0468 (0468) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$3.5B

0 0468 0468 · HK

PriceHK$2.28

Fair ValueHK$0.7400

Upside-67.5%

Quality57/100

Evidence: High Range HK$0.6200 – HK$0.9200

Fair value as of: Jul 1, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$2.28 – HK$2.28 · fair‑value band HK$0.6200 – HK$0.9200 · the HK$2.28 price screens above the HK$0.7400 fair value. As of Jul 1, 2026.

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Analysis

0468 (0468) currently trades at HK$2.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7400 — implying the stock looks roughly 67.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 0468 generated revenue of HK$1.8B at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue declined 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$533M. Fundamentals as of Jul 1, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.8B

Revenue growth (YoY) -4.4%

Net margin 0.1%

Return on equity 0.1%

Free cash flow HK$204M FY2025

P/E ratio 50.0

More key figures

Operating margin -1.6%

EPS growth (YoY) +12.0%

Net cash HK$533M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

0468 reported revenue of HK$1.9B in FY2025 versus HK$3.5B in FY2021, a compound −14.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$52.7M in FY2025, compounding −34.4%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −14.4%/yr

FY21 HK$3.5B

FY22 HK$3.9B

FY23 HK$3.8B

FY24 HK$2.2B

FY25 HK$1.9B

Net income −34.4%/yr

FY21 HK$285M

FY22 HK$182M

FY23 HK$244M

FY24 HK$270M

FY25 HK$52.7M

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Similar stocks

6 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 1, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF	$44.20	$27.40	-38%
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW	$45.39	$26.28	-42%
Packaging Corporation PKG	$222.82	$105.48	-53%
International Paper Company IP	$36.89	$84.00	+128%
Amcor plc AMCR	$40.68	$18.07	-56%
Ball Corporation B1LL34	R$141.68	R$104.18	-26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 0468 (0468) undervalued?

As of Jul 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.7400 versus a price of HK$2.28 — about −68% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 0468?

Our model-based fair value for 0468 is HK$0.7400 (as of Jul 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.28.

What is the quality score of 0468?

0468 has a Quality Score of 57/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 0468 (0468)?

0468 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 1, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 0468?

The net profit margin of 0468 is about 0.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.