South China Financial Holdings (0619) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$96.4M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Below-average quality, screening 97% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3500). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.3500 to HK$0.7300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1490 – HK$0.6400 · fair‑value band HK$0.3500 – HK$0.7300 · the HK$0.2900 price screens below the HK$0.5700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
South China Financial Holdings (0619) currently trades at HK$0.2900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5700, implying the stock looks roughly 96.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, South China Financial Holdings generated revenue of HK$33.1M at a net margin of -69.0%. Revenue grew 216.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -33.3%. Net debt stands at HK$330M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3500 (bear case) to HK$0.7300 (bull case); at HK$0.2900, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 97%, 0619 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.5900) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1400). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
South China Financial Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides various financial services in Hong Kong and Mainland China. The company operates through Broking; Trading and Investment; Margin Financing and Money Lending; Asset and Wealth Management; Corporate Advisory and Underwriting; Property Investment; and Other Business segments.
Full company description
South China Financial Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides various financial services in Hong Kong and Mainland China. The company operates through Broking; Trading and Investment; Margin Financing and Money Lending; Asset and Wealth Management; Corporate Advisory and Underwriting; Property Investment; and Other Business segments. The company engages in the securities, commodities, and futures contracts brokerage activities; trading of securities, forex, bullion, and futures contracts; and provision of corporate advisory and underwriting services, insurance broking and asset management, and clearing and custodian services, as well as margin financing, mortgage and personal loan financing, and finance lease operations. It is involved in property investment and share dealing activities; wood plantation and carbon trading related operations; research publication activities; and provision of management services. In addition, the company provides financial services through both traditional and online trading platforms, including brokerage and trading of stocks, foreign exchange, gold and silver, financial futures, and global futures contracts. The company was formerly known as South China Brokerage Company Limited and changed its name to South China Financial Holdings Limited in February 2007. South China Financial Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
South China Financial Holdings reported revenue of HK$46.2M in FY2025 versus HK$86.7M in FY2021, a compound −14.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$22.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Capital Markets · 426 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,050 KRW | 18,009 KRW | -53% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 118,600 KRW | 52,717 KRW | -56% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 200,500 KRW | 189,335 KRW | -6% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 28,550 KRW | 22,396 KRW | -22% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 93,100 KRW | 75,573 KRW | -19% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 299,000 KRW | 214,812 KRW | -28% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 25,300 VND | 17,375 VND | -31% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 294.30 ARS | -6% |
| Daishin Securities Co 003540 | 26,950 KRW | 48,790 KRW | +81% |
| SK Securities Co 001515 | 4,285 KRW | 1,395 KRW | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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