Ming Yuan Cloud Group (0909) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$2.3B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 18 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.8600 to HK$0.9700 (+12.8%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −9.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.21 – HK$36.70 · fair‑value band HK$0.6800 – HK$1.08 · the HK$1.29 price screens above the HK$0.9700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Ming Yuan Cloud Group (0909) currently trades at HK$1.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.9700, implying the stock looks roughly 24.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ming Yuan Cloud Group generated revenue of HK$1.3B at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.6800 (bear case) to HK$1.08 (bull case); at HK$1.29, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -25%, 0909 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 18 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$1.93) versus Multiples (HK$0.2800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides cloud services and on-premises software and services in China.
Full company description
Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides cloud services and on-premises software and services in China. The company offers engineering, cost, procurement, safety, and planning management; video marketing, marketing and customer acquisition services, and smart sales site solutions; asset management and operation; investment promotion management, and park operations and leasing; cost management; data, mobile, container, open, and integrated cloud services. It also offers development of real estate; urban integrated development and operation; accelerated industrial upgrading management; management and operation of existing assets; and operation of industrial parks solutions. The company sells and delivers SaaS products and ERP solutions through direct sales force and a network of regional channel partners. Ming Yuan Cloud Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ming Yuan Cloud Group reported revenue of HK$1.3B in FY2025 versus HK$2.2B in FY2021, a compound −12.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$30.6M in FY2025.
0909 screens 25% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 717 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.46 | C$16.26 | +30% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$209.78 | C$28.76 | -86% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $75.36 | $43.66 | -42% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $193.32 | $249.28 | +29% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $124.94 | $43.73 | -65% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $323.13 | $112.57 | -65% |
| Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc 688111 | ¥254.50 | ¥81.23 | -68% |
| Tata Elxsi Limited TATAELXSI | ₹3,712 | ₹2,519 | -32% |
| Douzone Bizon Co 012510 | 120,000 KRW | 92,181 KRW | -23% |
| KFin Technologies Limited KFINTECH | ₹922.00 | ₹556.85 | -40% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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