Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (0980) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$422M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +7.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1880 – HK$1.62 · fair‑value band HK$0.2301 – HK$0.3462 · the HK$0.3000 price screens above the HK$0.2720 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Lianhua Supermarket Holdings (0980) currently trades at HK$0.3000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2720, implying the stock looks roughly 9.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Lianhua Supermarket Holdings generated revenue of HK$17.8B at a net margin of -1.1%. Revenue declined 7.4% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$1.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2301 (bear case) to HK$0.3462 (bull case); at HK$0.3000, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -9%, 0980 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$6.56) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.4600). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lianhua Supermarket Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, and convenience stores primarily in the eastern region of the People's Republic of China. The company operates its stores under the Century Mart, Lianhua Supermarket, Hualian Supermarket, and Lianhua Quik brand names.
Full company description
Lianhua Supermarket Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, and convenience stores primarily in the eastern region of the People's Republic of China. The company operates its stores under the Century Mart, Lianhua Supermarket, Hualian Supermarket, and Lianhua Quik brand names. It also involved in the sale of merchandise to wholesalers; provision of logistic services for wholesale business; sale of products through e-commerce platform; and franchise of stores. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lianhua Supermarket Holdings reported revenue of HK$17.8B in FY2025 versus HK$24.8B in FY2021, a compound −8.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$200M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | -72% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 399,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | -55% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 54.64 MXN | +82% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 97,300 KRW | 76,636 KRW | -21% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 44.99 MXN | +31% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$11.74 | R$33.36 | +184% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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