Hua Lien International (Holding) Company (0969) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$175M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0298 to HK$0.0276 (−7.2%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +8.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 68% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0276). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0360 – HK$0.2500 · the HK$0.0870 price screens above the HK$0.0276 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Hua Lien International (Holding) Company (0969) currently trades at HK$0.0870, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0276, implying the stock looks roughly 68.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hua Lien International (Holding) Company generated revenue of HK$125M at a net margin of -17.2%. Revenue declined 13.2% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$658M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside, at -68%, 0969 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hua Lien International (Holding) Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the cultivation of sugar cane, and manufacture and sale of sugar and molasses businesses in Jamaica. It operates through Supporting Services, Sugar Business, and Ethanol Business segments.
Full company description
Hua Lien International (Holding) Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the cultivation of sugar cane, and manufacture and sale of sugar and molasses businesses in Jamaica. It operates through Supporting Services, Sugar Business, and Ethanol Business segments. The company is also involved in the provision of supporting services to customers in the sweetener; and ethanol biofuel business, as well as provides corporate management services. Hua Lien International (Holding) Company Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Sheung Wan, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hua Lien International (Holding) Company reported revenue of HK$125M in FY2025 versus HK$136M in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$21.5M in FY2025.
0969 screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 94,500 | CHF 9,669 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $61.78 | $27.36 | -56% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $184.23 | $91.25 | -50% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,127 | CHF 711.91 | -37% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 132,800 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +53% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥20.48 | ¥9.09 | -56% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 54.85 | kr 59.12 | +8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹604.70 | ₹304.54 | -50% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,295 IDR | 1,140 IDR | -12% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 26,850 KRW | 42,237 KRW | +57% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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