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Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bc Technology Group Ltd stock HK$8.17, price HK$9.80, that is 16.6% below the price, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Financial Services HK · ISIN KYG1106B1095

BT Bc Technology Group Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Bc Technology Group Ltd

0863 · HK

Expensive (fair value 17% below the price), weak company and falling price: meets none of the 3 rules.

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Low debt 
Revenue last quarter +66% vs. a year ago. 
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.9 %/yr in HKD) 
Fair value HK$8.17 · Overvalued 
Quality 34/100 
Falling price (downtrend) 
Loss-making · -5.3% net margin (TTM) 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (3/10) 
Narrow moat 7/100 · thin data
Thin data 
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$19.97 HK$1.58 Fair Value HK$8.17 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.58 – HK$19.97 · fair‑value band HK$6.13 – HK$10.21 · the HK$9.80 price screens above the HK$8.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

OSL Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in digital assets and blockchain platform business in Hong Kong, Australia, Japan, Singapore, and Mainland China. It is involved in the trading of digital assets, brokerage, custody, exchange, and SaaS services.

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The company also provides automated digital assets trading services through its proprietary platforms and licensing of its proprietary platforms; licenses its digital asset exchange platform and related technology solutions; consultancy services to white label customers; and secured storage of digital asset services.

In addition, it develops and sells intellectual property in relation to digital assets exchange platform; and provides corporate treasury and technical services; and safekeeping services for client assets, as well as payments service for the cryptocurrency exchanges.

The company was formerly known as BC Technology Group Limited and changed its name to OSL Group Limited in January 2024. OSL Group Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863) currently trades at HK$9.80, while our estimate is HK$8.17, 17% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: HK$6.13 (bear) to HK$10.21 (bull), the price of HK$9.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Bc Technology Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$489M in FY2025 versus HK$265M in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$387M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$8.9B (≈ $1.1B) Small · P/S ratio 0.42 · Net margin −79.1% · Return on equity −47.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1.5% · Revenue growth (YoY) +65.8% · Free cash flow −HK$1.5B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 7 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −17%, 0863 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear HK$6.13 Fair Value HK$8.17 Bull HK$10.21
Price HK$9.80 · Downside -16.6%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 32
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 8
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 12
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−103.6% (2020) → −86.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

0863 screens overvalued: fair value 17% below the price. Compare with Morgan Stanley →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 454 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −16.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −8.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −5.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −1.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 65.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.70× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.39× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)11 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 58
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 46

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Morgan Stanley MS $190.65 $260.72 +37% vs 0863
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $92.98 $117.60 +26% vs 0863
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥16.08 ¥18.02 +12% vs 0863
Nomura Holdings NMR $9.70 $10.09 +4% vs 0863
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $916.56 $831.46 −9% vs 0863
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥25.00 ¥20.42 −18% vs 0863
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD $77.86 $47.60 −39% vs 0863
Macquarie Group MQG A$244.17 A$144.90 −41% vs 0863
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥18.29 ¥6.72 −63% vs 0863
Interactive Brokers Group IBKR $81.79 $16.66 −80% vs 0863

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Bc Technology Group Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bc Technology Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0863

Frequently asked questions

Is Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is HK$8.17 versus a price of HK$9.80, about 17% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0863?
Our estimate for Bc Technology Group Ltd is HK$8.17 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$9.80.
What is the quality score of 0863?
Bc Technology Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of HK$8.17 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario HK$6.13, optimistic scenario HK$10.21. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Bc Technology Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at HK$8.17, about 17% lower versus a price of HK$9.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$6.13, optimistic scenario HK$10.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bc Technology Group Ltd it is HK$8.17 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of HK$9.80.
Is Bc Technology Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 0863 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$9.80, fair value HK$8.17, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0863?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$9.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$8.17). For Bc Technology Group Ltd the two are HK$1.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bc Technology Group Ltd worth?
The market values Bc Technology Group Ltd at about HK$8.9B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is HK$9.80; our models calculate a fair value of HK$8.17 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0863?
Our models span a range for Bc Technology Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$6.13, base HK$8.17, optimistic HK$10.21 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price HK$9.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bc Technology Group Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −47.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0863 from its 52-week high?
Bc Technology Group Ltd trades at HK$9.80, about 51% below its 52-week high of HK$19.97 and 6% above the low of HK$9.25 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$8.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bc Technology Group Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bc Technology Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price HK$9.80, calculated fair value HK$8.17 (−17%), Quality Score 34/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. Bc Technology Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$9.80. Our estimate is HK$8.17, about 17% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bc Technology Group Ltd right now?
Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Bc Technology Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
The market capitalisation of Bc Technology Group Ltd is HK$8.9B (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bc Technology Group Ltd is 0.42 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
The net margin of Bc Technology Group Ltd is −79.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bc Technology Group Ltd is −47.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bc Technology Group Ltd is −9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
The operating margin of Bc Technology Group Ltd is −1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863)?
Revenue at Bc Technology Group Ltd is growing +65.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +89.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863) generate?
The free cash flow of Bc Technology Group Ltd is −HK$1.5B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Bc Technology Group Ltd (0863) hold?
Bc Technology Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$2.1B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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