Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd HK$0.42, price HK$0.21, upside +96.3%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1960 – HK$1.66 · fair‑value band HK$0.2700 – HK$0.5200 · the HK$0.2140 price screens below the HK$0.4200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in growing and selling agricultural products in Hong Kong.
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Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in growing and selling agricultural products in Hong Kong. The company offers fruits and vegetables, including white cauliflower, cherry tomato, cabbage, mini cucumber, purple cabbage, netted melon, tangerine, broccoli, lettuce, gourd, sweet pepper, sweet corn, choi sum, Chinese cabbage, and pumpkin. It also breeds and sells livestock. In addition, the company involved in the provision of agency services; distribution and trading of crops; wholesale and logistics of vegetables and fruits; and property holding activities. Chaoda Modern Agriculture (Holdings) Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682) currently trades at HK$0.2140, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4200, implying the stock looks roughly 49.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 90/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.2700 (bear) to HK$0.5200 (bull), the price of HK$0.2140 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$63.4M in FY2025 versus HK$73.6M in FY2021, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$14.6M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$46.5M (≈ $5.9M) · P/S ratio 0.76 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1000 · Net margin −23.1% · Return on equity −9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.0% · Operating margin −32.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$61.0M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 96%, 0682 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.2700Fair Value HK$0.4200Bull HK$0.5200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −26.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−36.9% (2020) → −22.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 292 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+96.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−5.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−29.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−32.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−7.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity5.76× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0682
Frequently asked questions
Is Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4200 versus a price of HK$0.2140, about +96% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0682?
Our model-based fair value for Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is HK$0.4200 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2140.
What is the quality score of 0682?
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4200 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2700, optimistic scenario HK$0.5200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4200, about +96% upside versus a price of HK$0.2140 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2700, optimistic scenario HK$0.5200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$61.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.4200 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2140. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0682 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2140, fair value HK$0.4200, a gap of about +96% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0682?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2140); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4200). For Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.2060 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd at about HK$46.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2140; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0682?
Our models span a range for Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2700, base HK$0.4200, optimistic HK$0.5200 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2140). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0682?
The PEG ratio of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is 0.14 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −9.8%, debt of 5.76 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0682 from its 52-week high?
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.2140, about 37% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3400 and at the low of HK$0.2130 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2140, calculated fair value HK$0.4200 (+96%), Quality Score 41/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0682 calculated?
We run Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.4200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd currently trades 49 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.2140. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4200, about +96% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2700 to HK$0.5200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
The market capitalisation of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is HK$46.5M (≈ $5.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is 0.76 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
Earnings per share at Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
The net margin of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is −23.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is −9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is −6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
The operating margin of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is −32.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682)?
Revenue at Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is growing −7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682) generate?
The free cash flow of Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is −HK$4.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd (0682) hold?
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$80.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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