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Nucor Corporation (0K9L) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Nucor Corporation $84.19, price $240, upside -64.9%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · GB · ISIN US6703461052

NC Some data Oct 2, 2026

Nucor Corporation

0K9L · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $84.19 · Strongly overvalued (−64.9%)
✓Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +10.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!0.9% dividend yield · Token dividend
!Moderate moat 48/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$274.96 $51.05 Fair Value $84.19 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $51.05 – $274.96 · fair‑value band $58.93 – $109.45 · the $240.15 price screens above the $84.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

Nucor Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of steel and steel products. The company operates in three segments: Steel Mills, Steel Products, and Raw Materials.

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Nucor Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of steel and steel products. The company operates in three segments: Steel Mills, Steel Products, and Raw Materials. The Steel Mills segment produces hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized sheet steel products; plate steel products; wide-flange beams, beam blanks, and H-piling and sheet piling structural steel products; and bar steel products, such as blooms, billets, concrete reinforcing and merchant bars, and engineered special bar quality products. This segment sells its products to steel service centers, fabricators, and manufacturers in the United States, Canada, and Mexico, as well as engages in the steel trading and rebar distribution businesses. The Steel Products segment offers steel joists and joist girders, steel decks, and galvanized torque tubes for use in solar arrays, hollow structural section steel tubing, electrical conduit, fabricated concrete reinforcing steel, cold finished steel, steel fasteners, steel grating and expanded metal, wire and wire mesh, metal building systems, insulated metal panels, steel racking, overhead doors, and utility towers and structures for communications and energy transmission. This segment is also involved in the piling distribution business. The Raw Materials segment produces direct reduced iron (DRI); brokers ferrous and nonferrous metals, pig iron, hot briquetted iron, and DRI; supplies ferro-alloys; processes ferrous and nonferrous scrap metal; and engages in the natural gas production and industrial gas business. This segment sells its ferrous scrap to electric arc furnace steel mills and foundries for manufacturing process; and nonferrous scrap metal to aluminum can producers, secondary aluminum smelters, steel mills and other processors, and consumers of various nonferrous metals. Nucor Corporation was founded in 1905 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Stock analysis

Nucor Corporation (0K9L) currently trades at $240.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $84.19, 64.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $94.44 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the $240.15 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $44.68, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $58.93 (bear) to $109.45 (bull), the price of $240.15 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Nucor Corporation reported revenue of $32.5B in FY2025 versus $36.5B in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.7B in FY2025, compounding −28.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $55.5B · P/E ratio 0.1 · EPS (TTM) $27.80 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 12.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 20.5% · Operating margin 11.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −65%, 0K9L screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $58.93 Fair Value $84.19 Bull $109.45
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($19.27 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $52.31 $62.05 $70.44 74
Residual Income $55.25 $59.16 $66.68 74
ROIC Compounder $52.31 $62.05 $75.67 70
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $37.78 $152.20 $207.01 62
Lynch FV $37.95 $54.22 $70.49 59
PEG = 1.0 $37.95 $54.22 $70.49 55
EPV $52.31 $62.05 $70.44 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $70.83 $94.44 $118.05 63
P/S Multiple $70.83 $94.44 $118.05 58
P/B Multiple $70.83 $94.44 $118.05 55
EV/EBIT $79.59 $109.24 $138.88 66
EV/EBITDA $89.54 $122.50 $155.46 67
EV/Revenue $67.74 $100.77 $133.80 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $33.34 $44.68 $66.69 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $55.25 $59.16 $66.68 74
ROIC Compounder $52.31 $62.05 $75.67 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $58.93 $84.19 $109.45 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.1% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.8% vs 13.6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

0K9L screens overvalued: fair value 65% below the price. Compare with ArcelorMittal S.A →

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Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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ArcelorMittal S.A MT €59.82 €35.15 −41%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $230.39 $127.93 −44%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,233 ₹1,095 −11%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹178.00 ₹147.10 −17%
Reliance, Inc RS $393.04 $211.55 −46%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.84 ¥8.07 +38%
POSCO Holdings 005490 311,000 KRW 155,270 KRW −50%
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥2.09 ¥0.5300 −75%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,165 ₹516.27 −56%
Ternium S.A TX $54.47 $35.93 −34%

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$84.19 −65%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nucor Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0K9L

Frequently asked questions

Is Nucor Corporation (0K9L) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $84.19 versus a price of $240.15, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0K9L?
Our model-based fair value for Nucor Corporation is $84.19 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $240.15.
What is the quality score of 0K9L?
Nucor Corporation has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nucor Corporation (0K9L)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $84.19 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $58.93, optimistic scenario $109.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nucor Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $84.19, about −65% upside versus a price of $240.15 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $58.93, optimistic scenario $109.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nucor Corporation (0K9L)?
Nucor Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $34.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Nucor Corporation pay a dividend?
Nucor Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.92% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nucor Corporation (0K9L)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nucor Corporation it is $84.19 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $240.15. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nucor Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 0K9L trades above its calculated fair value: price $240.15, fair value $84.19, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0K9L?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($240.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($84.19). For Nucor Corporation the two are $155.96 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nucor Corporation worth?
The market values Nucor Corporation at about $55.5B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $240.15; our models calculate a fair value of $84.19 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0K9L?
Our models span a range for Nucor Corporation: cautious scenario $58.93, base $84.19, optimistic $109.45 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $240.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0K9L from its 52-week high?
Nucor Corporation trades at $240.15, about 13% below its 52-week high of $274.96 and 84% above the low of $130.50 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $84.19 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nucor Corporation?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, Tata Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nucor Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $240.15, calculated fair value $84.19 (−65%), Quality Score 60/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0K9L calculated?
We run Nucor Corporation through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $84.19, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Nucor Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nucor Corporation (0K9L)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $240.15. Our model-based fair value is $84.19, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nucor Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($109.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($58.93 to $109.45) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Nucor Corporation (0K9L) come from?
Earnings per share at Nucor Corporation grew +24.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.4 %, EBIT margin +7.3 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Nucor Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Nucor Corporation (0K9L)?
The market capitalisation of Nucor Corporation is $55.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Nucor Corporation (0K9L)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Nucor Corporation is 0.1 (as of Jul 25, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What are the earnings per share of Nucor Corporation (0K9L)?
Earnings per share at Nucor Corporation are $27.80 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nucor Corporation (0K9L)?
The dividend yield of Nucor Corporation is 0.9% (payout 8.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nucor Corporation (0K9L)?
The net margin of Nucor Corporation is 5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nucor Corporation (0K9L)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nucor Corporation is 12.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nucor Corporation (0K9L)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nucor Corporation is 20.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nucor Corporation (0K9L)?
The operating margin of Nucor Corporation is 11.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nucor Corporation (0K9L)?
Revenue at Nucor Corporation is growing +21.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nucor Corporation (0K9L)?
Earnings per share at Nucor Corporation are growing +382% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nucor Corporation (0K9L) generate?
The free cash flow of Nucor Corporation is −$188M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nucor Corporation (0K9L) carry?
The net debt of Nucor Corporation is $4.9B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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