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Data-driven stock valuation

Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (SORIANAB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Consumer Cyclical · MX · Market cap 53.1B MXN (≈ $3.1B) · ISIN MXP8728U1671

At a glance

OS Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V SORIANAB · MX
Price25.56 MXN
Fair Value54.64 MXN
Upside+113.8%
Quality62/100

A solid business, trading 53% below our fair value of 54.64 MXN.

As of Sep 6, 2026, the fair value of Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V is 54.64 MXN per share against a price of 25.56 MXN, so the fair value sits 114% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/15)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 16 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range 33.55 MXN to 74.49 MXN

Fair value as of: Sep 6, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (33.55 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (33.55 MXN to 74.49 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

42.10 MXN 16.22 MXN Fair Value 54.64 MXN Dec 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 16.22 MXN – 42.10 MXN · fair‑value band 33.55 MXN – 74.49 MXN · the 25.56 MXN price screens below the 54.64 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (SORIANAB) currently trades at 25.56 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 54.64 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 53.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 63.05 MXN per share, and 21 of the 25 models we run sit above the 25.56 MXN price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 8.25 MXN, and 4 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V generated revenue of 177B MXN at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at 6.1B MXN. Fundamentals as of Sep 6, 2026

Scenario range: 33.55 MXN (bear) to 74.49 MXN (bull), the price of 25.56 MXN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 114%, SORIANAB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 38.82 MXN 61.37 MXN 95.30 MXN 79
Growth DCF 39.66 MXN 59.80 MXN 88.39 MXN 78
Residual Income 35.35 MXN 36.66 MXN 37.93 MXN 76
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 38.82 MXN 61.37 MXN 95.30 MXN 79
5Y Revenue Exit 41.33 MXN 68.50 MXN 102.96 MXN 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 52.32 MXN 88.85 MXN 131.15 MXN 74
5Y P/E Exit 37.12 MXN 60.70 MXN 85.06 MXN 70
10Y Revenue Exit 38.56 MXN 63.05 MXN 95.48 MXN 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 47.00 MXN 77.11 MXN 116.80 MXN 67
10Y P/E Exit 37.34 MXN 57.67 MXN 81.95 MXN 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 19.30 MXN 57.05 MXN 75.47 MXN 65
Lynch FV 11.98 MXN 17.11 MXN 22.25 MXN 61
PEG = 1.0 11.98 MXN 17.11 MXN 22.25 MXN 57
EPV 36.41 MXN 43.05 MXN 48.86 MXN 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 5.10 MXN 10.61 MXN 16.83 MXN 66
DDM Multi-Stage 5.10 MXN 8.25 MXN 11.13 MXN 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 44.69 MXN 59.59 MXN 74.49 MXN 63
P/S Multiple 36.18 MXN 48.24 MXN 60.30 MXN 58
P/B Multiple 36.18 MXN 48.24 MXN 60.30 MXN 55
EV/EBIT 64.58 MXN 87.25 MXN 109.92 MXN 66
EV/EBITDA 67.67 MXN 91.38 MXN 115.08 MXN 67
EV/Revenue 45.10 MXN 65.91 MXN 86.72 MXN 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 22.23 MXN 29.79 MXN 44.47 MXN 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 39.66 MXN 59.80 MXN 88.39 MXN 78
Rev-Margin DCF 41.33 MXN 68.51 MXN 99.28 MXN 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income 35.35 MXN 36.66 MXN 37.93 MXN 76
ROIC Compounder 36.41 MXN 43.05 MXN 53.27 MXN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 36.32 MXN 51.88 MXN 67.44 MXN 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (63.05 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (8.25 MXN). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 10.3
P/S ratio 0.30 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 2.47 MXN price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.3
Net margin 2.9% FY2023
Return on equity 4.1% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 4.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 177B MXN TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −2.4% 3y avg +3.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +21.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 6.7B MXN FY2023
Net debt 6.1B MXN FY2023 · ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, operates various formats of stores and clubs in Mexico. The company's stores offer various food, clothing, general merchandise, and health products, as well as grocery products and perishable goods under the retail, medium wholesale, and wholesale schemes.

