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United Energy Group Ltd (0467) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of United Energy Group Ltd HK$1.17, price HK$0.39, upside +200.0%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Energy · HK · ISIN BMG9231L1081

UE United Energy Group Ltd logo Thin data Oct 3, 2026

United Energy Group Ltd

0467 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$1.17 · Strongly undervalued (+200.0%)
!Quality 53/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +25.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (12/14)
!Moderate moat 46/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.04 HK$0.2358 Fair Value HK$1.17 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2358 – HK$1.04 · fair‑value band HK$0.6659 – HK$1.96 · the HK$0.3900 price screens below the HK$1.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

United Energy Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the upstream oil, natural gas, clean energy, and energy trading businesses in Hong Kong, Pakistan, Singapore, Egypt, Iraq, and the United Arab Emirates. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production, Trading, and Clean Energy Business.

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United Energy Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the upstream oil, natural gas, clean energy, and energy trading businesses in Hong Kong, Pakistan, Singapore, Egypt, Iraq, and the United Arab Emirates. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production, Trading, and Clean Energy Business. The company is involved in trading of energy products, including petrochemicals; exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; development and operation of wind power project; and construction and operation of solar power generation facility, as well as sales of electricity generated from wind power and solar power. It also provides administrative and group financing support services; and clean energy related services. United Energy Group Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

United Energy Group Ltd (0467) currently trades at HK$0.3900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.17, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$1.78 per share, and 25 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$0.3900 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.3400, and 1 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.6659 (bear) to HK$1.96 (bull), the price of HK$0.3900 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

United Energy Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$19.2B in FY2025 versus HK$7.4B in FY2021, a compound +26.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.1B in FY2025, compounding −13.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$10.0B (≈ $1.3B) · P/E ratio 7.7 · P/S ratio 0.45 · Dividend yield 13.1% · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 9.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3% · Operating margin 16.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 200%, 0467 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.6659 Fair Value HK$1.17 Bull HK$1.96
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.6900 HK$1.00 HK$1.90 75
EPV HK$0.6400 HK$0.7200 HK$0.7900 74
Growth DCF HK$0.6500 HK$1.10 HK$1.81 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.6900 HK$1.00 HK$1.90 75
Owner Earnings HK$0.5200 HK$1.04 HK$2.00 70
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.7100 HK$1.22 HK$2.29 67
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.09 HK$1.99 HK$3.76 69
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.5600 HK$1.13 HK$1.90 66
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.6900 HK$1.48 HK$1.99 64
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.9600 HK$2.23 HK$4.48 61
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.6100 HK$1.19 HK$2.10 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.3000 HK$2.06 HK$2.89 61
Lynch FV HK$1.06 HK$1.52 HK$1.98 59
PEG = 1.0 HK$1.06 HK$1.52 HK$1.98 55
EPV HK$0.6400 HK$0.7200 HK$0.7900 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.3900 HK$0.7000 HK$0.9700 65
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.3900 HK$0.6400 HK$0.7500 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.4600 HK$0.6100 HK$0.7600 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.5500 HK$0.7400 HK$0.9200 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.5500 HK$0.7400 HK$0.9200 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.6600 HK$0.8700 HK$1.08 66
EV/EBITDA HK$1.26 HK$1.67 HK$2.08 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.6600 HK$0.9300 HK$1.20 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2600 HK$0.3400 HK$0.5100 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.6500 HK$1.10 HK$1.81 74
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.7800 HK$1.39 HK$2.66 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.4100 HK$0.4400 HK$0.4800 74
ROIC Compounder HK$0.7500 HK$1.01 HK$1.19 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.25 HK$1.78 HK$2.32 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.5% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+8.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)13.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9.7% vs −5.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 11%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.8% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 290 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9.9% · Above median
Return on assets 6.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 16.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 33.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 13.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.21× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.7× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.76× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.46× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 10.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 74
PAST (return on equity)40 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)90 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 72

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.40 HK$39.91 +71%
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EOG Resources, Inc EOG $137.76 $165.02 +20%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.84 $33.18 −43%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $46.73 $51.40 +10%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $185.23 $243.76 +32%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.48 A$23.87 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $50.09 $55.10 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $336.46 $317.06 −6%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "United Energy Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0467

Frequently asked questions

Is United Energy Group Ltd (0467) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.17 versus a price of HK$0.3900, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0467?
Our model-based fair value for United Energy Group Ltd is HK$1.17 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3900.
What is the quality score of 0467?
United Energy Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.17 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.6659, optimistic scenario HK$1.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the United Energy Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.17, about +200% upside versus a price of HK$0.3900 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6659, optimistic scenario HK$1.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
United Energy Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$21.9B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does United Energy Group Ltd pay a dividend?
United Energy Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 13.05% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, United Energy Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -1.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +25.3 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0467 use?
Our models discount United Energy Group Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.01, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For United Energy Group Ltd that is -1.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has United Energy Group Ltd (0467) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at United Energy Group Ltd grew +25.3 % a year. The price currently implies -1.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of United Energy Group Ltd (0467) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into United Energy Group Ltd (-1.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.84 %: that much free cash flow United Energy Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For United Energy Group Ltd it is HK$1.17 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3900. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is United Energy Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0467 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3900, fair value HK$1.17, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0467?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.17). For United Energy Group Ltd the two are HK$0.7800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is United Energy Group Ltd worth?
The market values United Energy Group Ltd at about HK$10.0B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3900; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.17 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0467?
Our models span a range for United Energy Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.6659, base HK$1.17, optimistic HK$1.96 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price HK$0.3900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0467?
United Energy Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.7 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.17 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 1.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
Balance-sheet figures for United Energy Group Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 9.9%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0467 from its 52-week high?
United Energy Group Ltd trades at HK$0.3900, about 56% below its 52-week high of HK$0.8800 and 16% above the low of HK$0.3350 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to United Energy Group Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is United Energy Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price HK$0.3900, calculated fair value HK$1.17 (+200%), Quality Score 53/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0467 calculated?
We run United Energy Group Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.17, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. United Energy Group Ltd currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$0.3900. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.17, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with United Energy Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.6659). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.6659 to HK$1.96). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of United Energy Group Ltd (0467) come from?
Earnings per share at United Energy Group Ltd grew −4.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.4 %, EBIT margin −12.4 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of United Energy Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
The market capitalisation of United Energy Group Ltd is HK$10.0B (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
The price-to-sales ratio of United Energy Group Ltd is 0.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
The dividend yield of United Energy Group Ltd is 13.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
The net margin of United Energy Group Ltd is 5.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
The return on equity (ROE) of United Energy Group Ltd is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of United Energy Group Ltd is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
The operating margin of United Energy Group Ltd is 16.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
Revenue at United Energy Group Ltd is growing +33.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at United Energy Group Ltd (0467)?
Earnings per share at United Energy Group Ltd are growing +28.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does United Energy Group Ltd (0467) carry?
The net debt of United Energy Group Ltd is HK$146M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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