Daohe Global Group (0915) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$60.4M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0299 to HK$0.0277 (−7.3%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −17.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0316). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.0277 to HK$0.0316), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0370 – HK$0.5300 · fair‑value band HK$0.0277 – HK$0.0316 · the HK$0.0390 price screens above the HK$0.0277 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Daohe Global Group (0915) currently trades at HK$0.0390, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0277, implying the stock looks roughly 29.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Daohe Global Group generated revenue of HK$32.5M at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue declined 21.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$14.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0277 (bear case) to HK$0.0316 (bull case); at HK$0.0390, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at -29%, 0915 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.0200) versus DCF Models (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Daohe Global Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale of merchandise in the People's Republic of China, Southern Hemisphere, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Trading and Supply Chain Management Services; and Culture and Entertainment segments. It distributes pop toys and accessories.
Full company description
Daohe Global Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale of merchandise in the People's Republic of China, Southern Hemisphere, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Trading and Supply Chain Management Services; and Culture and Entertainment segments. It distributes pop toys and accessories. The company also offers internet value-added, online entertainment, marketing, market trend consultancy, product development, and technical support services. In addition, the company operates a virtual currency system, where users can directly purchase virtual currency on mobile phone applications; internet debit/credit cards; and mobile internet social services, such as Duimain, Paopao, Meach, Gether, Maohu, and Meeyoo. Further, it acts as a procurement agent. The company serves retailers, brands, wholesalers, mail order houses, and department stores. Daohe Global Group Limited was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Daohe Global Group reported revenue of HK$32.5M in FY2025 versus HK$62.6M in FY2021, a compound −15.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$77.0K in FY2025, compounding −62.9%/yr from FY2021.
0915 screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 222 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$93.19 | C$75.00 | -20% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $839.03 | $398.90 | -52% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $245.15 | $162.63 | -34% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $531.89 | $475.40 | -11% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $202.66 | $181.10 | -11% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.00 | $108.04 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥54.97 | ¥40.40 | -27% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $36.43 | $35.52 | -2% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $544.22 | $423.35 | -22% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 109.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -26% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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