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Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd (0351) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$678M (≈ $86.5M) · ISIN HK0000527306

What is Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd really worth?

AE Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd 0351 · HK
PriceHK$0.3400
Fair ValueHK$0.0400
Upside−88.2%
Quality50/100

A solid business, but trading 750% above our fair value of HK$0.0400.

As of Aug 24, 2026, the fair value of Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd is HK$0.0400 per share against a price of HK$0.3400, so the fair value sits 88% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +5.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -41.8% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0200 – HK$0.0500

Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0200 to HK$0.0500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.5100 HK$0.0790 Fair Value HK$0.0400 Jan 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0790 – HK$0.5100 · fair‑value band HK$0.0200 – HK$0.0500 · the HK$0.3400 price screens above the HK$0.0400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd (0351) currently trades at HK$0.3400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0400, implying the stock looks roughly 750.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$61.6M at a net margin of −41.8%. Revenue grew 26.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −17.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$53.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0200 (bear case) to HK$0.0500 (bull case); at HK$0.3400, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 209% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at −88%, 0351 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 53

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 11.0 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100
Net margin −41.8% FY2025
Return on equity −17.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −15.1% avg 5y
Operating margin −27.2% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$61.6M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.5% 3y avg −16.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$428K FY2025
Net cash HK$53.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 52
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Asia Energy Logistics Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides shipping and logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a fleet of dry bulk carriers with a total carrying capacity of approximately 32,000 DWT.

Full company description

Asia Energy Logistics Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides shipping and logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a fleet of dry bulk carriers with a total carrying capacity of approximately 32,000 DWT. It also engages in e-commerce trading of computer products; SMS services and telecommunications service-related business; and industrial intelligent robotic solutions. Asia Energy Logistics Group Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$61.6M in FY2025 versus HK$64.7M in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$25.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 15/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$61.6M
Latest YoY
+27.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−16.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.3%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−66.0% (2020) → −33.9% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −1.2%/yr
FY21 HK$64.7M
FY22 HK$107M
FY23 HK$144M
FY24 HK$48.1M
FY25 HK$61.6M
Net income
FY21 −HK$53.8M
FY22 −HK$56.7M
FY23 HK$12.7M
FY24 −HK$30.2M
FY25 −HK$25.7M

0351 screens 750% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0351.HK

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 232 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −42% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −27% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.63× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.40× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 31
FUTURE100 · sector 24
PAST0 · sector 28
HEALTH100 · sector 89
DIVIDEND0 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,707 ₹1,041 −39%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 20,820 kr 20,145 −3%
532921 532921 ₹1,697 ₹1,305 −23%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥16.06 ¥49.90 +211%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG €132.80 €88.00 −34%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.15 +19%
HMM Co 011200 21,450 KRW 33,795 KRW +58%
Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 HK$166.90 HK$237.61 +42%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.39 ¥5.58 +65%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.69 ¥15.97 +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd (0351) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0400 versus a price of HK$0.3400, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0351?
Our model-based fair value for Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd is HK$0.0400 (as of Aug 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3400.
What is the quality score of 0351?
Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd (0351)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0400 (as of Aug 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0200, optimistic scenario HK$0.0500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0400, about −88% upside versus a price of HK$0.3400 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0200, optimistic scenario HK$0.0500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd (0351)?
Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$61.6M (latest available figure, as of Aug 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0351?
The net profit margin of Asia Energy Logistics Group Ltd is about −41.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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