EcoBio Holdings (038870) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · KR · Market cap 27.9B KRW
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from 191.02 KRW to 236.72 KRW (+23.9%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price −22.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 87% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (264.99 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,487 KRW – 10,150 KRW · fair‑value band 217.94 KRW – 264.99 KRW · the 1,823 KRW price screens above the 236.72 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
EcoBio Holdings (038870) currently trades at 1,823 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 236.72 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 87.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, EcoBio Holdings generated revenue of 16.7B KRW at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue declined 19.4% year over year. Net debt stands at 17.4B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 217.94 KRW (bear case) to 264.99 KRW (bull case); at 1,823 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -87%, 038870 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (3,690 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (258.43 KRW). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 6
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
EcoBio Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the development, investment, operation, and sale of new and renewable energy. The company was formerly known as Eco Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. and changed its name to EcoBio Holdings Co., Ltd. in April 2016. EcoBio Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
EcoBio Holdings reported revenue of 17.2B KRW in FY2025 versus 16.1B KRW in FY2021, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −2.3B KRW in FY2025.
038870 screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Dongkuk Structures & Construction Company →
Peer Group
Utilities · 671 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Renewable Energy” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Renewable Energy stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dongkuk Structures & Construction Company 100130 | 1,479 KRW | 1,717 KRW | +16% |
| S-Energy Co 095910 | 737.00 KRW | 612.07 KRW | -17% |
| Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 | 26.72 SAR | 20.14 SAR | -25% |
| PetroChina Company 601857 | ¥10.29 | ¥16.51 | +60% |
| Shell plc SHELL | 854.00 CZK | 1,073 CZK | +26% |
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PETR3 | 12,540 ARS | 30,914 ARS | +147% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹3,157 | ₹901.17 | -71% |
| Oil and Natural Gas Corporation ONGC | ₹244.96 | ₹490.40 | +100% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹427.65 | ₹464.01 | +9% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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