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Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited (0682) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$46.5M

CM Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited 0682 · HK
PriceHK$0.2140
Fair ValueHK$0.4200
Upside+96.3%
Quality41/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -29.7% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.2700 – HK$0.5200 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −9.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 96% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2700 to HK$0.5200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.78 HK$0.1960 Fair Value HK$0.4200 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1960 – HK$1.78 · fair‑value band HK$0.2700 – HK$0.5200 · the HK$0.2140 price screens below the HK$0.4200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited (0682) currently trades at HK$0.2140, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4200, implying the stock looks roughly 96.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited generated revenue of HK$61.0M at a net margin of -29.7%. Revenue declined 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$80.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2700 (bear case) to HK$0.5200 (bull case); at HK$0.2140, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 97% fair-value upside, at 96%, 0682 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4600 HK$0.6100 HK$0.9100 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4600 HK$0.6100 HK$0.9100 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$61.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.1%
Net margin -29.7%
Return on equity -9.8%
Free cash flow −HK$4.8M FY2025
Operating margin -32.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1000
Net cash HK$80.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in growing and selling agricultural products in Hong Kong.

Full company description

Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in growing and selling agricultural products in Hong Kong. The company offers fruits and vegetables, including white cauliflower, cherry tomato, cabbage, mini cucumber, purple cabbage, netted melon, tangerine, broccoli, lettuce, gourd, sweet pepper, sweet corn, choi sum, Chinese cabbage, and pumpkin. It also breeds and sells livestock. In addition, the company involved in the provision of agency services; distribution and trading of crops; wholesale and logistics of vegetables and fruits; and property holding activities. Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited reported revenue of HK$63.4M in FY2025 versus HK$73.6M in FY2021, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$14.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$63.4M
Latest YoY
−14.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.6%
Revenue −3.7%/yr
FY21 HK$73.6M
FY22 HK$83.6M
FY23 HK$87.9M
FY24 HK$74.5M
FY25 HK$63.4M
Net income
FY21 −HK$26.4M
FY22 −HK$17.1M
FY23 −HK$6.4M
FY24 −HK$16.8M
FY25 −HK$14.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0682

Peer Group

Farm Products · 298 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +96% · Top 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -30% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -33% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -7% · Below median
Debt / equity 5.76× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 27
FUTURE 0 · sector 21
PAST 0 · sector 18
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 48

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.15 ¥47.42 +18%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,150 IDR 6,818 IDR +116%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 21.90 THB 43.24 THB +97%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,805 IDR 3,087 IDR +71%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,350 IDR 6,420 IDR -13%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,260 IDR 6,974 IDR +209%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,890 IDR 610.80 IDR -68%
PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS 860.00 IDR 402.24 IDR -53%
PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR 5,625 IDR 16,227 IDR +188%
PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG 1,320 IDR 2,696 IDR +104%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited (0682) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4200 versus a price of HK$0.2140, about +96% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0682?
Our model-based fair value for Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited is HK$0.4200 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2140.
What is the quality score of 0682?
Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited (0682)?
Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$61.0M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0682?
The net profit margin of Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited is about -29.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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