Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs ₹93.42, price ₹106, upside -11.9%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
21‑month range ₹99.44 – ₹153.18 · fair‑value band ₹64.32 – ₹121.44 · the ₹106.00 price screens above the ₹93.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Vishal Mega Mart Limited engages in the wholesale, trading, and retail of apparel, fast moving consumer goods, and general merchandise in India.
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Vishal Mega Mart Limited engages in the wholesale, trading, and retail of apparel, fast moving consumer goods, and general merchandise in India. Its apparel product portfolio includes a range of t-shirts, shirts, denims, athletic and leisure wear, night wear, innerwear, western wear, formal wear, and ethnic wear for men, women, children, and infants; and general merchandize products comprises home appliances, crockeries and utensils, home products and furnishings, toys, stationery products, travel products and footwear, and other products. The company's fast-moving consumer goods include food products, such as biscuits, savoury snacks, noodles, and tea and coffee products; staples, such as mustard oil, soya oil, clarified butter, and spices; and non-food products comprising baby diapers, hair oil, sanitary pads, handwash, and other products. It sells its products through its stores, mobile application, and website under third party and its brand names. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Gurugram, India. Vishal Mega Mart Limited is a subsidiary of Samayat Services LLP.
Stock analysis
Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM) currently trades at ₹106.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹93.42, implying the stock looks roughly 13.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹68.62 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹106.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹10.60, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹64.32 (bear) to ₹121.44 (bull), the price of ₹106.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs reported revenue of ₹129B in FY2026 versus ₹55.7B in FY2022, a compound +23.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹8.4B in FY2026, compounding +42.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹495B (≈ $5.2B) · P/E ratio 59.2 · P/S ratio 3.85 · EPS (TTM) ₹1.79 · Net margin 6.5% · Return on equity 12.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2% · Operating margin 7.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −12%, VMM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹64.32Fair Value ₹93.42Bull ₹121.44
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.8680 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.5%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+38.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+38.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 9%
2026 sits 152% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+15.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.5% a year for the price and +10.7% for the forecasts.
Compare Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Department Stores · 116 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−10% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth22% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VMM
Frequently asked questions
Is Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹93.42 versus a price of ₹106.00, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VMM?
Our model-based fair value for Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs is ₹93.42 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹106.00.
What is the quality score of VMM?
Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹93.42 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹64.32, optimistic scenario ₹121.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹93.42, about −12% upside versus a price of ₹106.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹64.32, optimistic scenario ₹121.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹129B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs would have to grow free cash flow by +25.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +23.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VMM use?
Our models discount Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs that is +25.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs grew +23.4 % a year. The price currently implies +25.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (+25.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.62 %: that much free cash flow Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs it is ₹93.42 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹106.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, VMM trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹106.00, fair value ₹93.42, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VMM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹106.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹93.42). For Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs the two are ₹12.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs worth?
The market values Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs at about ₹495B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹106.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹93.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VMM?
Our models span a range for Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs: cautious scenario ₹64.32, base ₹93.42, optimistic ₹121.44 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹106.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VMM?
Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 59.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹93.42 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.2, P/S 4.1, EV/EBITDA 28.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VMM from its 52-week high?
Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs trades at ₹106.00, about 30% below its 52-week high of ₹150.63 and 6% above the low of ₹99.68 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹93.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Cencosud S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹106.00, calculated fair value ₹93.42 (−12%), Quality Score 67/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VMM calculated?
We run Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹93.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ₹106.00. Our model-based fair value is ₹93.42, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs right now?
A fairly wide model range (₹64.32 to ₹121.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs
How large is the market capitalisation of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
The market capitalisation of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs is ₹495B (≈ $5.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs is 3.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
Earnings per share at Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs are ₹1.79 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 59.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
The net margin of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs is 6.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs is 8.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
The operating margin of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
Revenue at Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs is growing +22.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
Earnings per share at Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs are growing +44.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM) carry?
The net debt of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs is ₹14.6B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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