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Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · HK · ISIN KYG4636M1087

HL Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd

0969 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.0200 · Strongly overvalued (−83.3%)
!Quality 37/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -17.2% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/7)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.2500 HK$0.0360 Fair Value HK$0.0200 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0360 – HK$0.2500 · the HK$0.1200 price screens above the HK$0.0200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Hua Lien International (Holding) Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the cultivation of sugar cane, and manufacture and sale of sugar and molasses businesses in Jamaica. It operates through Supporting Services, Sugar Business, and Ethanol Business segments.

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Hua Lien International (Holding) Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the cultivation of sugar cane, and manufacture and sale of sugar and molasses businesses in Jamaica. It operates through Supporting Services, Sugar Business, and Ethanol Business segments. The company is also involved in the provision of supporting services to customers in the sweetener; and ethanol biofuel business, as well as provides corporate management services. Hua Lien International (Holding) Company Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Sheung Wan, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969) currently trades at HK$0.1200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0200, 83.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$125M in FY2025 versus HK$136M in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$21.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$263M (≈ $33.5M) · P/S ratio 1.40 · Net margin −17.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.7% · Operating margin −55.1% · Revenue (TTM) HK$125M · Revenue growth (YoY) −13.2% · Free cash flow −HK$30.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −83%, 0969 screens richer than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 7/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −10.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−27.4% (2020) → −11.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

0969 screens overvalued: fair value 83% below the price. Compare with Mondelez International, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 84 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −83.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −14.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −17.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −55.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −13.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $60.25 $29.03 −52%
The Hershey Company HSY $166.37 $90.80 −45%
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP CHF 8,580 CHF 11,708 +36%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,118 CHF 654.80 −41%
Cofco Sugar Holding 600737 ¥14.75 ¥10.01 −32%
ORION Corp 271560 111,500 KRW 203,315 KRW +82%
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB $39.00 $22.28 −43%
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥19.05 ¥9.09 −52%
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹685.80 ₹161.22 −76%
ORION Holdings 001800 23,750 KRW 92,076 KRW +288%

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Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.0200 −83%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0969

Frequently asked questions

Is Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0200 versus a price of HK$0.1200, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0969?
Our model-based fair value for Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is HK$0.0200 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1200.
What is the quality score of 0969?
Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0200 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 2 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0200, about −83% upside versus a price of HK$0.1200 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$125M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd it is HK$0.0200 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1200. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 0969 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1200, fair value HK$0.0200, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0969?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0200). For Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd the two are HK$0.1000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd at about HK$263M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1200; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0200 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0969 from its 52-week high?
Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd trades at HK$0.1200, about 19% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1490 and 79% above the low of HK$0.0670 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$0.1200, calculated fair value HK$0.0200 (−83%), Quality Score 37/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0969 calculated?
We run Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.1200. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0200, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
The market capitalisation of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is HK$263M (≈ $33.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is 1.40 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
The net margin of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is −17.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is −1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
The operating margin of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is −55.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
Revenue at Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is growing −13.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969) generate?
The free cash flow of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is −HK$30.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969) carry?
The net debt of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is HK$658M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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