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China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd stock HK$1.85, price HK$0.95, upside +95.8%, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 8 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate HK · Based in China · ISIN HK0817039453

CJ China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd logo Thin data Nov 13, 2026

China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd

0817 · HK

Cheap (49% below fair value), but weak company and price moving sideways: meets 1 of 3 rules.

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Fair value HK$1.85 · Strongly undervalued 
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 47% above the price (HK$1.39). 
Price moving sideways (no uptrend) 
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +0.5 %/yr in HKD) 
Thin margins · 1.9% net margin (TTM) 
3.2% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Quality 38/100 
High debt 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (5/14) 
Narrow moat 23/100
Thin data 
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$2.47 HK$0.4430 Fair Value HK$1.85 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.4430 – HK$2.47 · fair‑value band HK$1.39 – HK$2.21 · the HK$0.9450 price screens below the HK$1.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 13, 2026.

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Company profile

China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited engages in residential and integrated property development in Mainland China. It operates through five segments: Property Development, Property Investment, Hotel Operations, Jinmao Services, and Others.

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The Property Development segment develops residential and comprehensive properties. The Property Investment segment leases office and retail commercial premises. The Hotel Operations segment offers hotel accommodation services, and food and beverage.

The Jinmao Services segment provides property management services and community value-added services, as well as value-added services to non-property owners. The Others segment offers design and decoration services. This segment is also involved in building technology and other services.

The company was formerly known as Franshion Properties (China) Limited and changed its name to China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited in September 2015. China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817) currently trades at HK$0.9450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.85, implying the stock looks roughly 49% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$2.17 per share, and 4 of the 6 models we run sit above the HK$0.9450 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.2200, and 2 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$1.39 (bear) to HK$2.21 (bull), the price of HK$0.9450 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd reported revenue of 59.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 90.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −9.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding −28.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$12.6B (≈ $1.6B) Small · P/E ratio 37.3 · P/S ratio 0.79 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 1.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 2.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 41% fair-value upside, at 96%, 0817 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.39 Fair Value HK$1.85 Bull HK$2.21
Price HK$0.9450 · Upside +95.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income HK$2.06 HK$2.07 HK$2.21 76
Gordon GGM HK$0.1300 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3100 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1300 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2500 67
All 8 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.1300 HK$0.2300 HK$0.3100 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1300 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2500 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$1.39 HK$1.85 HK$2.32 57
P/B Multiple HK$1.69 HK$2.25 HK$2.81 55
EV/EBIT n/a n/a HK$0.9500 60
EV/EBITDA n/a n/a HK$0.1600 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.62 HK$2.17 HK$3.24 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$2.06 HK$2.07 HK$2.21 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 14
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 9
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 97
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 38
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 12
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 80
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−20.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−24.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−24.1% vs −10.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 8%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 491 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +95.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 1.8% · Below median
Return on assets 0.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 3.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 2.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −14.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.65× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 37.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.33× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.39× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 36.3× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.10× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 69
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)7 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)63 · sector 62

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$29.92 HK$78.45 +162% vs 0817
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.23 ¥10.09 +93% vs 0817
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.19 HK$22.53 +85% vs 0817
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$49.24 HK$72.05 +46% vs 0817
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$110.90 HK$156.00 +41% vs 0817
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.48 ¥5.64 −25% vs 0817
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$10.38 HK$6.32 −39% vs 0817
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,220 ₹271.92 −78% vs 0817
DLF Limited DLF ₹758.75 ₹167.48 −78% vs 0817
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.22 $1.52 −82% vs 0817

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China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0817

Frequently asked questions

Is China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.85 versus a price of HK$0.9450, about +96% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0817?
Our model-based fair value for China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd is HK$1.85 (as of Nov 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.9450.
What is the quality score of 0817?
China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.85 (as of Nov 13, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.39, optimistic scenario HK$2.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.85, about +96% upside versus a price of HK$0.9450 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.39, optimistic scenario HK$2.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817)?
China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$55.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 13, 2026).
Does China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd pay a dividend?
China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 3.17% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 13, 2026).
How much is the dividend of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817) and when is the ex-dividend date?
China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd pays a dividend of HK$0.03 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 16, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2008. The payout ratio is 32.3% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd it is HK$1.85 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026), against a price of HK$0.9450. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 13, 2026, 0817 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.9450, fair value HK$1.85, a gap of about +96% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0817?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.9450); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.85). For China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd the two are HK$0.9050 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd worth?
The market values China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd at about HK$12.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.9450; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0817?
Our models span a range for China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.39, base HK$1.85, optimistic HK$2.21 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026, price HK$0.9450). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0817?
China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.3 (as of Nov 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.85 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 0.3, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 36.3.
What is the PEG ratio of 0817?
The PEG ratio of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd is 0.10 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 13, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (as of Nov 13, 2026): return on equity 1.8%, debt of 2.65 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0817 from its 52-week high?
China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd trades at HK$0.9450, about 52% below its 52-week high of HK$1.95 and at the low of HK$0.9450 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 13, 2026: price HK$0.9450, calculated fair value HK$1.85 (+96%), Quality Score 38/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0817 calculated?
We run China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd through 8 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$1.85 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd currently trades 49% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.9450. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.85, about +96% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.39). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817)?
The market capitalisation of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd is HK$12.6B (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd is 0.79 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817)?
The dividend yield of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd is 3.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817)?
The net margin of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd is 1.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817)?
The operating margin of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817)?
Revenue at China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd is down 14.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817)?
Earnings per share at China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd are down 27.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817) generate?
The free cash flow of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd is −HK$6.0B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd (0817) carry?
The net debt of China Jinmao Holdings Group Ltd is HK$117B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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