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Thai Beverage Public Company (Y92) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · SG · Market cap 11.1B SGD

TB Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 · SG
Price0.4600 SGD
Fair Value0.6900 SGD
Upside+50.0%
Quality58/100
Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
5.74% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/12)
Moderate moat 52/100
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Evidence: Medium Range 0.3600 SGD – 1.01 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 18.10 SGD to 0.6900 SGD (−96.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.7% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (0.3600 SGD to 1.01 SGD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

0.4738 SGD 0.3050 SGD Fair Value 0.6900 SGD Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 0.3050 SGD – 0.4738 SGD · fair‑value band 0.3600 SGD – 1.01 SGD · the 0.4600 SGD price screens below the 0.6900 SGD fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Thai Beverage Public Company (Y92) currently trades at 0.4600 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6900 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Thai Beverage Public Company generated revenue of 330B SGD at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.3%. Net debt stands at 185B SGD. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.3600 SGD (bear case) to 1.01 SGD (bull case); at 0.4600 SGD, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 50%, Y92 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 330B SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.0%
Net margin 7.5%
Return on equity 14.3%
Free cash flow 32.0B SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 10.8
More key figures
Operating margin 14.8%
EPS (TTM) 0.0400 SGD
Dividend yield 5.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.2%
Net debt 185B SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100
Profitability 46
Quality Growth 49
Cashflow 62
Fin. Strength 28
Investment 96
Low Volatility 51
Momentum 44
52W Momentum 64
Net Issuance 82

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, and food products in Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, Myanmar, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through Spirits, Beer, Non-Alcoholic Beverages, Food, and Others segments.

Full company description

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, and food products in Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, Myanmar, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through Spirits, Beer, Non-Alcoholic Beverages, Food, and Others segments. The company offers beer; malt and yeast; spirits; mineral, drinking, and soda water; coffee, energy drinks, tea, fruit flavored drinks, and dairy products; canned food; ice cream; rice cakes/cubes, cooking needs, instant dessert powders, pre-mix beverages, and bread spreads; and soft drinks, electrolyte drinks, isotonic, milk, soya, juices, and confectioneries. It also provides chilled and frozen food; beer concentrates; mechanical equipment; bricks and oak barrels; biogas; transportation by car; franchising; plastic packaging; investment and asset management; accounting; human resources and organization development; advertising and marketing; logistics; recycling; warehousing and storage; printing; education training; general and brands management; marketing management consulting; marketing research; treasury and financial; consultancy; public cold storage; machine repair; technical application; and digital and technology services. In addition, the company is involved in the publishing of trade directory, business information, education, library reference, and trade books; trading of molasses, fertilizers, feeds, bottles, procurement and supplies; production of plastic packaging; property investment, development, management, and rental; manufacture and installation of food manufacturing equipment; wholesale and retail of food, beverage, and tobacco; and operation of japanese restaurants, bakeries, and vending machines. Further, it engages in trademark holding; e-commerce; book and magazine distribution; and retail of books, stationery, magazines, and periodicals. Thai Beverage Public Company Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thai Beverage Public Company reported revenue of 333B SGD in FY2025 versus 241B SGD in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was 25.4B SGD in FY2025, compounding +0.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +8.5%/yr
FY21 241B SGD
FY22 272B SGD
FY23 333B SGD
FY24 340B SGD
FY25 333B SGD
Net income +0.7%/yr
FY21 24.6B SGD
FY22 30.1B SGD
FY23 27.4B SGD
FY24 27.2B SGD
FY25 25.4B SGD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thai Beverage Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/Y92

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 / 20
FUTURE 5 / 0
PAST 57 / 17
HEALTH 35 / 96
DIVIDEND 100 / 62

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 ¥1,273 ¥800.18 -37%
Diageo plc GUI €17.53 €9.56 -45%
Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 ¥79.14 ¥45.59 -42%
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 ¥122.03 ¥127.06 +4%
Pernod Ricard SA RI €63.06 €59.41 -6%
Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 ¥85.41 ¥83.24 -3%
Brown-Forman Corporation BFA $26.85 $18.51 -31%
United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR ₹1,247 ₹333.05 -73%
Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 ¥43.24 ¥23.27 -46%
Davide Campari-Milano N.V DVDCF $6.33 $5.70 -10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thai Beverage Public Company (Y92) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.6900 SGD versus a price of 0.4600 SGD, about +50% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of Y92?
Our model-based fair value for Thai Beverage Public Company is 0.6900 SGD (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.4600 SGD.
What is the quality score of Y92?
Thai Beverage Public Company has a Quality Score of 58/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Thai Beverage Public Company (Y92)?
Thai Beverage Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 330B SGD (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of Y92?
The net profit margin of Thai Beverage Public Company is about 7.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Thai Beverage Public Company pay a dividend?
Thai Beverage Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.81% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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