AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of AB Volvo (publ) SEK 428, price SEK 316, upside +35.6%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 124.68 – kr 370.10 · fair‑value band kr 277.75 – kr 608.60 · the kr 315.90 price screens below the kr 428.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
AB Volvo (publ), together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells trucks, buses, construction equipment, and marine and industrial engines in Europe, North America, South America, Asia, Africa, and Oceania.
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AB Volvo (publ), together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells trucks, buses, construction equipment, and marine and industrial engines in Europe, North America, South America, Asia, Africa, and Oceania. The company operates through Industrial Operations - Trucks, Industrial Operations - Construction Equipment, Industrial Operations - Buses, Industrial Operations - Volvo Penta, Industrial Operations - Group Functions & Other, and Financial Services segments. The company offers heavy-duty trucks for long-haulage and construction work, and light-duty trucks for distribution purposes under the Volvo, Renault Trucks, Mack, Eicher, and Dongfeng Trucks brands; and city and intercity buses, coaches, and chassis under the Prevost and Volvo Bus brands. It also provides haulers, wheel loaders, excavators, road construction machines, and compact equipment under the Volvo, SDLG, and Rokbak brands. In addition, the company offers engines and power solutions for industrial off-highway applications and power generation, as well as for leisure boats, yachts, and commercial vessels under the Volvo Penta brand. Further, it provides customer support agreements, machine control systems, attachments, financing, and leasing; and insurance, rentals, spare parts, repairs, preventive maintenance, uptime and service agreements, and assistance services. It serves customers primarily in the transportation, infrastructure, construction, marine, industrial, and public transportation industries. The company offers its products and services through a network of dealers. AB Volvo (publ) was incorporated in 1915 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.
Stock analysis
AB Volvo (publ), (0HTP) currently trades at kr 315.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 428.38, implying the stock looks roughly 26.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 416.67 per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 315.90 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 70.64, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: kr 277.75 (bear) to kr 608.60 (bull), the price of kr 315.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
AB Volvo (publ), reported revenue of 372B SEK in FY2021 versus 333B SEK in FY2017, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was 32.8B SEK in FY2021, compounding +12.5%/yr from FY2017.
Key figures
Market cap 423B SEK (≈ $42.1B) · P/S ratio 0.90 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 8.8% · Return on equity 20.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5% · Operating margin 10.6% · Revenue (TTM) 472B SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 36%, 0HTP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 277.75Fair Value kr 428.38Bull kr 608.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.9% (2017) → 11.6% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 145 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)20.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets4.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)7.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.74× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Is AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 428.38 versus a price of kr 315.90, about +36% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0HTP?
Our model-based fair value for AB Volvo (publ), is kr 428.38 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 315.90.
What is the quality score of 0HTP?
AB Volvo (publ), has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 428.38 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 277.75, optimistic scenario kr 608.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AB Volvo (publ), stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 428.38, about +36% upside versus a price of kr 315.90 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 277.75, optimistic scenario kr 608.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP)?
AB Volvo (publ), reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 472B SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does AB Volvo (publ), pay a dividend?
AB Volvo (publ), currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.69% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AB Volvo (publ), it is kr 428.38 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of kr 315.90. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AB Volvo (publ), stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0HTP trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 315.90, fair value kr 428.38, a gap of about +36% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0HTP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 315.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 428.38). For AB Volvo (publ), the two are kr 112.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AB Volvo (publ), worth?
The market values AB Volvo (publ), at about 423B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is kr 315.90; our models calculate a fair value of kr 428.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0HTP?
Our models span a range for AB Volvo (publ),: cautious scenario kr 277.75, base kr 428.38, optimistic kr 608.60 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price kr 315.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP)?
Balance-sheet figures for AB Volvo (publ), (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 20.9%, debt of 0.74 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0HTP from its 52-week high?
AB Volvo (publ), trades at kr 315.90, about 15% below its 52-week high of kr 370.10 and 30% above the low of kr 243.54 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 428.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AB Volvo (publ),?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AB Volvo (publ), stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price kr 315.90, calculated fair value kr 428.38 (+36%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0HTP calculated?
We run AB Volvo (publ), through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 428.38, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. AB Volvo (publ), currently trades 26 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 315.90. Our model-based fair value is kr 428.38, about +36% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AB Volvo (publ), right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (kr 277.75 to kr 608.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of AB Volvo (publ),
How large is the market capitalisation of AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP)?
The market capitalisation of AB Volvo (publ), is 423B SEK (≈ $42.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AB Volvo (publ), is 0.90 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP)?
The dividend yield of AB Volvo (publ), is 2.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP)?
The net margin of AB Volvo (publ), is 8.8% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AB Volvo (publ), is 20.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AB Volvo (publ), is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP)?
The operating margin of AB Volvo (publ), is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP)?
Revenue at AB Volvo (publ), is growing +2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AB Volvo (publ) (0HTP)?
Earnings per share at AB Volvo (publ), are growing +40.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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