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0863 (0863) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · Market cap HK$10.4B

0 0863 0863 · HK
PriceHK$11.53
Fair ValueHK$3.18
Upside-72.4%
Quality26/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$2.10 – HK$3.98

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price +4.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$19.97 HK$10.12 Fair Value HK$3.18 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range HK$10.12 – HK$19.97 · fair‑value band HK$2.10 – HK$3.98 · the HK$11.53 price screens above the HK$3.18 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

0863 (0863) currently trades at HK$11.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.18 — implying the stock looks roughly 72.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, 0863 generated revenue of HK$489M at a net margin of -79.1%. Revenue grew 16.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$2.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$489M
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.9%
Net margin -79.1%
Return on equity -17.0%
Free cash flow −HK$1.5B FY2025
Operating margin -107%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0300
Net cash HK$2.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

0863 reported revenue of HK$489M in FY2025 versus HK$265M in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$387M in FY2025.

Revenue +16.6%/yr
FY21 HK$265M
FY22 HK$71.5M
FY23 HK$210M
FY24 HK$375M
FY25 HK$489M
Net income
FY21 −HK$307M
FY22 −HK$541M
FY23 −HK$264M
FY24 HK$47.7M
FY25 −HK$387M

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Similar stocks

6 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0500 -81%
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $214.98 $138.97 -35%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $1,001 $283.83 -72%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥25.67 ¥51.34 +100%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 46,100 KRW 36,828 KRW -20%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 104,600 KRW 64,979 KRW -38%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 0863 (0863) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.18 versus a price of HK$11.53 — about −72% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 0863?
Our model-based fair value for 0863 is HK$3.18 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$11.53.
What is the quality score of 0863?
0863 has a Quality Score of 26/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 0863 (0863)?
0863 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$489M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0863?
The net profit margin of 0863 is about -79.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.