$0.5200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 73.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H pay a dividend?
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.95% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H it is HK$0.4400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$1.11. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0338 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.11, fair value HK$0.4400, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0338?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.11); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4400). For Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H the two are HK$0.6650 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H worth?
The market values Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H at about HK$11.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.11; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0338?
Our models span a range for Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H: cautious scenario HK$0.3600, base HK$0.4400, optimistic HK$0.5200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$1.11). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0338?
The PEG ratio of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H is 0.01 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.7%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0338 from its 52-week high?
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H trades at HK$1.11, about 35% below its 52-week high of HK$1.69 and 2% above the low of HK$1.08 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Phillips 66, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$1.11, calculated fair value HK$0.4400 (−60%), Quality Score 46/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0338 calculated?
We run Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.4400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$1.11. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4400, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.5200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H
How large is the market capitalisation of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
The market capitalisation of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H is HK$11.7B (≈ $1.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H is 0.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
Earnings per share at Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H are HK$−0.0371. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
The dividend yield of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H is 2.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
The net margin of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H is −2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H is −3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H is −2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
The operating margin of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
Revenue at Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H is growing −9.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338)?
Earnings per share at Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H are growing +14.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338) generate?
The free cash flow of Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H is −1.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H (0338) hold?
Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical Co Ltd Class H holds more cash than debt, 6.7B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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