Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd HK$0.17, price HK$0.16, upside +4.9%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1580 – HK$0.5732 · fair‑value band HK$0.1500 – HK$0.2000 · the HK$0.1620 price screens below the HK$0.1700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Dynasty Fine Wines Group Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells grape wine products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through the Red Wines, White Wines, and Others segments.
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Dynasty Fine Wines Group Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells grape wine products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through the Red Wines, White Wines, and Others segments. It offers wine products in various categories, including red wines, white wines, sparkling wines, ice wine, brandy, and baijiu under the Dynasty brand name. The company also manufactures and sells unprocessed wine; and sells chateau wine and other foreign branded wines. It sells wine products through a network of distributors, as well as online. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828) currently trades at HK$0.1620, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1700, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.7%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2000 per share, and 9 of the 12 models we run sit above the HK$0.1620 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0800, and 3 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1500 (bear) to HK$0.2000 (bull), the price of HK$0.1620 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd reported revenue of HK$170M in FY2025 versus HK$306M in FY2021, a compound −13.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$13.7M in FY2025, compounding −19.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$259M (≈ $33.0M) · P/E ratio 16.2 · P/S ratio 1.30 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Net margin 8.1% · Return on equity 3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% · Operating margin −102%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at 5%, 0828 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1500Fair Value HK$0.1700Bull HK$0.2000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0075 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−37.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −12.2% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−30.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−30.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−24% → 12%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.7%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 95 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0828
Frequently asked questions
Is Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1700 versus a price of HK$0.1620, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0828?
Our model-based fair value for Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd is HK$0.1700 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1620.
What is the quality score of 0828?
Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1700 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1500, optimistic scenario HK$0.2000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1700, about +5% upside versus a price of HK$0.1620 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1500, optimistic scenario HK$0.2000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828)?
Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$170M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd it is HK$0.1700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1620. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0828 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1620, fair value HK$0.1700, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0828?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1620); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1700). For Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd the two are HK$0.0080 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd worth?
The market values Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd at about HK$259M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1620; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0828?
Our models span a range for Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1500, base HK$0.1700, optimistic HK$0.2000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1620). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0828?
Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.1700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 0.8, P/S 1.5.
What is the PEG ratio of 0828?
The PEG ratio of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd is 0.41 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 3.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0828 from its 52-week high?
Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd trades at HK$0.1620, about 45% below its 52-week high of HK$0.2950 and 3% above the low of HK$0.1580 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Pernod Ricard SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1620, calculated fair value HK$0.1700 (+5%), Quality Score 30/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0828 calculated?
We run Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd currently trades 5 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1620. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1700, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828)?
The market capitalisation of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd is HK$259M (≈ $33.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd is 1.30 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828)?
Earnings per share at Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd are HK$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828)?
The net margin of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd is 8.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828)?
The operating margin of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd is −102% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828)?
Revenue at Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd is growing −65.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828)?
Earnings per share at Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd are growing −63.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828) generate?
The free cash flow of Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd is −HK$112M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd (0828) hold?
Dynasty Fine Wines Gr Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$93.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026