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Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd HK$0.05, price HK$0.03, upside +60.0%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · HK · ISIN BMG2112G1087

CP Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd

0681 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$0.0464 · Strongly undervalued (+60.0%)
!Quality 56/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +3.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -7.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.0690 HK$0.0180 Fair Value HK$0.0464 Feb 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0180 – HK$0.0690 · fair‑value band HK$0.0437 – HK$0.0483 · the HK$0.0290 price screens below the HK$0.0464 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Chinese People Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sales and distribution of fuel gas in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: piped gas transmission and distribution, cylinder gas supply, gas distribution, and food ingredients supply and fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG).

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Chinese People Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sales and distribution of fuel gas in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: piped gas transmission and distribution, cylinder gas supply, gas distribution, and food ingredients supply and fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG). The company's Piped Gas Transmission and Distribution segment sells piped gas and construction of gas pipeline networks under gas connection contracts. Its Cylinder Gas Supply segment distributes and sells gas using tank containers to end-user households, and industrial and commercial customers. The company's Gas Distribution segment sells natural gas to industrial and commercial customers. Its FMCG and Food Ingredients Supply segment wholesales and retails merchandise, including rice, meat, and fresh food, as well as FMCG through supermarkets and convenience store. In addition, it offers information transmission, software and IT services; property investments and operation and other related business; and value-added services and wholesale and retail of household equipment, electric appliances, kitchen appliances and others. The company was formerly known as Chinese People Gas Holdings Company Limited and changed its name to Chinese People Holdings Company Limited in 2007. Chinese People Holdings Company Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681) currently trades at HK$0.0290, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0464, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.4500 per share, and 13 of the 13 models we run sit above the HK$0.0290 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1600, and 0 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0437 (bear) to HK$0.0483 (bull), the price of HK$0.0290 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.3B CNY in FY2026 versus 2.7B CNY in FY2022, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −164M CNY in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$295M (≈ $37.6M) · P/S ratio 0.13 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Net margin −7.2% · Return on equity −5.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% · Operating margin 2.2% · Revenue (TTM) 2.3B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 60%, 0681 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0437 Fair Value HK$0.0464 Bull HK$0.0483
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0050 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.5200 HK$0.8100 HK$1.29 79
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2900 HK$0.3500 HK$0.4300 77
Growth DCF HK$0.5100 HK$0.7800 HK$1.21 77
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.5200 HK$0.8100 HK$1.29 79
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2900 HK$0.3600 HK$0.4400 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2900 HK$0.3500 HK$0.4300 77
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3600 HK$0.4500 HK$0.5700 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.3700 HK$0.4500 HK$0.5600 70
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$0.1600 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.1700 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2000 66
EV/EBITDA HK$0.1800 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2200 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.1800 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2300 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1500 HK$0.2000 HK$0.3000 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.5100 HK$0.7800 HK$1.21 77
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2900 HK$0.3600 HK$0.4500 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$0.1600 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 42/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.1% (2021) → 2.3% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 103 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −7.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −16.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 14.90× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 44
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 74

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €29.10 €32.79 +13%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $157.21 $77.00 −51%
Uniper SE UN0 €45.25 €45.97 +2%
NiSource Inc NI $39.42 $19.90 −50%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$7.08 HK$4.79 −32%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹172.70 ₹132.97 −23%
Italgas S.p.A IG €8.35 €9.19 +10%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥18.54 ¥36.99 +100%
UGI Corporation UGI $36.24 $32.74 −10%
ENN Energy Holdings 2688 HK$48.76 HK$107.85 +121%

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HK$0.0464 +38%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0681

Frequently asked questions

Is Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0464 versus a price of HK$0.0290, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0681?
Our model-based fair value for Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd is HK$0.0464 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0290.
What is the quality score of 0681?
Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0464 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0437, optimistic scenario HK$0.0483. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0464, about +60% upside versus a price of HK$0.0290 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0437, optimistic scenario HK$0.0483. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681)?
Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd it is HK$0.0464 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0290. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0681 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0290, fair value HK$0.0464, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0681?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0290); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0464). For Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd the two are HK$0.0174 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd worth?
The market values Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd at about HK$295M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0290; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0464 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0681?
Our models span a range for Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0437, base HK$0.0464, optimistic HK$0.0483 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.0290). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0681?
The PEG ratio of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd is 14.90 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −5.4%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0681 from its 52-week high?
Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd trades at HK$0.0290, about 36% below its 52-week high of HK$0.0450 and 12% above the low of HK$0.0260 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0464 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, Uniper SE, NiSource Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.0290, calculated fair value HK$0.0464 (+60%), Quality Score 56/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0681 calculated?
We run Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0464, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.0290. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0464, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0437). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.0437 to HK$0.0483), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681)?
The market capitalisation of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd is HK$295M (≈ $37.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd is 0.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681)?
Earnings per share at Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd are HK$0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681)?
The net margin of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd is −7.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd is −5.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681)?
The operating margin of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681)?
Revenue at Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd is growing −16.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681)?
Earnings per share at Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd are growing +47.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681) generate?
The free cash flow of Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd is 254M CNY (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd (0681) hold?
Chinese People Holdings Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 833M CNY net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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