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Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad, S.A (PSG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ES · Market cap €1.4B

Price€2.69
Fair Value€4.70
Upside+75.0%
Quality93/100
Evidence: High Range €3.53 – €6.93

Analysis

Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad, S.A (PSG) currently trades at €2.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.70 — implying the stock looks roughly 75.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 93/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad, S.A. operates in the private security sector. It operates through Security, Cash, Alarms, Cybersecurity, and AVOS (added-value outsourcing services) segments. The Security segment engages in guarding and protection of premises, goods and individuals, and activities related to technological security solutions. The Cash segment is involved in the transportation, storage, safekeeping, counting, and classification of coins and bank notes, deeds, securities, and other items that require special protection due to their economic value or risk; international payment services, online foreign currency, travel money home delivery, and local cash services; and correspondent banking and auxiliary payment services, inter alia, receipt and payment management, and bill payment services. The Alarms segment engages in the installation and maintenance of home alarm systems, as well as the provision of alarm monitoring services. The Cybersecurity segment provides managed…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.