Lotte Shopping Co (023530) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · KR · Market cap 4.4T KRW
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 81,276 KRW to 81,725 KRW (+0.6%) since Jul 6, 2026. Share price −37.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 18% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (94,714 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 46,900 KRW – 201,986 KRW · fair‑value band 73,454 KRW – 94,714 KRW · the 99,700 KRW price screens above the 81,725 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Lotte Shopping Co (023530) currently trades at 99,700 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 81,725 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 18.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Lotte Shopping Co generated revenue of 13.9T KRW at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Net debt stands at 9.3T KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 73,454 KRW (bear case) to 94,714 KRW (bull case); at 99,700 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at -18%, 023530 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (359,877 KRW) versus Earnings-Based (15,157 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lotte Shopping Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, owns and manages department stores in South Korea. It also operates outlets, discount stores, electronics stores, supermarkets, e-commerce, and movie theaters.
Full company description
Lotte Shopping Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, owns and manages department stores in South Korea. It also operates outlets, discount stores, electronics stores, supermarkets, e-commerce, and movie theaters. In addition, the company is involved in the TV home shopping, clothing manufacturing and sales, home appliance retail, and movie screening businesses; provision of building management service; real estate, new technology investment, financial, and film investment production activities. The company was formerly known as Hyupwoo Industrial Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Lotte Shopping Co., Ltd. in November 1979. Lotte Shopping Co., Ltd. was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lotte Shopping Co reported revenue of 13.7T KRW in FY2025 versus 15.6T KRW in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was 51.6B KRW in FY2025.
023530 screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 5,875 CLP | 8,880 CLP | +51% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 | 99.62 MXN | 263.70 MXN | +165% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.70 MYR | 1.45 MYR | -61% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 2,040 CLP | 2,516 CLP | +23% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹113.94 | ₹37.39 | -67% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 610,000 KRW | 200,259 KRW | -67% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 59.59 MXN | +98% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$14.10 | R$33.36 | +137% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 51.49 MXN | +50% |
| PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY | 1,005 IDR | 880.69 IDR | -12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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