Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Bc Technology Group Ltd HK$2.70, price HK$10.15, upside -73.4%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.58 – HK$21.50 · fair‑value band HK$1.79 – HK$3.38 · the HK$10.15 price screens above the HK$2.70 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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OSL Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in digital assets and blockchain platform business in Hong Kong, Australia, Japan, Singapore, and Mainland China. It is involved in the trading of digital assets, brokerage, custody, exchange, and SaaS services.
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OSL Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in digital assets and blockchain platform business in Hong Kong, Australia, Japan, Singapore, and Mainland China. It is involved in the trading of digital assets, brokerage, custody, exchange, and SaaS services. The company also provides automated digital assets trading services through its proprietary platforms and licensing of its proprietary platforms; licenses its digital asset exchange platform and related technology solutions; consultancy services to white label customers; and secured storage of digital asset services. In addition, it develops and sells intellectual property in relation to digital assets exchange platform; and provides corporate treasury and technical services; and safekeeping services for client assets, as well as payments service for the cryptocurrency exchanges. The company was formerly known as BC Technology Group Limited and changed its name to OSL Group Limited in January 2024. OSL Group Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863) currently trades at HK$10.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.70, 73.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$1.79 (bear) to HK$3.38 (bull), the price of HK$10.15 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Bc Technology Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$489M in FY2025 versus HK$265M in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$387M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$10.4B (≈ $1.3B) · P/S ratio 21.2 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0300 · Net margin −79.1% · Return on equity −17.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.9% · Operating margin −107% · Revenue (TTM) HK$489M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −73%, 0863 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$1.79Fair Value HK$2.70Bull HK$3.38
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−103.6% (2020) → −86.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Bc Technology Group Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 464 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−73.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−7.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−79.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−106.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16.9% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.40× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.70× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)85· sector 98
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bc Technology Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0863
Frequently asked questions
Is Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.70 versus a price of HK$10.15, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0863?
Our model-based fair value for Bc Technology Group Ltd is HK$2.70 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$10.15.
What is the quality score of 0863?
Bc Technology Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.70 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.79, optimistic scenario HK$3.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bc Technology Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.70, about −73% upside versus a price of HK$10.15 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.79, optimistic scenario HK$3.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
Bc Technology Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$489M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bc Technology Group Ltd it is HK$2.70 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$10.15. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bc Technology Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0863 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$10.15, fair value HK$2.70, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0863?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$10.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.70). For Bc Technology Group Ltd the two are HK$7.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bc Technology Group Ltd worth?
The market values Bc Technology Group Ltd at about HK$10.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$10.15; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0863?
Our models span a range for Bc Technology Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.79, base HK$2.70, optimistic HK$3.38 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$10.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bc Technology Group Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −17.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0863 from its 52-week high?
Bc Technology Group Ltd trades at HK$10.15, about 49% below its 52-week high of HK$19.97 and 10% above the low of HK$9.25 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bc Technology Group Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bc Technology Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$10.15, calculated fair value HK$2.70 (−73%), Quality Score 25/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0863 calculated?
We run Bc Technology Group Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$2.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Bc Technology Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$10.15. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.70, about −73% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bc Technology Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$3.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$1.79 to HK$3.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Bc Technology Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
The market capitalisation of Bc Technology Group Ltd is HK$10.4B (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bc Technology Group Ltd is 21.2 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
Earnings per share at Bc Technology Group Ltd are HK$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
The net margin of Bc Technology Group Ltd is −79.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bc Technology Group Ltd is −17.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bc Technology Group Ltd is −9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
The operating margin of Bc Technology Group Ltd is −107% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
Revenue at Bc Technology Group Ltd is growing +16.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +89.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863) generate?
The free cash flow of Bc Technology Group Ltd is −HK$1.5B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863) hold?
Bc Technology Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$2.1B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026