CEC International Holdings (0759) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$151M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −7.1% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from HK$0.1695 (bear) to HK$0.2953 (bull), base HK$0.2320. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1020 – HK$0.8477 · fair‑value band HK$0.1695 – HK$0.2953 · the HK$0.2210 price screens below the HK$0.2320 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
CEC International Holdings (0759) currently trades at HK$0.2210, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2320, implying the stock looks roughly 5.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, CEC International Holdings generated revenue of HK$1.5B at a net margin of -2.4%. Revenue grew 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.8%. Net debt stands at HK$157M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1695 (bear case) to HK$0.2953 (bull case); at HK$0.2210, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 97% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at 5%, 0759 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$3.14) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.4400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CEC International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, retails food and beverage, and household and personal care products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Retail Business, Electronic Components Manufacturing, and Investment Property Holdings.
Full company description
CEC International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, retails food and beverage, and household and personal care products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Retail Business, Electronic Components Manufacturing, and Investment Property Holdings. It retails daily necessities, including snacks, food, groceries, and household and personal care products, as well as frozen food, alcoholic beverages, and kitchenware through its stores. The company is also involved in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of various electronic components, including coils, inductors, transformers, line filters, and electrolytic capacitors, as well as ferrite and electro ceramics materials, plastic and metal parts, and electrolytic capacitors for use in power supply devices, telecommunication equipment, information technology equipment, data networking products, digital audiovisual products, home appliances and automation equipment, audio and visual products, and handheld multimedia equipment. In addition, it engages in property investment activities; provision of information technology and packaging of food products services; trading and wholesale of food and household products; and manufacture of bottled water. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. CEC International Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Ka Yan China Development (Holding) Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CEC International Holdings reported revenue of HK$1.4B in FY2025 versus HK$2.1B in FY2021, a compound −9.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$43.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 82 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$62.09 | C$44.44 | -28% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €31.87 | €53.50 | +68% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $56.06 | $28.19 | -50% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.72 | A$8.33 | -79% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$99.75 | C$147.70 | +48% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.44 | A$15.86 | -32% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$89.98 | C$94.01 | +4% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €15.73 | €11.19 | -29% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.85 SGD | 2.36 SGD | +28% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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