Fosun International Ltd (0656) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Fosun International Ltd HK$9.99, price HK$4.92, upside +103.1%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$3.59 – HK$11.70 · fair‑value band HK$3.99 – HK$19.96 · the HK$4.92 price screens below the HK$9.99 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
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Fosun International Limited operates in the health, happiness, wealth, and intelligent manufacturing sectors in Mainland China, Portugal, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Health, Happiness, Insurance, Asset Management, and Intelligent Manufacturing.
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Fosun International Limited operates in the health, happiness, wealth, and intelligent manufacturing sectors in Mainland China, Portugal, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Health, Happiness, Insurance, Asset Management, and Intelligent Manufacturing. The Health segment engages in the research, development, manufacture, sale, and trading of pharmaceutical and health products; and provision of medical and health management services. The Happiness segment operates and invests in tourism and leisure, fashion consumer, and lifestyle industries. The Insurance segment operates and invests in the insurance business. The Asset Management segment engages in the operation and investment of asset management, market investments, and investments in other companies of the Group. The Intelligent Manufacturing segment operates and invests in the intelligent manufacturing business; and produces iron, steel, new functional material, and ore. It is also involved in the capital investment and management, property development, retail, and medical research; tourism business; sale of iron and steel products; retail of jewelry; underwriting of life and non-life insurance; manufacture and trading of dairy products, and wine and beverage; reinsurance services; and provision of banking and financial services, as well as digital and intelligent solutions. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. Fosun International Limited is a subsidiary of Fosun Holdings Limited.
Stock analysis
Fosun International Ltd (0656) currently trades at HK$4.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$9.99, implying the stock looks roughly 50.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$19.00 per share, and 3 of the 3 models we run sit above the HK$4.92 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$9.05, and 0 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$3.99 (bear) to HK$19.96 (bull), the price of HK$4.92 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Fosun International Ltd reported revenue of 173B CNY in FY2025 versus 161B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −23.4B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$39.9B (≈ $5.1B) · P/S ratio 0.23 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin −13.5% · Return on equity −11.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin 3.1% · Revenue (TTM) 173B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 103%, 0656 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$3.99Fair Value HK$9.99Bull HK$19.96
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.2% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.2% (2020) → −0.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.3% a year for the price and +2.8% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (92 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Fosun International Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 375 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside+103.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−12.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−0.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.39× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fosun International Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0656
Frequently asked questions
Is Fosun International Ltd (0656) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$9.99 versus a price of HK$4.92, about +103% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0656?
Our model-based fair value for Fosun International Ltd is HK$9.99 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$4.92.
What is the quality score of 0656?
Fosun International Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$9.99 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$3.99, optimistic scenario HK$19.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fosun International Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$9.99, about +103% upside versus a price of HK$4.92 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$3.99, optimistic scenario HK$19.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
Fosun International Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 173B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Fosun International Ltd pay a dividend?
Fosun International Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.51% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Fosun International Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +5.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.9 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0656 use?
Our models discount Fosun International Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.49, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Fosun International Ltd that is +5.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Fosun International Ltd (0656) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Fosun International Ltd grew +4.9 % a year. The price currently implies +5.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Fosun International Ltd (0656) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Fosun International Ltd (+5.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 45.18 %: that much free cash flow Fosun International Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fosun International Ltd it is HK$9.99 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of HK$4.92. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fosun International Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 0656 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$4.92, fair value HK$9.99, a gap of about +103% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0656?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$4.92); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$9.99). For Fosun International Ltd the two are HK$5.07 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fosun International Ltd worth?
The market values Fosun International Ltd at about HK$39.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is HK$4.92; our models calculate a fair value of HK$9.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0656?
Our models span a range for Fosun International Ltd: cautious scenario HK$3.99, base HK$9.99, optimistic HK$19.96 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price HK$4.92). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0656?
The PEG ratio of Fosun International Ltd is 5.74 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fosun International Ltd (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity −11.6%, debt of 2.39 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0656 from its 52-week high?
Fosun International Ltd trades at HK$4.92, about 12% below its 52-week high of HK$5.57 and 37% above the low of HK$3.59 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$9.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fosun International Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fosun International Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price HK$4.92, calculated fair value HK$9.99 (+103%), Quality Score 43/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0656 calculated?
We run Fosun International Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$9.99, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Fosun International Ltd currently trades 51 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$4.92. Our model-based fair value is HK$9.99, about +103% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fosun International Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (HK$3.99 to HK$19.96). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Fosun International Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
The market capitalisation of Fosun International Ltd is HK$39.9B (≈ $5.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fosun International Ltd is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
The dividend yield of Fosun International Ltd is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
The net margin of Fosun International Ltd is −13.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fosun International Ltd is −11.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fosun International Ltd is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
The operating margin of Fosun International Ltd is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
Revenue at Fosun International Ltd is growing −0.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fosun International Ltd (0656)?
Earnings per share at Fosun International Ltd are growing +163% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Fosun International Ltd (0656) carry?
The net debt of Fosun International Ltd is 205B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 29, 2026