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Chinese People Holdings (0681) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · HK · Market cap HK$295M

CP Chinese People Holdings 0681 · HK
PriceHK$0.0280
Fair ValueHK$0.0728
Upside+160.0%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -7.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.0670 – HK$0.0786 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −9.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 160% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0670). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.0760 HK$0.0180 Fair Value HK$0.0728 Jan 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0180 – HK$0.0760 · fair‑value band HK$0.0670 – HK$0.0786 · the HK$0.0280 price screens below the HK$0.0728 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Chinese People Holdings (0681) currently trades at HK$0.0280, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0728, implying the stock looks roughly 160.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chinese People Holdings generated revenue of HK$2.3B at a net margin of -7.2%. Revenue declined 16.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$833M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0670 (bear case) to HK$0.0786 (bull case); at HK$0.0280, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 160%, 0681 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.3500 HK$0.4800 HK$0.6500 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2400 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3600 74
ROIC Compounder HK$0.1300 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1300 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.3600 HK$0.5000 HK$0.7100 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2400 HK$0.2800 HK$0.3400 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2300 HK$0.2800 HK$0.3400 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2800 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4200 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2800 HK$0.3400 HK$0.4100 37
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$0.1300 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1300 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.1400 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.1500 HK$0.1700 HK$0.1900 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.1500 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2000 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2600 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.3500 HK$0.4800 HK$0.6500 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2400 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3600 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$0.1300 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1300 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.3400) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.1300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -16.9%
Net margin -7.2%
Return on equity -5.4%
Free cash flow HK$254M FY2026
Operating margin 2.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) +47.9%
Net cash HK$833M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chinese People Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sales and distribution of fuel gas in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: piped gas transmission and distribution, cylinder gas supply, gas distribution, and food ingredients supply and fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG).

Full company description

Chinese People Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sales and distribution of fuel gas in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: piped gas transmission and distribution, cylinder gas supply, gas distribution, and food ingredients supply and fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG). The company's Piped Gas Transmission and Distribution segment sells piped gas and construction of gas pipeline networks under gas connection contracts. Its Cylinder Gas Supply segment distributes and sells gas using tank containers to end-user households, and industrial and commercial customers. The company's Gas Distribution segment sells natural gas to industrial and commercial customers. Its FMCG and Food Ingredients Supply segment wholesales and retails merchandise, including rice, meat, and fresh food, as well as FMCG through supermarkets and convenience store. In addition, it offers information transmission, software and IT services; property investments and operation and other related business; and value-added services and wholesale and retail of household equipment, electric appliances, kitchen appliances and others. The company was formerly known as Chinese People Gas Holdings Company Limited and changed its name to Chinese People Holdings Company Limited in 2007. Chinese People Holdings Company Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Chinese People Holdings reported revenue of HK$2.3B in FY2026 versus HK$2.7B in FY2022, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$164M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 42/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$2.3B
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.4%
Revenue −4.4%/yr
FY22 HK$2.7B
FY23 HK$2.9B
FY24 HK$2.5B
FY25 HK$2.6B
FY26 HK$2.3B
Net income
FY22 HK$168M
FY23 HK$35.7M
FY24 −HK$232M
FY25 HK$15.3M
FY26 −HK$164M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chinese People Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0681

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +150% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 14.90× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 27
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 34
HEALTH 99 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 7 · sector 74

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €28.94 €31.58 +9%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $169.59 $85.67 -49%
NiSource Inc NI $42.01 $28.59 -32%
Uniper SE UN0 €47.45 €48.32 +2%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$6.76 HK$4.79 -29%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹177.95 ₹130.21 -27%
Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL ₹660.35 ₹101.36 -85%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥17.32 ¥25.71 +48%
ENN Energy Holdings 2688 HK$47.16 HK$107.98 +129%
China Suntien Green Energy Corporation 600956 ¥7.26 ¥7.37 +2%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chinese People Holdings (0681) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0728 versus a price of HK$0.0280, about +160% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0681?
Our model-based fair value for Chinese People Holdings is HK$0.0728 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0280.
What is the quality score of 0681?
Chinese People Holdings has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chinese People Holdings (0681)?
Chinese People Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0681?
The net profit margin of Chinese People Holdings is about -7.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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