NPK Co.Ltd (048830) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of NPK Co.Ltd KRW 1,028, price KRW 1,035, upside -0.7%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 729.00 KRW – 2,910 KRW · fair‑value band 877.82 KRW – 1,237 KRW · the 1,035 KRW price screens above the 1,028 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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NPK Co.,Ltd manufactures and sells plastics in South Korea and internationally.
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NPK Co.,Ltd manufactures and sells plastics in South Korea and internationally. The company's Plastics division produces various engineering plastics, including PP, ABS, PBT, and PC compounds, as well as nylon used in electrical and electronic parts, industrial parts, auto parts, high strength and heat-resistance products, flame resistance products, and washing machine and washer tubs. This division also offers color and additive masterbatch products that are used in automobiles, electric/electronic parts, sheets, films, and fibers. Its Nano division provides conductive Nano ink under the Nano-CoIn brand; polymer masterbatches with antibacterial colloid Nano silver and Nano silver under the Nano-Des brand; and Nano-sized metal solutions under the Nano-Me brand. The company's RFID/USN division offers RFID and USN systems for applications in various fields and industries, such as amusement parks, manufacturing, library management, logistics management, credit cards, retail, security, entertaining business, transportation management, warehousing, shipment and receipt, pharmaceutical, and healthcare. The company was formerly known as NIPI Korea Co., Ltd. and changed its name to NPK Co.,Ltd in February 2000. NPK Co.,Ltd was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Seongnam-si, South Korea.
Stock analysis
NPK Co.Ltd (048830) currently trades at 1,035 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,028 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 0.7% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 1,657 KRW per share, and 12 of the 21 models we run sit above the 1,035 KRW price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 796.09 KRW, and 9 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 877.82 KRW (bear) to 1,237 KRW (bull), the price of 1,035 KRW sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
NPK Co.Ltd reported revenue of 83.8B KRW in FY2025 versus 64.6B KRW in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B KRW in FY2025, compounding −13.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 19.3B KRW (≈ $13.5M) · P/S ratio 0.30 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity −191% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% · Operating margin 2.4% · Revenue (TTM) 65.8B KRW.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −1%, 048830 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 877.82 KRWFair Value 1,028 KRWBull 1,237 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.6% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−7.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11% vs −7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.8%/yr over ~7Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 352 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−12% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.1% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NPK Co.Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/048830
Frequently asked questions
Is NPK Co.Ltd (048830) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,028 KRW versus a price of 1,035 KRW, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 048830?
Our model-based fair value for NPK Co.Ltd is 1,028 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,035 KRW.
What is the quality score of 048830?
NPK Co.Ltd has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,028 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario 877.82 KRW, optimistic scenario 1,237 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NPK Co.Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,028 KRW, about −1% upside versus a price of 1,035 KRW (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 877.82 KRW, optimistic scenario 1,237 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
NPK Co.Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 65.8B KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does NPK Co.Ltd pay a dividend?
NPK Co.Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.10% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NPK Co.Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +29.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 048830 use?
Our models discount NPK Co.Ltd at 10.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.02, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NPK Co.Ltd that is +29.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NPK Co.Ltd (048830) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at NPK Co.Ltd grew +6.4 % a year. The price currently implies +29.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NPK Co.Ltd (048830) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NPK Co.Ltd (+29.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.31 %: that much free cash flow NPK Co.Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NPK Co.Ltd it is 1,028 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,035 KRW. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NPK Co.Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 048830 trades above its calculated fair value: price 1,035 KRW, fair value 1,028 KRW, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 048830?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,035 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,028 KRW). For NPK Co.Ltd the two are 6.68 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NPK Co.Ltd worth?
The market values NPK Co.Ltd at about 19.3B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,035 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 1,028 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 048830?
Our models span a range for NPK Co.Ltd: cautious scenario 877.82 KRW, base 1,028 KRW, optimistic 1,237 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,035 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
Balance-sheet figures for NPK Co.Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −191.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 048830 from its 52-week high?
NPK Co.Ltd trades at 1,035 KRW, about 13% below its 52-week high of 1,190 KRW and 42% above the low of 729.00 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,028 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NPK Co.Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NPK Co.Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,035 KRW, calculated fair value 1,028 KRW (−1%), Quality Score 65/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 048830 calculated?
We run NPK Co.Ltd through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,028 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. NPK Co.Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1,035 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 1,028 KRW, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NPK Co.Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of NPK Co.Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
The market capitalisation of NPK Co.Ltd is 19.3B KRW (≈ $13.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NPK Co.Ltd is 0.30 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
The dividend yield of NPK Co.Ltd is 3.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
The net margin of NPK Co.Ltd is 1.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NPK Co.Ltd is −191% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NPK Co.Ltd is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
The operating margin of NPK Co.Ltd is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
Revenue at NPK Co.Ltd is growing −12.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NPK Co.Ltd (048830)?
Earnings per share at NPK Co.Ltd are growing −89.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does NPK Co.Ltd (048830) carry?
The net debt of NPK Co.Ltd is 8.0B KRW (fiscal year 2021, ≈ 31.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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