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Loomis AB (0JYZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Loomis AB SEK 308, price SEK 555, upside -44.4%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home Sweden · ISIN SE0014504817

LA Some data Sep 24, 2026

Loomis AB

0JYZ · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value kr 308.47 · Strongly overvalued (−44.4%)
✓Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y +1.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.7% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
✓2.7% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 561.50 kr 187.68 Fair Value kr 308.47 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 187.68 – kr 561.50 · fair‑value band kr 231.35 – kr 385.59 · the kr 554.50 price screens above the kr 308.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Loomis AB (publ) provides secure payment solutions in the United States, France, Switzerland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Sweden, and internationally.

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Loomis AB (publ) provides secure payment solutions in the United States, France, Switzerland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Sweden, and internationally. The company provides transportation of cash and valuables with logistics systems to and from central banks, financial institutions, retailers, restaurants and other businesses; cash management services, and vault and cash storage outsourcing for central banks and commercial banks; and international valuables logistics services, including collection and coordination of cross-border transportation, as well as customs clearance, storage, and secure delivery. It also offers automated teller machine services; automated cash-handling solutions, such as SafePoint, cash recyclers, and front office solutions; foreign exchange services; and Loomis Pay, an end-to-end payment solution that handles all types of payment instruments comprising cards, cash, and digital options in one system. Loomis AB (publ) was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Loomis AB (0JYZ) currently trades at kr 554.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 308.47, 44.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 460.27 per share, and 5 of the 23 models we run sit above the kr 554.50 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 89.63, and 18 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: kr 231.35 (bear) to kr 385.59 (bull), the price of kr 554.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Loomis AB reported revenue of 19.7B SEK in FY2021 versus 17.2B SEK in FY2017, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B SEK in FY2021, compounding −6.2%/yr from FY2017.

Key figures

Market cap 20.5B SEK (≈ $2.0B) · P/E ratio 0.2 · EPS (TTM) kr 16.10 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity 13.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.7% · Operating margin 12.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −44%, 0JYZ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 231.35 Fair Value kr 308.47 Bull kr 385.59
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 471.69 kr 648.18 kr 901.20 77
Growth DCF kr 486.37 kr 653.34 kr 881.57 76
EPV kr 134.94 kr 157.23 kr 176.46 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 471.69 kr 648.18 kr 901.20 77
5Y Revenue Exit kr 297.66 kr 399.73 kr 525.80 70
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 461.57 kr 684.54 kr 938.88 72
5Y P/E Exit kr 300.92 kr 405.40 kr 510.78 69
10Y Revenue Exit kr 356.40 kr 456.57 kr 569.82 65
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 461.30 kr 642.49 kr 854.03 66
10Y P/E Exit kr 364.00 kr 460.27 kr 559.49 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 99.89 kr 200.22 kr 251.61 63
EPV kr 134.94 kr 157.23 kr 176.46 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 73.32 kr 103.57 kr 133.72 66
DDM Multi-Stage kr 73.32 kr 101.60 kr 133.13 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 231.35 kr 308.47 kr 385.59 63
P/S Multiple kr 187.29 kr 249.71 kr 312.14 58
P/B Multiple kr 187.29 kr 249.71 kr 312.14 55
EV/EBIT kr 288.36 kr 386.56 kr 484.75 66
EV/EBITDA kr 525.06 kr 702.15 kr 879.24 67
EV/Revenue kr 204.04 kr 294.14 kr 384.24 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 66.89 kr 89.63 kr 133.77 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 486.37 kr 653.34 kr 881.57 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 297.66 kr 408.75 kr 532.74 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 119.87 kr 133.67 kr 165.01 73
ROIC Compounder kr 135.07 kr 162.30 kr 191.29 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 167.76 kr 239.66 kr 311.56 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.6% (2017) → 8.8% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0JYZ screens overvalued: fair value 44% below the price. Compare with Allegion plc →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Allegion plc ALLE $154.47 $129.15 −16%
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥15.54 ¥31.47 +103%
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $182.32 $121.15 −34%
ADT Inc ADT $6.14 $19.40 +216%
The Brink's Company BCO $106.82 $121.18 +13%
The GEO Group GEO $31.22 $13.08 −58%
Brady Corporation BRC $84.02 $84.37 +0%
CoreCivic, Inc CXW $32.67 $18.76 −43%
S-1 Corporation 012750 83,200 KRW 99,629 KRW +20%
Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad, S.A PSG €2.91 €9.79 +237%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Loomis AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0JYZ

Frequently asked questions

Is Loomis AB (0JYZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 308.47 versus a price of kr 554.50, about −44% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0JYZ?
Our model-based fair value for Loomis AB is kr 308.47 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 554.50.
What is the quality score of 0JYZ?
Loomis AB has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Loomis AB (0JYZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 308.47 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 231.35, optimistic scenario kr 385.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Loomis AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 308.47, about −44% upside versus a price of kr 554.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 231.35, optimistic scenario kr 385.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Loomis AB (0JYZ)?
Loomis AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 30.3B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Loomis AB pay a dividend?
Loomis AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Loomis AB (0JYZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Loomis AB it is kr 308.47 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 554.50. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Loomis AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0JYZ trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 554.50, fair value kr 308.47, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0JYZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 554.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 308.47). For Loomis AB the two are kr 246.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Loomis AB worth?
The market values Loomis AB at about 20.5B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 554.50; our models calculate a fair value of kr 308.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0JYZ?
Our models span a range for Loomis AB: cautious scenario kr 231.35, base kr 308.47, optimistic kr 385.59 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 554.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0JYZ from its 52-week high?
Loomis AB trades at kr 554.50, about 1% below its 52-week high of kr 561.50 and 61% above the low of kr 344.54 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 308.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Loomis AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, ADT Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Loomis AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 554.50, calculated fair value kr 308.47 (−44%), Quality Score 60/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0JYZ calculated?
We run Loomis AB through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 308.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Loomis AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Loomis AB (0JYZ)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 554.50. Our model-based fair value is kr 308.47, about −44% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Loomis AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 385.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Loomis AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Loomis AB (0JYZ)?
The market capitalisation of Loomis AB is 20.5B SEK (≈ $2.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Loomis AB (0JYZ)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Loomis AB is 0.2 (as of Jul 24, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What are the earnings per share of Loomis AB (0JYZ)?
Earnings per share at Loomis AB are kr 16.10 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Loomis AB (0JYZ)?
The dividend yield of Loomis AB is 2.7% (payout 93.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Loomis AB (0JYZ)?
The net margin of Loomis AB is 5.6% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Loomis AB (0JYZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Loomis AB is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Loomis AB (0JYZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Loomis AB is 8.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Loomis AB (0JYZ)?
The operating margin of Loomis AB is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Loomis AB (0JYZ)?
Revenue at Loomis AB is growing −2.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Loomis AB (0JYZ)?
Earnings per share at Loomis AB are growing +41.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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