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Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd stock HK$0.21, price HK$0.18, upside +14.9%, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive HK · ISIN KYG2046Q1073

CM Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd

0682 · HK

The stock is already about fairly priced, weak company and falling price: meets none of the 3 rules.

Get notified free when this changes
Fair value HK$0.2069 · Fairly valued 
Revenue last quarter 12% below a year ago. 
Quality 36/100 
Falling price (downtrend) 
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.8 %/yr in HKD) 
Loss-making · -27.7% net margin (TTM) 
High debt 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (4/11) 
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data 
⟳ CyclicalEstimate⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.12 HK$0.1780 Fair Value HK$0.2069 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1780 – HK$1.12 · fair‑value band HK$0.1552 – HK$0.2586 · the HK$0.1800 price screens below the HK$0.2069 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in growing and selling agricultural products in Hong Kong.

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The company offers fruits and vegetables, including white cauliflower, cherry tomato, cabbage, mini cucumber, purple cabbage, netted melon, tangerine, broccoli, lettuce, gourd, sweet pepper, sweet corn, choi sum, Chinese cabbage, and pumpkin. It also breeds and sells livestock.

In addition, the company involved in the provision of agency services; distribution and trading of crops; wholesale and logistics of vegetables and fruits; and property holding activities.

Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682) currently trades at HK$0.1800, while our estimate is HK$0.2069, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 13.0%).

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: HK$0.1552 (bear) to HK$0.2586 (bull), the price of HK$0.1800 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 57.5M CNY in FY2026 versus 83.6M CNY in FY2022, a compound −8.9%/yr. Reported net income was −15.9M CNY in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$35.6M (≈ $4.5M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.69 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0500 · Net margin −27.7% · Return on equity −8.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −18.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$57.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 15%, 0682 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear HK$0.1552 Fair Value HK$0.2069 Bull HK$0.2586
Price HK$0.1800 · Upside +14.9%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 6
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 17
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 50
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 41
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 17
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −25.7% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−34.4% (2021) → −38.0% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 302 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +14.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −8.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −27.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −18.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −12.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 6.11× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.21× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.62× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.14× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)53 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 18
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 20.70 THB 40.78 THB +97% vs 0682
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $58.82 $73.24 +25% vs 0682
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 225.20 kr 275.15 +22% vs 0682
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥45.84 ¥53.02 +16% vs 0682
United Plantations Berhad 2089 31.34 MYR 33.42 MYR +7% vs 0682
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $72.90 $61.55 −16% vs 0682
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥17.32 ¥12.08 −30% vs 0682
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥132.00 ¥88.62 −33% vs 0682
Bunge Global SA BG $101.65 $61.59 −39% vs 0682
SalMar ASA SALM kr 587.50 kr 260.28 −56% vs 0682

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Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0682

Frequently asked questions

Is Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is HK$0.2069 versus a price of HK$0.1800, about +15% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0682?
Our estimate for Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2069 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1800.
What is the quality score of 0682?
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of HK$0.2069 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario HK$0.1552, optimistic scenario HK$0.2586. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at HK$0.2069, about +15% upside versus a price of HK$0.1800 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1552, optimistic scenario HK$0.2586. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$57.3M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2069 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1800.
Is Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 0682 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1800, fair value HK$0.2069, a gap of about +15% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0682?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2069). For Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0269 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd at about HK$35.6M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1800; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2069 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0682?
Our models span a range for Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1552, base HK$0.2069, optimistic HK$0.2586 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price HK$0.1800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0682?
The PEG ratio of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is 0.14 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 10, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −8.9%, debt of 6.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0682 from its 52-week high?
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1800, about 45% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3250 and 1% above the low of HK$0.1780 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2069 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Muyuan Foods Group, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price HK$0.1800, calculated fair value HK$0.2069 (+15%), Quality Score 36/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd currently trades 13% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.1800. Our estimate is HK$0.2069, about +15% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
The market capitalisation of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is HK$35.6M (≈ $4.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is 0.69 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
Earnings per share at Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
The net margin of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is −27.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is −8.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is −6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
The operating margin of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is −18.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
Revenue at Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is growing −12.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682) generate?
The free cash flow of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is −20.4M CNY (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682) hold?
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$82.8M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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