Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn IDR 1,522, price IDR 1,515, upside +0.5%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 370.04 IDR – 1,871 IDR · fair‑value band 773.25 IDR – 2,278 IDR · the 1,515 IDR price screens below the 1,522 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk operates in the palm oil and wood product business in Indonesia. It plants, produces, and sells palm oil products, including crude palm oil, palm kernel, and palm kernel oil.
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PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk operates in the palm oil and wood product business in Indonesia. It plants, produces, and sells palm oil products, including crude palm oil, palm kernel, and palm kernel oil. It also provides various wood products, such as panels and engineered floors and doors; and produces compressed natural gas from palm oil mill effluent and biomass. It also exports its products. PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG) currently trades at 1,515 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,522 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 0.4% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 3,375 IDR per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the 1,515 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 725.68 IDR, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 773.25 IDR (bear) to 2,278 IDR (bull), the price of 1,515 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn reported revenue of 12.3T IDR in FY2025 versus 7.1T IDR in FY2021, a compound +14.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.8T IDR in FY2025, compounding +26.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 16.1T IDR (≈ $1.6B) · P/E ratio 8.4 · P/S ratio 1.26 · EPS (TTM) 179.46 IDR · Net margin 14.9% · Return on equity 16.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.4% · Operating margin 21.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 0%, DSNG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 773.25 IDRFair Value 1,522 IDRBull 2,278 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (131.34 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.8% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +23.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.31% vs 21%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 23%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 61% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.2% a year for the price and +0.7% for the forecasts.
Compare Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 290 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Return on assets10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.28× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
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Is Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,522 IDR versus a price of 1,515 IDR, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DSNG?
Our model-based fair value for Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn is 1,522 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,515 IDR.
What is the quality score of DSNG?
Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,522 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 773.25 IDR, optimistic scenario 2,278 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,522 IDR, about +0% upside versus a price of 1,515 IDR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 773.25 IDR, optimistic scenario 2,278 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.5T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn would have to grow free cash flow by +13.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DSNG use?
Our models discount Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn that is +13.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn grew +13.0 % a year. The price currently implies +13.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (+13.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.93 %: that much free cash flow Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn it is 1,522 IDR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 1,515 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DSNG trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,515 IDR, fair value 1,522 IDR, a gap of about +0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DSNG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,515 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,522 IDR). For Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn the two are 6.88 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn worth?
The market values Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn at about 16.1T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 1,515 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 1,522 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DSNG?
Our models span a range for Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn: cautious scenario 773.25 IDR, base 1,522 IDR, optimistic 2,278 IDR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 1,515 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DSNG?
Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,522 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.2, P/B 1.4, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 4.9.
What is the PEG ratio of DSNG?
The PEG ratio of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn is 0.19 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 16.9%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DSNG from its 52-week high?
Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn trades at 1,515 IDR, about 19% below its 52-week high of 1,871 IDR and 47% above the low of 1,032 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,522 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 1,515 IDR, calculated fair value 1,522 IDR (+0%), Quality Score 65/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DSNG calculated?
We run Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,522 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1,515 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 1,522 IDR, about +0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn right now?
The model range is unusually wide (773.25 IDR to 2,278 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG) come from?
Earnings per share at Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn grew +14.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.2 %, EBIT margin +1.2 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn
How large is the market capitalisation of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
The market capitalisation of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn is 16.1T IDR (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn is 1.26 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
Earnings per share at Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn are 179.46 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
The net margin of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn is 14.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn is 12.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
The operating margin of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn is 21.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
Revenue at Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn is growing +7.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG)?
Earnings per share at Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn are growing +16.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn (DSNG) carry?
The net debt of Dharma Satya Nusantara Ptdsn is 3.5T IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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