EN DE

Beijing Jingkelong Company (0814) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$111M

BJ Beijing Jingkelong Company 0814 · HK
PriceHK$0.2900
Fair ValueHK$0.8133
Upside+180.5%
Quality52/100
Watch Beijing Jingkelong Company for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Weak Growth
Loss-making · -1.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.5150 – HK$1.11 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 12, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 12, 2026, revised from HK$0.8053 to HK$0.8133 (+1.0%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +7.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 180% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.5150). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.5150 to HK$1.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.17 HK$0.2420 Fair Value HK$0.8133 Jun 2019 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2420 – HK$1.17 · fair‑value band HK$0.5150 – HK$1.11 · the HK$0.2900 price screens below the HK$0.8133 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Beijing Jingkelong Company (0814) currently trades at HK$0.2900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.8133, implying the stock looks roughly 180.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Jingkelong Company generated revenue of HK$8.3B at a net margin of -1.6%. Revenue declined 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.4%. Net debt stands at HK$2.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.5150 (bear case) to HK$1.11 (bull case); at HK$0.2900, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 180%, 0814 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$21.63 HK$26.28 HK$33.22 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$21.32 HK$29.88 HK$40.46 74
EV/EBITDA HK$5.11 HK$6.15 HK$7.19 54
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$21.15 HK$26.10 HK$34.09 38
Owner Earnings HK$3.55 HK$3.95 HK$4.60 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$21.32 HK$29.34 HK$41.00 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$12.50 HK$14.11 HK$16.27 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$20.72 HK$26.02 HK$31.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$16.55 HK$17.96 HK$19.20 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$5.11 HK$6.15 HK$7.19 54
EV/Revenue HK$23.18 HK$32.26 HK$41.34 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.45 HK$1.95 HK$2.90 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$21.63 HK$26.28 HK$33.22 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$21.32 HK$29.88 HK$40.46 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$26.28) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.95). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Notify me when 0814 reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$8.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.9%
Net margin -1.6%
Return on equity -8.4%
Free cash flow HK$1.1B FY2025
Operating margin 0.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.2600
EPS growth (YoY) +57.0%
Net debt HK$2.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Beijing Jingkelong Company Limited engages in the retail and wholesale distribution of daily consumer products. It operates through three segments: Retailing, Wholesaling, and Others. The company is involved in the operation of hypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience stores, and department stores.

Full company description

Beijing Jingkelong Company Limited engages in the retail and wholesale distribution of daily consumer products. It operates through three segments: Retailing, Wholesaling, and Others. The company is involved in the operation of hypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience stores, and department stores. It engages in the sale of food, non-staple food, daily necessities, tobacco and liquor, hardware and household appliances, and other commodities. The company also engages in the sale of plastic packaging products, hotel room services, school training services, and others. In addition, it offers food products, non-staple food, beverages, alcoholic beverages, and daily necessities. Beijing Jingkelong Company Limited was formerly known as Beijing Jingkelong Supermarket Chain Company Limited. The company was founded in 1994 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beijing Jingkelong Company reported revenue of HK$8.3B in FY2025 versus HK$11.1B in FY2021, a compound −6.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$129M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$8.3B
Latest YoY
−13.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Revenue −6.9%/yr
FY21 HK$11.1B
FY22 HK$9.5B
FY23 HK$9.5B
FY24 HK$9.6B
FY25 HK$8.3B
Net income
FY21 −HK$22.5M
FY22 −HK$92.6M
FY23 −HK$75.7M
FY24 −HK$161M
FY25 −HK$129M

Watch 0814: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Jingkelong Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0814

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 223 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +179% · Top 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth -16% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 32
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $827.04 $405.44 -51%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $222.84 $164.16 -26%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $479.57 $488.39 +2%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $208.89 $181.10 -13%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.98 $109.12 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥52.90 ¥40.40 -24%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $31.01 $35.52 +15%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $618.57 $423.35 -32%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $197.71 $117.29 -41%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 110.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -27%

Compare Beijing Jingkelong Company with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Jingkelong Company (0814) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.8133 versus a price of HK$0.2900, about +180% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0814?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Jingkelong Company is HK$0.8133 (as of Aug 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2900.
What is the quality score of 0814?
Beijing Jingkelong Company has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Beijing Jingkelong Company (0814)?
Beijing Jingkelong Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$8.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0814?
The net profit margin of Beijing Jingkelong Company is about -1.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Beijing Jingkelong Company and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.