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Data-driven stock valuation

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited (Y92) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Thai Beverage Public Company Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Consumer Defensive · SG · Market cap 11.1B SGD (≈ $8.7B) · ISIN TH0902010014

At a glance

TB Thai Beverage Public Company Limited Y92 · SG
Price0.4500 SGD
Fair Value0.7000 SGD
Upside+55.6%
Quality60/100

A solid business, trading 36% below our fair value of 0.7000 SGD.

As of Aug 28, 2026, the fair value of Thai Beverage Public Company Limited is 0.7000 SGD per share against a price of 0.4500 SGD, so the fair value sits 56% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.5% net margin
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·5.55% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (13/15)
!Moderate moat 52/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 5 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range 0.3700 SGD to 1.02 SGD

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price −3.2% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (0.3700 SGD to 1.02 SGD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.5997 SGD 0.3050 SGD Fair Value 0.7000 SGD Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.3050 SGD – 0.5997 SGD · fair‑value band 0.3700 SGD – 1.02 SGD · the 0.4500 SGD price screens below the 0.7000 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited (Y92) currently trades at 0.4500 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.7000 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 35.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 0.7890 SGD per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the 0.4500 SGD price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.1605 SGD, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Thai Beverage Public Company Limited generated revenue of 330B THB at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.3%. Net debt stands at 185B THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Scenario range: 0.3700 SGD (bear) to 1.02 SGD (bull), the price of 0.4500 SGD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 56%, Y92 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 11 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0141 SGD per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 0.3717 SGD 0.7000 SGD 1.20 SGD 77
Growth DCF 0.3832 SGD 0.6757 SGD 1.09 SGD 76
EPV 0.3372 SGD 0.4330 SGD 0.5169 SGD 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.3717 SGD 0.7000 SGD 1.20 SGD 77
Owner Earnings 0.1750 SGD 0.3973 SGD 0.7328 SGD 72
5Y Revenue Exit 0.3423 SGD 0.6804 SGD 1.11 SGD 70
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.4658 SGD 0.9091 SGD 1.42 SGD 73
5Y P/E Exit 0.3662 SGD 0.7247 SGD 1.10 SGD 69
10Y Revenue Exit 0.3296 SGD 0.6395 SGD 1.05 SGD 65
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.4258 SGD 0.7975 SGD 1.29 SGD 66
10Y P/E Exit 0.3623 SGD 0.6702 SGD 1.04 SGD 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.2921 SGD 0.8746 SGD 1.16 SGD 65
Lynch FV 0.1852 SGD 0.2648 SGD 0.3440 SGD 61
PEG = 1.0 0.1852 SGD 0.2648 SGD 0.3440 SGD 57
EPV 0.3372 SGD 0.4330 SGD 0.5169 SGD 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.6766 SGD 0.9023 SGD 1.13 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 0.5480 SGD 0.7302 SGD 0.9129 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 0.5480 SGD 0.7302 SGD 0.9129 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 0.6493 SGD 0.9448 SGD 1.24 SGD 65
EV/EBITDA 0.6119 SGD 0.8946 SGD 1.18 SGD 67
EV/Revenue 0.3555 SGD 0.6097 SGD 0.8639 SGD 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.1196 SGD 0.1605 SGD 0.2393 SGD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.3832 SGD 0.6757 SGD 1.09 SGD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.3423 SGD 0.6821 SGD 1.07 SGD 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.2810 SGD 0.3700 SGD 1.25 SGD 58
ROIC Compounder 0.3594 SGD 0.5182 SGD 0.7132 SGD 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.5523 SGD 0.7890 SGD 1.03 SGD 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (0.7890 SGD) versus Asset-Based (0.1605 SGD). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 11.3
P/S ratio 0.86 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 0.0400 SGD price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.3
Dividend yield 5.5% payout 62.4%
Net margin 7.6% FY2025
Return on equity 14.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 14.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 330B THB TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.0% 3y avg +7.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 32.0B THB FY2025
Net debt 185B THB FY2025 · ≈ 5.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, and food products in Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, Myanmar, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through Spirits, Beer, Non-Alcoholic Beverages, Food, and Others segments.

