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EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd KRW 3,527, price KRW 2,090, upside +68.7%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · KR · ISIN KR7038870002

EH Thin data Sep 24, 2026

EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd

038870 · KQ

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value 3,527 KRW · Strongly undervalued (+69%)
!Quality 28/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

10,150 KRW 1,487 KRW Fair Value 3,527 KRW May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1,487 KRW – 10,150 KRW · fair‑value band 2,632 KRW – 5,264 KRW · the 2,090 KRW price screens below the 3,527 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

EcoBio Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the development, investment, operation, and sale of new and renewable energy. The company was formerly known as Eco Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. and changed its name to EcoBio Holdings Co., Ltd. in April 2016. EcoBio Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Stock analysis

EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870) currently trades at 2,090 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,527 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 40.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 90/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 2,632 KRW (bear) to 5,264 KRW (bull), the price of 2,090 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd reported revenue of 17.2B KRW in FY2025 versus 16.1B KRW in FY2021, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −2.3B KRW in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 29.3B KRW (≈ $21.5M) · P/S ratio 1.67 · Net margin −13.1% · Return on equity −290% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.5% · Operating margin −0.3% · Revenue (TTM) 16.7B KRW · Revenue growth (YoY) −19.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at 69%, 038870 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2,632 KRW Fair Value 3,527 KRW Bull 5,264 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 2,754 KRW 3,690 KRW 5,507 KRW 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2,754 KRW 3,690 KRW 5,507 KRW 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 15
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 51
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 2/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.1% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.0% (2020) → −6.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Renewable Energy” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Utilities · 693 stocks

Beats the sector median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +69% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −19% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.13× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 53.6× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 4
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/038870

Frequently asked questions

Is EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3,527 KRW versus a price of 2,090 KRW, about +69% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 038870?
Our model-based fair value for EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd is 3,527 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2,090 KRW.
What is the quality score of 038870?
EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3,527 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2,632 KRW, optimistic scenario 5,264 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3,527 KRW, about +69% upside versus a price of 2,090 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 2,632 KRW, optimistic scenario 5,264 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870)?
EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.7B KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd it is 3,527 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 2,090 KRW. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 038870 trades below its calculated fair value: price 2,090 KRW, fair value 3,527 KRW, a gap of about +69% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 038870?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2,090 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3,527 KRW). For EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd the two are 1,437 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd worth?
The market values EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd at about 29.3B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 2,090 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 3,527 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 038870?
Our models span a range for EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd: cautious scenario 2,632 KRW, base 3,527 KRW, optimistic 5,264 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 2,090 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870)?
Balance-sheet figures for EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −289.8%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 038870 from its 52-week high?
EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd trades at 2,090 KRW, about 46% below its 52-week high of 3,870 KRW and 41% above the low of 1,487 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3,527 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Dongkuk Structures & Construction Company, S-Energy Co, Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 2,090 KRW, calculated fair value 3,527 KRW (+69%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 038870 calculated?
We run EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3,527 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd currently trades 69 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 2,090 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 3,527 KRW, about +69% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (28/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (2,632 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2,632 KRW to 5,264 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870)?
The market capitalisation of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd is 29.3B KRW (≈ $21.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870)?
The price-to-sales ratio of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd is 1.67 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870)?
The net margin of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd is −13.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870)?
The return on equity (ROE) of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd is −290% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd is −1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870)?
The operating margin of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870)?
Revenue at EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd is growing −19.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870)?
Earnings per share at EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd are growing −73.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870) generate?
The free cash flow of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd is −8.8B KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd (038870) carry?
The net debt of EcoBio Holdings Co. Ltd is 17.4B KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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