Minth Group (0425) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$30.9B

A solid business, screening 24% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
• Our model range runs from HK$25.35 (bear) to HK$44.20 (bull), base HK$34.77. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$9.77 – HK$46.30 · fair‑value band HK$25.35 – HK$44.20 · the HK$28.10 price screens below the HK$34.77 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Minth Group (0425) currently trades at HK$28.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$34.77, implying the stock looks roughly 23.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Minth Group generated revenue of HK$25.7B at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.1%. Net debt stands at HK$4.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$25.35 (bear case) to HK$44.20 (bull case); at HK$28.10, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at 24%, 0425 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$62.87) versus Dividend Discount (HK$6.17). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Minth Group Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, processes, and sells automobile body parts and moulds of passenger cars.

Full company description

Minth Group Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, processes, and sells automobile body parts and moulds of passenger cars. The company manufactures, develops, and sells motor systems for electric vehicles, as well as metal molds, automobile body parts; automobile body parts manufacturing equipment, automation machines, software, production lines, and automobile drives; and offers bookkeeping services. It also engages in the import and export trading, wholesale of packaging materials, logistics, and technology import activities; manufacture and sale of electrical and electronic equipment; production, operation trading, and import and export trade of deformed aluminum alloys, aluminum profiles, and aluminum extrusion moulds; and research, design, development, sales, import, and export of robots. In addition, the company provides automobile glass, light metals casting, customer, research and market development, general business, business management, nursery, internet information, trading, technology service and development, market development, non-ferrous metal smelting, power supply, engineering, management and technical consulting, properties services management, retail sales, and consulting services, as well as act as an agent for sales of automobile body parts and purchase of raw materials. Further, it involved in the design and production of civil aircraft parts; manufacturing of photovoltaic panels; research, development, manufacturing, sales, and after-sales service of energy vehicle drive systems and parts; and manufacture of other parts and accessories for motor vehicles. The company operates in the People's Republic of China, the United States, Japan, Thailand, Germany, Serbia, Mexico, the United Kingdom, the Republic of Korea, France, the Czech Republic, Canada, and Poland. Minth Group Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Taipei City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Minth Group reported revenue of HK$25.7B in FY2025 versus HK$13.9B in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.7B in FY2025, compounding +15.8%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.