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IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of IDG Energy Investment Ltd HK$0.04, price HK$0.17, upside -76.9%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · HK · ISIN BMG4709J1071

IE Thin data Sep 27, 2026

IDG Energy Investment Ltd

0650 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.0400 · Strongly overvalued (−76.9%)
!Quality 43/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −22.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -91.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.57 HK$0.1420 Fair Value HK$0.0400 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1420 – HK$1.57 · fair‑value band HK$0.0200 – HK$0.0500 · the HK$0.1730 price screens above the HK$0.0400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Productive Technologies Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture of equipment applied in semiconductor and solar power businesses in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments, Semiconductor and Solar Cell and Oil and Gas and Others.

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Productive Technologies Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture of equipment applied in semiconductor and solar power businesses in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments, Semiconductor and Solar Cell and Oil and Gas and Others. The Semiconductor and Solar Cell segment engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of solar cell and power, and semiconductor processing equipment. The Oil and Gas and Others segment operates and invests upstream oil and gas business, as well as involved in the oil, gas, and LNG processing businesses. This segment invests and manages in energy-related activities. The company also provides cleaning and copper plating equipment. In addition, it is involved in the exploration, development, production, and sale of crude oil. The company was formerly known as IDG Energy Investment Limited. Productive Technologies Company Limited is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650) currently trades at HK$0.1730, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0400, 76.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0200 (bear) to HK$0.0500 (bull), the price of HK$0.1730 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

IDG Energy Investment Ltd reported revenue of HK$254M in FY2026 versus −HK$190M in FY2022. Reported net income was −HK$198M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$2.4B (≈ $312M) · P/S ratio 11.3 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0300 · Net margin −77.9% · Return on equity −15.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.8% · Operating margin −94.0% · Revenue (TTM) HK$217M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −77%, 0650 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0200 Fair Value HK$0.0400 Bull HK$0.0500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1800 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0900 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1800 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 2
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.9%
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7.0% (2019) → −80.4% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

0650 screens overvalued: fair value 77% below the price. Compare with ASML Holding →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 222 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −76.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −6.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −91.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −94.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 19.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.24× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.44× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 5.74× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)95 · sector 92
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASML Holding ASML €1,523 €1,350 −11%
Lam Research Corporation LRCX $314.47 $250.94 −20%
Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $485.00 $368.52 −24%
KLA Corporation KLAC $187.92 $160.12 −15%
Teradyne, Inc TER $398.38 $65.79 −83%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥339.30 ¥110.10 −68%
SJ Semiconductor Corporation 688820 ¥128.02 ¥13.84 −89%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 5,670 TWD 4,864 TWD −14%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥700.90 ¥320.60 −54%
Qnity Electronics, Inc Q $124.69 $70.44 −44%

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IDG Energy Investment Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.0400 −77%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "IDG Energy Investment Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0650

Frequently asked questions

Is IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0400 versus a price of HK$0.1730, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0650?
Our model-based fair value for IDG Energy Investment Ltd is HK$0.0400 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1730.
What is the quality score of 0650?
IDG Energy Investment Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0400 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0200, optimistic scenario HK$0.0500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the IDG Energy Investment Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0400, about −77% upside versus a price of HK$0.1730 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0200, optimistic scenario HK$0.0500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650)?
IDG Energy Investment Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$217M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For IDG Energy Investment Ltd it is HK$0.0400 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1730. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is IDG Energy Investment Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0650 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1730, fair value HK$0.0400, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0650?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1730); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0400). For IDG Energy Investment Ltd the two are HK$0.1330 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is IDG Energy Investment Ltd worth?
The market values IDG Energy Investment Ltd at about HK$2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1730; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0650?
Our models span a range for IDG Energy Investment Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0200, base HK$0.0400, optimistic HK$0.0500 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1730). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0650?
The PEG ratio of IDG Energy Investment Ltd is 5.74 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650)?
Balance-sheet figures for IDG Energy Investment Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −15.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0650 from its 52-week high?
IDG Energy Investment Ltd trades at HK$0.1730, about 79% below its 52-week high of HK$0.8300 and at the low of HK$0.1730 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to IDG Energy Investment Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Lam Research Corporation, Applied Materials, Inc, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is IDG Energy Investment Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1730, calculated fair value HK$0.0400 (−77%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0650 calculated?
We run IDG Energy Investment Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. IDG Energy Investment Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.1730. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0400, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with IDG Energy Investment Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0200 to HK$0.0500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of IDG Energy Investment Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650)?
The market capitalisation of IDG Energy Investment Ltd is HK$2.4B (≈ $312M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650)?
The price-to-sales ratio of IDG Energy Investment Ltd is 11.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650)?
Earnings per share at IDG Energy Investment Ltd are HK$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650)?
The net margin of IDG Energy Investment Ltd is −77.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650)?
The return on equity (ROE) of IDG Energy Investment Ltd is −15.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of IDG Energy Investment Ltd is −11.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650)?
The operating margin of IDG Energy Investment Ltd is −94.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650)?
Revenue at IDG Energy Investment Ltd is growing +19.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650)?
Earnings per share at IDG Energy Investment Ltd are growing −93.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650) generate?
The free cash flow of IDG Energy Investment Ltd is −HK$184M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does IDG Energy Investment Ltd (0650) hold?
IDG Energy Investment Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$40.7M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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