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Edvantage Group (0382) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$582M

EG Edvantage Group 0382 · HK
PriceHK$0.4850
Fair ValueHK$0.5763
Upside+18.8%
Quality42/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
13.89% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.3157 – HK$0.9742 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$0.6044 to HK$0.5763 (−4.6%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price +2.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 19% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.3157 to HK$0.9742). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from HK$0.3157 (bear) to HK$0.9742 (bull), base HK$0.5763. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 42/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$6.15 HK$0.4550 Fair Value HK$0.5763 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.4550 – HK$6.15 · fair‑value band HK$0.3157 – HK$0.9742 · the HK$0.4850 price screens below the HK$0.5763 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Edvantage Group (0382) currently trades at HK$0.4850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5763, implying the stock looks roughly 18.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Edvantage Group generated revenue of HK$2.4B at a net margin of 15.3%. Revenue declined 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$350M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3157 (bear case) to HK$0.9742 (bull case); at HK$0.4850, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 19%, 0382 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$1.30 HK$1.54 HK$1.87 80
Residual Income HK$3.20 HK$3.57 HK$5.51 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$2.09 HK$3.16 HK$4.51 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.30 HK$1.57 HK$1.97 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$2.09 HK$3.20 HK$4.74 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.41 HK$7.91 HK$12.34 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$5.03 HK$9.17 HK$13.91 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.72 HK$2.61 HK$4.00 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.17 HK$5.74 HK$9.73 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$3.54 HK$6.57 HK$10.91 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$2.91 HK$12.79 HK$17.50 54
Lynch FV HK$3.30 HK$4.72 HK$6.13 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$3.30 HK$4.72 HK$6.13 46
EPV HK$4.13 HK$4.57 HK$4.94 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.5100 HK$0.9100 HK$1.26 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.5100 HK$0.8400 HK$0.9800 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$7.07 HK$9.43 HK$11.79 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.87 HK$2.49 HK$3.11 58
P/B Multiple HK$5.46 HK$7.29 HK$9.11 55
EV/EBIT HK$6.98 HK$9.01 HK$11.04 53
EV/EBITDA HK$6.85 HK$8.84 HK$10.83 54
EV/Revenue HK$2.62 HK$3.36 HK$4.11 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.87 HK$2.50 HK$3.74 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.30 HK$1.54 HK$1.87 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$2.09 HK$3.16 HK$4.51 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$3.20 HK$3.57 HK$5.51 76
ROIC Compounder HK$4.27 HK$5.15 HK$6.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$5.60 HK$8.00 HK$10.40 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$8.00) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.8400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.9%
Net margin 15.3%
Return on equity 8.3%
Free cash flow HK$49.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 1.3
More key figures
Operating margin 4.1%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.2300
Dividend yield 13.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -59.4%
Net cash HK$350M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 2
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 56
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Edvantage Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates private higher and vocational education institutions in the People's Republic of China, Australia, and Singapore. It operates through PRC higher education and vocational education and Overseas higher education and vocational education segments.

Full company description

Edvantage Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates private higher and vocational education institutions in the People's Republic of China, Australia, and Singapore. It operates through PRC higher education and vocational education and Overseas higher education and vocational education segments. The company offers management, education consulting, IT consultation, property management and landscaping, language training, science and technology promotion and application, advertisement design, and technician education services, as well as develops and retails software products and provides school supplies. It also involved in the software and information technology; commercial service industry; planning and design management; estate management; food internet sales; and information consultation business. Edvantage Group Holdings Limited was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China. Edvantage Group Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Debo Education Investments Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Edvantage Group reported revenue of HK$2.5B in FY2025 versus HK$1.3B in FY2021, a compound +18.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$514M in FY2025, compounding +5.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$2.5B
Latest YoY
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.5%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.3%
Revenue +18.8%/yr
FY21 HK$1.3B
FY22 HK$1.7B
FY23 HK$2.0B
FY24 HK$2.3B
FY25 HK$2.5B
Net income +5.6%/yr
FY21 HK$414M
FY22 HK$567M
FY23 HK$618M
FY24 HK$715M
FY25 HK$514M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Edvantage Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0382

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +20% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 13.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.33× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 1.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.24× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.73× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 59 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 33 · sector 18
HEALTH 84 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 897.37 MXN -7%
TAL Education Group TAL $10.24 $15.60 +52%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.45 $41.45 +14%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹131.59 ₹14.81 -89%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $149.00 $152.01 +2%
Covista Inc CVSA $116.22 $135.45 +17%
Stride, Inc LRN $83.39 $139.45 +67%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $40.33 $21.35 -47%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.66 $41.45 +31%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $84.18 $105.48 +25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Edvantage Group (0382) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5763 versus a price of HK$0.4850, about +19% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0382?
Our model-based fair value for Edvantage Group is HK$0.5763 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.4850.
What is the quality score of 0382?
Edvantage Group has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Edvantage Group (0382)?
Edvantage Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0382?
The net profit margin of Edvantage Group is about 15.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Edvantage Group pay a dividend?
Edvantage Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 13.89% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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