Greatview Aseptic Packaging Company (0468) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$3.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
A solid business, but screening 68% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.9300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.9339 – HK$3.57 · fair‑value band HK$0.6200 – HK$0.9300 · the HK$2.28 price screens above the HK$0.7400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Company (0468) currently trades at HK$2.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7400, implying the stock looks roughly 67.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Greatview Aseptic Packaging Company generated revenue of HK$1.8B at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue declined 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$533M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.6200 (bear case) to HK$0.9300 (bull case); at HK$2.28, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at -68%, 0468 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$2.41) versus Growth Earnings (HK$0.5100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides packaging solutions to the liquid food industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
Full company description
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides packaging solutions to the liquid food industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers roll-fed and blank-fed packaging materials; packaging effect materials; sustainable products; opening solutions for packaging materials, including pre-laminated holes, pre-punched holes, and pull tabs; sharing caps and paper straws; smart packaging; filling machines, straw applicators, automatic packaging cutters, jumbo reel trucks, and reel trolleys; spare parts; technical services; and digital marketing and product traceability solutions. It also provides aseptic packaging materials under the Greatview Brick, Greatview Pillow, Greatview Crown, Greatview Octagon, Greatview Blank-Fed, Century Pack Aseptic Brick, and Century Pack Aseptic Pillow brands. In addition, the company engages in the research and development of multi-layer food packaging materials; manufacture and sale of daily-use and medical rubber products; technical research and development; and software research and development activities. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. Greatview Aseptic Packaging Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Jingfeng Holding Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Company reported revenue of HK$1.9B in FY2025 versus HK$3.5B in FY2021, a compound −14.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$52.7M in FY2025, compounding −34.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
0468 screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 106.80 | kr 125.82 | +18% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥27.73 | ¥20.16 | -27% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 31.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -48% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 3,350 TWD | 675.50 TWD | -80% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,193 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 134.00 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -5% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹208.56 | ₹161.42 | -23% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹247.30 | ₹111.65 | -55% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 21,650 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +45% |
| PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, PBID | 525.00 IDR | 774.13 IDR | +47% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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