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Hony Media Group (0419) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$726M

HM Hony Media Group 0419 · HK
PriceHK$0.5300
Fair ValueHK$0.3100
Upside-41.5%
Quality46/100
Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -11.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.2400 – HK$0.4700 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$0.0400 to HK$0.3100 (+675.0%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price +16.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and the price sits another 42% above our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.4700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2400 to HK$0.4700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$5.90 HK$0.2210 Fair Value HK$0.3100 Mar 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2210 – HK$5.90 · fair‑value band HK$0.2400 – HK$0.4700 · the HK$0.5300 price screens above the HK$0.3100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Hony Media Group (0419) currently trades at HK$0.5300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3100, implying the stock looks roughly 41.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hony Media Group generated revenue of HK$570M at a net margin of -11.7%. Revenue declined 49.4% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$124M. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2400 (bear case) to HK$0.4700 (bull case); at HK$0.5300, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 152% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -42%, 0419 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2325 HK$0.3100 HK$0.4650 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2325 HK$0.3100 HK$0.4650 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$570M
Revenue growth (YoY) -49.4%
Net margin -11.7%
Return on equity -296%
Free cash flow −HK$53.3M FY2025
Operating margin -7.9%
More key figures
Net debt HK$124M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hony Media Group, together with its subsidiaries, offers digitized operation services for the healthcare industry in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through Digitized Operation Services in Healthcare Industry; Smart Healthcare Services Platform; and Entertainment and Media segments.

Full company description

Hony Media Group, together with its subsidiaries, offers digitized operation services for the healthcare industry in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through Digitized Operation Services in Healthcare Industry; Smart Healthcare Services Platform; and Entertainment and Media segments. It offers Echartnow that provides digitized operation services in the healthcare industry and Cistanche digital operational platform services; and Meerkat Health, a smart healthcare services platform. The company is also involved in the licensing of films and TV dramas; advertising agency activities; and provision of hotel management, healthcare, and wellness services. In addition, it is involved in the trading and supply chain management of pharmaceutical products. The company was formerly known as Huayi Tencent Entertainment Company Limited and changed its name to Hony Media Group in July 2024. Hony Media Group was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hony Media Group reported revenue of HK$570M in FY2025 versus HK$326M in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$66.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$570M
Latest YoY
−44.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−28.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+40.0%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+6.5%
Revenue +15.0%/yr
FY21 HK$326M
FY22 HK$1.6B
FY23 HK$1.3B
FY24 HK$1.0B
FY25 HK$570M
Net income
FY21 −HK$110M
FY22 −HK$270M
FY23 −HK$97.1M
FY24 −HK$163M
FY25 −HK$66.7M

0419 sits 42% above fair value. Compare with Veeva Systems Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hony Media Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0419

Peer Group

Health Information Services · 141 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −42% · Above median
Return on assets -9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -8% · Below median
Revenue growth -49% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Health Information Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.16× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 0
FUTURE 0 / 29
PAST 0 / 0
HEALTH 100 / 97
DIVIDEND 0 / 35

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Health Information Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Veeva Systems Inc VEEV $190.12 $95.12 -50%
Pro Medicus Limited PME A$194.84 A$23.74 -88%
BrightSpring Health Services, Inc BTSG $68.16 $21.31 -69%
HealthEquity, Inc HQY $97.67 $56.63 -42%
Hinge Health, Inc HNGE $88.80 $24.03 -73%
10x Genomics, Inc TXG $45.75 $17.18 -62%
Waystar Holding WAY $22.69 $12.86 -43%
XtalPi Holdings 2228 HK$7.48 HK$1.03 -86%
Doximity, Inc DOCS $22.21 $17.18 -23%
Privia Health Group PRVA $28.10 $5.30 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hony Media Group (0419) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3100 versus a price of HK$0.5300, about −42% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0419?
Our model-based fair value for Hony Media Group is HK$0.3100 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.5300.
What is the quality score of 0419?
Hony Media Group has a Quality Score of 46/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Hony Media Group (0419)?
Hony Media Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$570M (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0419?
The net profit margin of Hony Media Group is about -11.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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