Full company description

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, and food products in Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, Myanmar, Singapore, and internationally. It operates through Spirits, Beer, Non-Alcoholic Beverages, Food, and Others segments. The company offers beer; malt and yeast; spirits; mineral, drinking, and soda water; coffee, energy drinks, tea, fruit flavored drinks, and dairy products; canned food; ice cream; rice cakes/cubes, cooking needs, instant dessert powders, pre-mix beverages, and bread spreads; and soft drinks, electrolyte drinks, isotonic, milk, soya, juices, and confectioneries. It also provides chilled and frozen food; beer concentrates; mechanical equipment; bricks and oak barrels; biogas; transportation by car; franchising; plastic packaging; investment and asset management; accounting; human resources and organization development; advertising and marketing; logistics; recycling; warehousing and storage; printing; education training; general and brands management; marketing management consulting; marketing research; treasury and financial; consultancy; public cold storage; machine repair; technical application; and digital and technology services. In addition, the company is involved in the publishing of trade directory, business information, education, library reference, and trade books; trading of molasses, fertilizers, feeds, bottles, procurement and supplies; production of plastic packaging; property investment, development, management, and rental; manufacture and installation of food manufacturing equipment; wholesale and retail of food, beverage, and tobacco; and operation of japanese restaurants, bakeries, and vending machines. Further, it engages in trademark holding; e-commerce; book and magazine distribution; and retail of books, stationery, magazines, and periodicals. Thai Beverage Public Company Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thai Beverage Public Company Limited reported revenue of 333B THB in FY2025 versus 241B THB in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was 25.4B THB in FY2025, compounding +0.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
333B THB
Latest YoY
−2.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in THB) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+1.7%
Dividend yield5.5%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 1.7% vs 10Y 1.6%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16.4% (2020) → 12.3% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop46% (2018) · in THB
Revenue +8.5%/yr
FY21 241B THB
FY22 272B THB
FY23 333B THB
FY24 340B THB
FY25 333B THB
Net income +0.7%/yr
FY21 24.6B THB
FY22 30.1B THB
FY23 27.4B THB
FY24 27.2B THB
FY25 25.4B THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2011-2022) +2.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.1 %

of which total revenue +6.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin +1.8 %
Tax rate +0.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −4.9 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Thai Beverage Public Company Limited · Fair Value
0.7000 SGD +36%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thai Beverage Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/Y92

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 95 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +56% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.30× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 2.03× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.87× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.05× · Cheaper than median

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Thai Beverage Public Company Limited deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+0.7 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+5.6 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+2.9 %
FCF yield on price10.86 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.3 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 15
FUTURE5 · sector 0
PAST57 · sector 19
HEALTH35 · sector 96
DIVIDEND100 · sector 62

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 ¥1,303 ¥1,238 −5%
Diageo plc DEO $89.19 $73.29 −18%
Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 ¥71.89 ¥48.44 −33%
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 ¥116.39 ¥185.80 +60%
Pernod Ricard SA RI €61.76 €76.13 +23%
Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 ¥84.50 ¥149.17 +77%
Brown-Forman Corporation BFA $28.72 $27.69 −4%
United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR ₹1,528 ₹285.39 −81%
Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 ¥39.59 ¥27.82 −30%
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co 000596 ¥93.90 ¥141.00 +50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thai Beverage Public Company Limited (Y92) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.7000 SGD versus a price of 0.4500 SGD, about +56% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of Y92?
Our model-based fair value for Thai Beverage Public Company Limited is 0.7000 SGD (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.4500 SGD.
What is the quality score of Y92?
Thai Beverage Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Thai Beverage Public Company Limited (Y92)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.7000 SGD (as of Aug 28, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.3700 SGD, optimistic scenario 1.02 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Thai Beverage Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.7000 SGD, about +56% upside versus a price of 0.4500 SGD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.3700 SGD, optimistic scenario 1.02 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Thai Beverage Public Company Limited (Y92)?
Thai Beverage Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 330B THB (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of Y92?
The net profit margin of Thai Beverage Public Company Limited is about 7.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Thai Beverage Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Thai Beverage Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.55% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Thai Beverage Public Company Limited (Y92)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Thai Beverage Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +0.7 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.3 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.6 % per year. As of Aug 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of Y92 use?
Our models discount Thai Beverage Public Company Limited at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.46, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Thai Beverage Public Company Limited (Y92)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Thai Beverage Public Company Limited it is 0.7000 SGD per share (as of Aug 28, 2026), against a price of 0.4500 SGD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Thai Beverage Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 28, 2026, Y92 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.4500 SGD, fair value 0.7000 SGD, a gap of about +56% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of Y92?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.4500 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.7000 SGD). For Thai Beverage Public Company Limited the two are 0.2500 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Thai Beverage Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Thai Beverage Public Company Limited at about 11.1B SGD (market capitalisation, as of Aug 28, 2026). Per share that is 0.4500 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 0.7000 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about Y92?
Our models span a range for Thai Beverage Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.3700 SGD, base 0.7000 SGD, optimistic 1.02 SGD per share (as of Aug 28, 2026, price 0.4500 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of Y92?
Thai Beverage Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.3 (as of Aug 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.7000 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 2.0, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 8.1.
What is the PEG ratio of Y92?
The PEG ratio of Thai Beverage Public Company Limited is 1.05 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Aug 28, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Thai Beverage Public Company Limited (Y92)?
Balance-sheet figures for Thai Beverage Public Company Limited (as of Aug 28, 2026): return on equity 14.3%, debt of 1.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is Y92 from its 52-week high?
Thai Beverage Public Company Limited trades at 0.4500 SGD, about 5% below its 52-week high of 0.4739 SGD and 48% above the low of 0.3050 SGD (as of Aug 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.7000 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Thai Beverage Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Diageo plc, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Thai Beverage Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 28, 2026: price 0.4500 SGD, calculated fair value 0.7000 SGD (+56%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of Y92 calculated?
We run Thai Beverage Public Company Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.7000 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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