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Dah Sing Financial Holdings (0440) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$12.1B

DS Dah Sing Financial Holdings 0440 · HK
PriceHK$45.74
Fair ValueHK$93.00
Upside+103.3%
Quality61/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 31.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.74% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/14)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range HK$69.75 – HK$116.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$83.67 to HK$93.00 (+11.2%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price +9.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 103% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$69.75). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$50.40 HK$11.60 Fair Value HK$93.00 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$11.60 – HK$50.40 · fair‑value band HK$69.75 – HK$116.25 · the HK$45.74 price screens below the HK$93.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Dah Sing Financial Holdings (0440) currently trades at HK$45.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$93.00, implying the stock looks roughly 103.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Dah Sing Financial Holdings generated revenue of HK$6.5B at a net margin of 31.7%. Revenue grew 20.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$10.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$69.75 (bear case) to HK$116.25 (bull case); at HK$45.74, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 103%, 0440 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$91.31 HK$93.37 HK$92.07 76
Gordon GGM HK$21.45 HK$44.60 HK$70.75 70
P/E Multiple HK$62.75 HK$83.67 HK$104.59 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$21.45 HK$44.60 HK$70.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$21.45 HK$34.99 HK$46.81 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$62.75 HK$83.67 HK$104.59 63
P/B Multiple HK$82.06 HK$109.42 HK$136.77 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$58.66 HK$78.60 HK$117.31 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$91.31 HK$93.37 HK$92.07 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (HK$93.37) versus Dividend Discount (HK$34.99). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$6.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.6%
Net margin 31.7%
Return on equity 6.0%
Free cash flow HK$4.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 6.9 as of Jul 1, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 42.1%
EPS (TTM) HK$3.79
Dividend yield 6.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +16.5%
Net cash HK$10.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Dah Sing Financial Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides banking, insurance, financial, and other related services in Hong Kong, Macau, Mainland China, and internationally.

Full company description

Dah Sing Financial Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides banking, insurance, financial, and other related services in Hong Kong, Macau, Mainland China, and internationally. The company operates through Personal Banking, Corporate Banking, Treasury and Global Markets, Mainland China and Macau Banking, and Insurance and Investment Operations segments. The Personal Banking segment accepts various deposits from individual customers; and provides residential mortgage loans, personal loans, overdrafts, vehicle financing, and credit card services, as well as insurance sales and investment services. The Corporate Banking segment accepts various deposits; and offers loans and working capital financing to commercial, industrial, and institutional customers, as well as trade financing services. The Treasury and Global Markets segment provides foreign exchange services; cash management services for deposit taking and lending; and interest rate risk management services. This segment also manages investment in securities. The Mainland China and Macau Banking segment offers personal and corporate banking products and services. The Insurance and Investment Operations segment is involved in the insurance, and pension fund management and investment business. It provides insurance agency, nominee, general insurance, money lending, consultancy, and securities dealing services; and invests in properties. The company was formerly known as Fivetech Investments Limited and changed its name to Dah Sing Financial Holdings Limited in July 1987. The company was founded in 1947 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dah Sing Financial Holdings reported revenue of HK$6.5B in FY2025 versus HK$7.5B in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.1B in FY2025, compounding +12.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$6.5B
Latest YoY
+20.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Revenue −3.5%/yr
FY21 HK$7.5B
FY22 HK$4.5B
FY23 HK$5.0B
FY24 HK$5.4B
FY25 HK$6.5B
Net income +12.0%/yr
FY21 HK$1.3B
FY22 HK$1.2B
FY23 HK$1.6B
FY24 HK$1.7B
FY25 HK$2.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −0.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share −1.9 pp

of which total revenue −2.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.4 pp

EBIT margin +5.8 pp
Tax rate −0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dah Sing Financial Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0440

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1087 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +103% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 42% · Above median
Revenue growth 21% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.11× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.32× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.86× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.74× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 33
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 24 · sector 41
HEALTH 94 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,350 IDR 4,637 IDR -27%
KB Financial Group 105560 168,100 KRW 220,258 KRW +31%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 3,110 IDR 3,792 IDR +22%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,130 IDR 6,067 IDR +47%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 8,400 ARS +64%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 103,800 KRW 146,032 KRW +41%
Hana Financial Group 086790 127,900 KRW 210,506 KRW +65%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,500 VND 45,959 VND -23%
Woori Financial Group 316140 33,000 KRW 60,758 KRW +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Dah Sing Financial Holdings (0440) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$93.00 versus a price of HK$45.74, about +103% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0440?
Our model-based fair value for Dah Sing Financial Holdings is HK$93.00 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$45.74.
What is the quality score of 0440?
Dah Sing Financial Holdings has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dah Sing Financial Holdings (0440)?
Dah Sing Financial Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$6.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0440?
The net profit margin of Dah Sing Financial Holdings is about 31.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Dah Sing Financial Holdings pay a dividend?
Dah Sing Financial Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.74% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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