Full company description

Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, operates various formats of stores and clubs in Mexico. The company's stores offer various food, clothing, general merchandise, and health products, as well as grocery products and perishable goods under the retail, medium wholesale, and wholesale schemes. It operates its stores under the Soriana Híper, Soriana Súper, Soriana Mercado, City Club, and Sodimac name; and Soriana.com, an online store. The company also leases commercial premises to stores and distribution centers; and conducts commercial developments. Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V. was founded in 1968 and is based in Monterrey, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years

Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V reported revenue of 176B MXN in FY2023 versus 155B MXN in FY2019, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was 5.0B MXN in FY2023, compounding +11.6%/yr from FY2019.

Growth Quality 51/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2023)
176B MXN
Latest YoY
+6.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in MXN) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+6.7%
Dividend yield0.0%
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5.3% (2018) → 5.4% (2023) · steady
Worst earnings drop29% (2019) · in MXN
Revenue +3.2%/yr
FY19 155B MXN
FY20 157B MXN
FY21 155B MXN
FY22 166B MXN
FY23 176B MXN
Net income +11.6%/yr
FY19 3.2B MXN
FY20 3.7B MXN
FY21 4.3B MXN
FY22 5.0B MXN
FY23 5.0B MXN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SORIANAB

Peer Group

Department Stores · 118 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +110% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.30× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.84× · Cheaper than median

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years-2.4 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+2.8 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+2.9 %
FCF yield on price14.75 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models12.0 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 24
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST16 · sector 17
HEALTH92 · sector 95
DIVIDEND0 · sector 38

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Falabella S.A FALABELLA 6,380 CLP 8,005 CLP +25%
Dillard's, Inc DDS $630.71 $536.21 −15%
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 3.43 MYR 1.52 MYR −56%
Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 1,949 CLP 2,425 CLP +24%
Macy's, Inc M $21.51 $42.68 +98%
Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM ₹107.00 ₹30.46 −72%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 424,000 KRW 177,841 KRW −58%
Lotte Shopping Co 023530 96,700 KRW 76,636 KRW −21%
PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY 960.00 IDR 968.76 IDR +1%
PT. Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk MAPI 1,510 IDR 2,957 IDR +96%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (SORIANAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 54.64 MXN versus a price of 25.56 MXN, about +114% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SORIANAB?
Our model-based fair value for Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V is 54.64 MXN (as of Sep 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 25.56 MXN.
What is the quality score of SORIANAB?
Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (SORIANAB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 54.64 MXN (as of Sep 6, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 33.55 MXN, optimistic scenario 74.49 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 54.64 MXN, about +114% upside versus a price of 25.56 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 33.55 MXN, optimistic scenario 74.49 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (SORIANAB)?
Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 177B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SORIANAB?
The net profit margin of Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V is about 2.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What growth is priced into Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (SORIANAB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V would have to grow free cash flow by -2.4 % per year for ten years (discount rate 12.0 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.8 % per year. As of Sep 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SORIANAB use?
Our models discount Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (SORIANAB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V it is 54.64 MXN per share (as of Sep 6, 2026), against a price of 25.56 MXN. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 6, 2026, SORIANAB trades below its calculated fair value: price 25.56 MXN, fair value 54.64 MXN, a gap of about +114% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SORIANAB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (25.56 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (54.64 MXN). For Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V the two are 29.08 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V worth?
The market values Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V at about 53.1B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 6, 2026). Per share that is 25.56 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 54.64 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SORIANAB?
Our models span a range for Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V: cautious scenario 33.55 MXN, base 54.64 MXN, optimistic 74.49 MXN per share (as of Sep 6, 2026, price 25.56 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SORIANAB?
Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.3 (as of Sep 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 54.64 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 0.7, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.4.
What is the PEG ratio of SORIANAB?
The PEG ratio of Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V is 0.84 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 6, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (SORIANAB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (as of Sep 6, 2026): return on equity 4.1%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SORIANAB from its 52-week high?
Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V trades at 25.56 MXN, about 40% below its 52-week high of 42.70 MXN and 13% above the low of 22.67 MXN (as of Sep 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 54.64 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Cencosud S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 6, 2026: price 25.56 MXN, calculated fair value 54.64 MXN (+114%), Quality Score 62/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SORIANAB calculated?
We run Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 54.64 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V currently trades 114 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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