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China Financial Services Holdings (0605) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$163M

CF China Financial Services Holdings 0605 · HK
PriceHK$0.8500
Fair ValueHK$1.66
Upside+95.3%
Quality52/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 67.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$1.25 – HK$2.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$1.72 to HK$1.66 (−3.5%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price +6.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 95% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$5.40 HK$0.0950 Fair Value HK$1.66 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0950 – HK$5.40 · fair‑value band HK$1.25 – HK$2.08 · the HK$0.8500 price screens below the HK$1.66 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

China Financial Services Holdings (0605) currently trades at HK$0.8500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.66, implying the stock looks roughly 95.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Financial Services Holdings generated revenue of HK$107M at a net margin of 67.1%. Revenue grew 18.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at HK$342M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.25 (bear case) to HK$2.08 (bull case); at HK$0.8500, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 95%, 0605 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$2.87 HK$3.03 HK$3.26 76
P/E Multiple HK$3.42 HK$4.56 HK$5.70 63
P/B Multiple HK$3.86 HK$5.15 HK$6.44 55
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$4.07 HK$4.78 HK$5.91 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$2.39 HK$2.92 HK$3.28 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$3.42 HK$4.56 HK$5.70 63
P/B Multiple HK$3.86 HK$5.15 HK$6.44 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.84 HK$2.47 HK$3.68 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$2.87 HK$3.03 HK$3.26 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$4.78) versus Asset-Based (HK$2.47). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$107M
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.1%
Net margin 67.1%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow −HK$2.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 2.3 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin -39.4%
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1500
EPS growth (YoY) +69.1%
Net debt HK$342M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Financial Services Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides financial services in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through Financing Services and Education Services segments.

Full company description

China Financial Services Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides financial services in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through Financing Services and Education Services segments. It provides short-term financing services comprising short-term financing and consultancy services; and direct loans, including real estate mortgage loans, mortgage loans of civil products, equity, and movable properties, and loans for farmers. The company also provides education, investment consultancy, and information consultancy services; and consumer finance services, such as individual and installment credit loans. In addition, it offers micro-lending, money lending, and securities trading services; and holds a club membership. China Financial Services Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Financial Services Holdings reported revenue of HK$104M in FY2025 versus HK$325M in FY2021, a compound −24.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$71.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 11/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$104M
Latest YoY
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−32.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.7%
Revenue −24.8%/yr
FY21 HK$325M
FY22 HK$213M
FY23 HK$142M
FY24 HK$107M
FY25 HK$104M
Net income
FY21 −HK$250M
FY22 −HK$52.6M
FY23 −HK$160M
FY24 HK$41.2M
FY25 HK$71.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Financial Services Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0605

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +95% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 67% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -39% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.53× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 35
FUTURE 91 · sector 39
PAST 36 · sector 32
HEALTH 100 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $359.42 $198.27 -45%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $561.44 $221.87 -60%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,094 ₹397.61 -64%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,117 ₹553.83 -50%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,918 ₹796.52 -58%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹367.05 ₹149.40 -59%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹376.50 ₹615.85 +64%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹2,876 ₹3,429 +19%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.35 ₹69.72 -21%
REC Limited RECLTD ₹346.00 ₹692.00 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Financial Services Holdings (0605) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.66 versus a price of HK$0.8500, about +95% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0605?
Our model-based fair value for China Financial Services Holdings is HK$1.66 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.8500.
What is the quality score of 0605?
China Financial Services Holdings has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Financial Services Holdings (0605)?
China Financial Services Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$107M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0605?
The net profit margin of China Financial Services Holdings is about 67.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 67.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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