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Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd stock HK$0.09, price HK$0.12, that is 28.0% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive HK · ISIN KYG4636M1087

HL Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd

0969 · HK

Expensive (fair value 28% below the price), weak company and price moving sideways: meets none of the 3 rules.

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Price moving sideways (no uptrend) 
Negative equity (buybacks among others) 
Revenue last quarter 64% below a year ago. 
Fair value HK$0.0893 · Overvalued 
Quality 39/100 
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.1 %/yr in HKD) 
Loss-making · -27.2% net margin (TTM) 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (0/7) 
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data 
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.2500 HK$0.0360 Fair Value HK$0.0893 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0360 – HK$0.2500 · fair‑value band HK$0.0670 – HK$0.1117 · the HK$0.1240 price screens above the HK$0.0893 fair value. 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Hua Lien International (Holding) Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the cultivation of sugar cane, and manufacture and sale of sugar and molasses businesses in Jamaica. It operates through Supporting Services, Sugar Business, and Ethanol Business segments.

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The company is also involved in the provision of supporting services to customers in the sweetener; and ethanol biofuel business, as well as provides corporate management services. Hua Lien International (Holding) Company Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Sheung Wan, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969) currently trades at HK$0.1240, while our estimate is HK$0.0893, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: HK$0.0670 (bear) to HK$0.1117 (bull), the price of HK$0.1240 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$125M in FY2025 versus HK$136M in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$21.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$272M (≈ $34.6M) Micro · P/S ratio 3.26 · Net margin −17.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −76.0% · Revenue (TTM) HK$78.0M · Revenue growth (YoY) −64.0% · Free cash flow −HK$30.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −28%, 0969 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear HK$0.0670 Fair Value HK$0.0893 Bull HK$0.1117
Price HK$0.1240 · Downside -28.0%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 35
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 50
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 56
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 57
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 46
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 7/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −10.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−27.4% (2020) → −11.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

0969 screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with Mondelez International, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 86 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −28.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −23.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −27.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −76.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −64.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 3.48× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
LOTTE Corporation 004990 22,450 KRW 67,350 KRW +200% vs 0969
ORION Corp 271560 113,600 KRW 203,315 KRW +79% vs 0969
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP CHF 8,585 CHF 11,708 +36% vs 0969
The Hershey Company HSY $174.27 $163.44 −6% vs 0969
Cofco Sugar Holding 600737 ¥11.94 ¥10.76 −10% vs 0969
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,252 CHF 912.97 −27% vs 0969
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $67.54 $46.95 −30% vs 0969
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TR $38.28 $21.64 −43% vs 0969
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹654.80 ₹289.69 −56% vs 0969
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥15.86 ¥6.91 −56% vs 0969

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Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0969

Frequently asked questions

Is Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is HK$0.0893 versus a price of HK$0.1240, about 28% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0969?
Our estimate for Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is HK$0.0893 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1240.
What is the quality score of 0969?
Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of HK$0.0893 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario HK$0.0670, optimistic scenario HK$0.1117. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at HK$0.0893, about 28% lower versus a price of HK$0.1240 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0670, optimistic scenario HK$0.1117. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$78.0M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd it is HK$0.0893 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1240.
Is Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 0969 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1240, fair value HK$0.0893, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0969?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1240); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0893). For Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd the two are HK$0.0347 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd at about HK$272M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1240; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0893 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0969?
Our models span a range for Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0670, base HK$0.0893, optimistic HK$0.1117 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price HK$0.1240). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0969 from its 52-week high?
Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd trades at HK$0.1240, about 17% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1490 and 85% above the low of HK$0.0670 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0893 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price HK$0.1240, calculated fair value HK$0.0893 (−28%), Quality Score 39/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.1240. Our estimate is HK$0.0893, about 28% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1117). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
The market capitalisation of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is HK$272M (≈ $34.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is 3.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
The net margin of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is −17.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is −1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
The operating margin of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is −76.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969)?
Revenue at Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is growing −64.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969) generate?
The free cash flow of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is −HK$30.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd (0969) carry?
The net debt of Hua Lien International Holding Co Ltd is HK$658M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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