Green Energy Group (0979) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$515M
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 5, 2026, revised from HK$0.0200 to HK$0.1600 (+700.0%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price −27.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 43% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0800 to HK$0.1600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1350 – HK$0.4600 · fair‑value band HK$0.0800 – HK$0.1600 · the HK$0.2800 price screens above the HK$0.1600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
Green Energy Group (0979) currently trades at HK$0.2800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1600, implying the stock looks roughly 42.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Green Energy Group generated revenue of HK$64.9M at a net margin of -21.2%. Revenue declined 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -43.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$4.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0800 (bear case) to HK$0.1600 (bull case); at HK$0.2800, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -43%, 0979 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Green Energy Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the renewable energy business in Europe, Malaysia, Singapore, Korea, and the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Renewable Energy; Waste Construction Materials and Processing Services; and Plastic Recycling/Metal Scrap segments.
Full company description
Green Energy Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the renewable energy business in Europe, Malaysia, Singapore, Korea, and the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Renewable Energy; Waste Construction Materials and Processing Services; and Plastic Recycling/Metal Scrap segments. It trades and processes recyclable oil/biodiesel. The company is also involved in the trading of waste construction materials, and plastic recycling and metal scrap materials; provision of construction material and plastic processing services. In addition, it engages in holding freehold land; and trading of iron ore. The company was formerly known as China Nan Feng Group Ltd. Green Energy Group Limited was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Green Energy Group reported revenue of HK$68.9M in FY2024 versus HK$114M in FY2020, a compound −11.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$16.0M in FY2024.
0979 screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →
Peer Group
Waste Management · 169 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $233.33 | $128.02 | -45% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $219.20 | $122.01 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$242.43 | C$78.67 | -68% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €37.51 | €24.50 | -35% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $303.64 | $155.37 | -49% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$55.40 | C$94.12 | +70% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €12.20 | €7.30 | -40% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.32 | ¥5.27 | -17% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥16.18 | ¥20.91 | +29% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.34 | A$1.18 | -50% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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