Dynasty Fine Wines Group (0828) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$259M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +9.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from HK$0.1500 (bear) to HK$0.2500 (bull), base HK$0.2000. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 30/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1700 – HK$0.5732 · fair‑value band HK$0.1500 – HK$0.2500 · the HK$0.1860 price screens below the HK$0.2000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Dynasty Fine Wines Group (0828) currently trades at HK$0.1860, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2000, implying the stock looks roughly 7.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Dynasty Fine Wines Group generated revenue of HK$170M at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue declined 65.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$93.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1500 (bear case) to HK$0.2500 (bull case); at HK$0.1860, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 8%, 0828 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.1800) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dynasty Fine Wines Group Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells grape wine products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through the Red Wines, White Wines, and Others segments.
Full company description
Dynasty Fine Wines Group Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells grape wine products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through the Red Wines, White Wines, and Others segments. It offers wine products in various categories, including red wines, white wines, sparkling wines, ice wine, brandy, and baijiu under the Dynasty brand name. The company also manufactures and sells unprocessed wine; and sells chateau wine and other foreign branded wines. It sells wine products through a network of distributors, as well as online. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Dynasty Fine Wines Group reported revenue of HK$170M in FY2025 versus HK$306M in FY2021, a compound −13.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$13.7M in FY2025, compounding −19.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,343 | ¥1,238 | -8% |
| Diageo plc DEO | $93.96 | $73.29 | -22% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥75.28 | ¥48.44 | -36% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥122.32 | ¥185.80 | +52% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €67.96 | €76.13 | +12% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥91.09 | ¥149.17 | +64% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $28.40 | $27.69 | -3% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,515 | ₹381.12 | -75% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 | 0.4700 SGD | 0.7000 SGD | +49% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥41.62 | ¥27.82 | -33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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