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Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd HK$1.42, price HK$0.91, upside +56.0%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Technology · HK · ISIN KYG6142R1092

MY Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd

0909 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$1.42 · Strongly undervalued (+56.0%)

✓Quality 65/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.5 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 2.4% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

!Trails peers (5/14)

!Narrow moat 15/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 3 out of 100

26 models, one by onewith weight and evidence Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 65/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.9100 – HK$36.70 · the HK$0.9100 price screens below the HK$1.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides cloud services and on-premises software and services in China.

Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides cloud services and on-premises software and services in China. The company offers engineering, cost, procurement, safety, and planning management; video marketing, marketing and customer acquisition services, and smart sales site solutions; asset management and operation; investment promotion management, and park operations and leasing; cost management; data, mobile, container, open, and integrated cloud services. It also offers development of real estate; urban integrated development and operation; accelerated industrial upgrading management; management and operation of existing assets; and operation of industrial parks solutions. The company sells and delivers SaaS products and ERP solutions through direct sales force and a network of regional channel partners. Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Stock analysis

Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909) currently trades at HK$0.9100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.42, implying the stock looks roughly 35.9% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.01 per share, and 12 of the 18 models we run sit above the HK$0.9100 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.3300, and 6 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 1.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −12.4%/yr. Reported net income was 30.6M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$2.3B (≈ $291M) · P/E ratio 61.5 · P/S ratio 1.46 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.3% · Operating margin 0.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at 56%, 0909 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.42 Fair Value HK$1.42 Bull HK$1.42

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0075 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$1.65 HK$1.89 HK$2.60 80

Growth DCF HK$1.61 HK$1.96 HK$2.50 78

Owner Earnings HK$1.70 HK$2.34 HK$3.44 74

All 18 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$1.65 HK$1.89 HK$2.60 80

Owner Earnings HK$1.70 HK$2.34 HK$3.44 74

5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.57 HK$1.93 HK$2.67 71

5Y P/E Exit HK$1.52 HK$2.01 HK$2.65 69

10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.59 HK$2.14 HK$2.47 66

10Y P/E Exit HK$1.57 HK$2.05 HK$2.79 63

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$0.1300 HK$0.9100 HK$1.28 61

Lynch FV HK$0.4700 HK$0.6700 HK$0.8800 59

PEG = 1.0 HK$0.4700 HK$0.6700 HK$0.8800 55

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$0.4000 HK$0.5400 HK$0.6700 63

P/S Multiple HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4100 58

P/B Multiple HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4100 55

EV/Revenue HK$1.50 HK$1.69 HK$1.88 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$1.37 HK$1.84 HK$2.74 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$1.61 HK$1.96 HK$2.50 78

Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.63 HK$2.05 HK$2.95 71

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$1.66 HK$1.47 HK$1.36 74

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.6800 HK$0.9700 HK$1.27 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 21

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 61

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 67

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 85

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 100

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 44

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 4

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 0

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 81

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100

Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Revenue growth 1 year

−10.5%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−10.9%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−5.5%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +36.8% a year

Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+8.5%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−36.7%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−36.7%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → −8%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

less than -40 %

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

+1.8%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.1% a year for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)−0.6%

Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.4%

Projected 2028 (sales)+2.4%

Projected 2029 (sales)+2.3%

Projected 2030 (sales)+2.3%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 696 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 65 · Above median

Fair Value upside +56.0% · Top 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 0.7% · Below median

Return on assets −0.9% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 2.4% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 0.1% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −5.1% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 61.5× · Priciest 25%

P/B 0.45× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 1.52× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 24.8× · Pricier than median

PEG 6.97× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 27

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 39

PAST (return on equity)3 · sector 16

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$1.42 +36%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0909" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$1.42</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+36%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0909

Frequently asked questions

Is Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.42 versus a price of HK$0.9100, about +56% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 0909?

Our model-based fair value for Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd is HK$1.42 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.9100.

What is the quality score of 0909?

Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.42 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 18 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$1.42, about +56% upside versus a price of HK$0.9100 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

What growth is priced into Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -5.5 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0909 use?

Our models discount Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd grew -5.5 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.47 %: that much free cash flow Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$1.42 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.9100. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, 0909 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.9100, fair value HK$1.42, a gap of about +56% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 0909?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.9100); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.42). For Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.5100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd worth?

The market values Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$2.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.9100; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.42 per share.

What is the P/E ratio of 0909?

Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 61.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.42 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 7.0, P/B 0.5, P/S 1.5.

What is the PEG ratio of 0909?

The PEG ratio of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd is 6.97 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.

How solid is the balance sheet of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

Balance-sheet figures for Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.7%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 0909 from its 52-week high?

Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.9100, about 74% below its 52-week high of HK$3.55 and at the low of HK$0.9100 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.42 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd?

From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.9100, calculated fair value HK$1.42 (+56%), Quality Score 65/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 0909 calculated?

We run Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd through 18 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd currently trades 36 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.9100. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.42, about +56% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd right now?

The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

The market capitalisation of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd is HK$2.3B (≈ $291M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd is 1.46 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

Earnings per share at Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd are HK$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 61.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

The net margin of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd is 2.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd is −10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

The operating margin of Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

Revenue at Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd is growing −5.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909)?

Earnings per share at Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd are growing +5.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net cash does Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd (0909) hold?

Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, 1.5B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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